Secret-Relaxation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,033

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-29 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-9

Politics

14% — —

Pop-Culture

13% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Megaquake by June 30?	Yes		+400	$16	2¢	$7	$-9	06-24 07:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+2,720	$19	0¢	$5	$-13	06-25 20:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	29	$1.6K	54,537	54,392	+145	open	—	04-07 19:47
will abracadabra lady gaga win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	116	$987	12,151	2,150	+10,001	open	—	02-02 03:08
epl bou sun 2026 02 28 sun	5	$894	2,569	2,569	+0	open	—	02-28 14:04
winter games 2026 norway 6pt5 vs usa 6pt5 gold medals	10	$658	514	514	+0	open	—	02-22 17:08
will messy lola young win best pop solo performance at the 68th annual grammy awards	3	$622	580	580	+0	open	—	02-02 02:56
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 wol	7	$591	575	575	+0	open	—	02-27 22:20
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	7	$462	335	331	+4	open	—	04-05 00:22
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 tot	41	$442	29,300	0	+29,300	open	—	02-22 18:19
epl liv wes 2026 02 28 wes	60	$388	8,203	1,000	+7,203	open	—	02-28 16:27
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	60	$359	107,251	95,510	+11,741	open	—	02-27 03:59
mwoh can fin 2026 02 20	4	$342	1,448	0	+1,448	open	—	02-20 15:57
cbb tx byu 2026 03 19	6	$298	307	306	+1	open	—	03-20 00:19
will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	10	$290	1,481	2,011	-530	open	—	02-16 00:54
cwbb tx ucla 2026 04 03	4	$264	206	203	+3	open	—	04-04 03:42
wbc jap ven 2026 03 14	2	$262	242	242	+0	open	—	03-15 04:05
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 bou	4	$234	205	200	+5	open	—	04-11 15:25
uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	2	$231	137	137	+0	open	—	03-26 20:02
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 cry	4	$212	865	0	+865	open	—	03-01 15:16
will lola young win best new artist at the 68th annual grammy awards	8	$202	7,575	0	+7,575	open	—	02-02 01:44
will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	2	$200	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	02-20 13:59
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	2	$194	370	362	+8	open	—	04-06 16:05
efa sot ars 2026 04 04 sot	3	$186	167	167	+0	open	—	04-04 21:56
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21	6	$182	1,864	0	+1,864	open	—	03-21 23:08
fif ksa egy 2026 03 26 egy	2	$175	125	125	+0	open	—	03-27 18:54
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	5	$174	552	551	+1	open	—	03-29 02:39
will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	2	$173	408	0	+408	open	—	06-29 18:22
cwbb sc uconn 2026 04 03	3	$169	121	119	+2	open	—	04-04 01:00
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	3	$164	946	944	+2	open	—	03-22 01:33
cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	12	$161	3,218	0	+3,218	open	—	04-05 21:10
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 lee	2	$148	462	462	+0	open	—	02-28 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 18:22:31	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	237	31¢	$73	0xd38adf…
06-29 18:13:05	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xd263af…
06-27 16:52:59	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	BUY	235	1¢	$3	0x5e7902…
06-26 17:43:40	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x49dbd1…
06-26 14:33:10	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	BUY	240	1¢	$3	0x223c22…
06-25 20:30:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,581	1¢	$11	0x54889d…
06-25 12:48:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	754	1¢	$5	0x0b8f85…
06-25 12:00:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x832608…
06-25 11:36:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x4f0255…
06-25 01:43:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x2c8350…
06-24 23:04:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x49bb9b…
06-24 21:36:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x54a8a0…
06-24 21:27:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd934fc…
06-24 21:26:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x33624e…
06-24 20:26:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xabb0af…
06-24 07:25:26	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe3702c…
06-24 07:07:35	Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	3¢	$4	0x6d389a…
06-23 18:50:29	Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	3¢	$4	0x51e134…
06-23 18:46:53	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x8e1fcc…
06-23 18:20:10	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x41f54b…
06-23 18:17:50	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0xa0343c…
06-23 17:19:41	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xf807fa…
06-23 10:02:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x527e22…
06-17 00:08:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,430	0¢	$6	0x3d08ce…
05-13 18:04:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xfbdc0b…
05-13 08:14:09	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	239	0¢	$1	0xaf7040…
05-13 08:04:57	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x186979…
05-11 16:04:53	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	SELL	353	0¢	$1	0x2e7dcd…
05-10 11:06:44	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	BUY	1,724	0¢	$9	0x79e2c7…
05-10 08:22:23	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe73c09…
05-10 08:16:33	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4ec54b…
05-09 03:31:32	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	838	1¢	$9	0x5a6c8c…
04-30 11:55:30	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	838	3¢	$27	0xf786cb…
04-29 15:07:16	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25,410	0¢	$25	0x1cc498…
04-29 10:28:32	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xff3673…
04-27 15:31:26	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23,948	0¢	$48	0x27ebe9…
04-27 15:27:08	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x0fb7e4…
04-27 15:25:18	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x90e4e8…
04-26 15:41:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0x83555e…
04-26 13:34:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x8f0a9a…
04-25 17:48:42	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x3ddf10…
04-25 17:48:10	Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xf00204…
04-18 10:45:50	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0xa65db4…
04-14 08:28:01	Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest PinkPantheress during Juno?	Yes	SELL	159	1¢	$2	0xfafe2b…
04-12 17:07:23	epl cry new 2026 04 12 cry	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x313684…
04-12 13:10:41	epl cry new 2026 04 12 cry	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x31b013…
04-11 15:39:29	Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest PinkPantheress during Juno?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xf8e965…
04-11 15:25:07	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 bou	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xaa9bfe…
04-11 14:21:57	Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest PinkPantheress during Juno?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x7a1de7…
04-11 13:12:13	Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest PinkPantheress during Juno?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2252c5…
04-11 13:09:21	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 bou	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$33	0x6ceddf…
04-11 12:18:39	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 bou	Yes	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0x26d01d…
04-11 11:48:05	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 bou	Yes	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0xc85943…
04-11 08:49:49	Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest PinkPantheress during Juno?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x34c164…
04-11 07:06:57	Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest PinkPantheress during Juno?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x17cf2a…
04-11 07:06:49	Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest PinkPantheress during Juno?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x8ae577…
04-10 18:39:17	epl wes wol 2026 04 10 wol	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xffe9a4…
04-08 20:06:55	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	Yes	BUY	210	6¢	$13	0xb2ad01…
04-07 20:38:41	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$37	0x925a4c…
04-07 20:36:39	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x0428db…
04-07 19:47:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25,000	1¢	$300	0x0d25ca…
04-07 19:47:07	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0xfbd80c…
04-07 19:46:55	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13,505	1¢	$168	0xc833ff…
04-07 19:28:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4,239	1¢	$55	0x297014…
04-07 19:27:03	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x51b5f3…
04-07 19:26:17	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xc45a0a…
04-07 19:24:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6,749	1¢	$94	0x20bfbe…
04-07 19:23:39	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4,542	2¢	$68	0xfc44f9…
04-07 16:54:45	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19,477	2¢	$355	0x6b64ff…
04-07 16:44:07	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x62f988…
04-07 16:43:33	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0x27497c…
04-07 16:42:53	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0xb0d48c…
04-07 16:42:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x50111d…
04-07 16:42:39	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3116b8…
04-07 16:42:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$26	0xee4559…
04-07 16:42:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x641600…
04-07 16:40:33	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0x66e7ac…
04-07 16:40:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0xf0a217…
04-07 16:37:57	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,326	2¢	$40	0xfa7311…
04-06 17:47:17	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,728	2¢	$28	0xdc0008…
04-06 17:28:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$10	0xa32cf1…
04-06 17:24:51	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4c63f9…
04-06 17:16:31	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	434	2¢	$7	0xa17c45…
04-06 17:16:23	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	922	2¢	$15	0x061f8e…
04-06 17:11:45	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf40488…
04-06 17:10:03	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,767	2¢	$44	0x59b132…
04-06 17:07:55	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,445	2¢	$55	0x966409…
04-06 17:00:05	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12,500	2¢	$200	0x7b72be…
04-06 16:20:49	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6,116	2¢	$100	0xc72e86…
04-06 16:05:43	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Connecticut Huskies	SELL	362	26¢	$94	0xff11e1…
04-06 14:11:55	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xb16699…
04-05 21:10:53	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	376	1¢	$4	0x26280d…
04-05 21:10:47	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	724	1¢	$7	0x6cb4bf…
04-05 21:10:37	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	1,100	1¢	$10	0x33fabd…
04-05 20:50:17	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	479	6¢	$30	0xa97923…
04-05 20:40:17	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0x491eb3…
04-05 20:27:25	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x05bb5a…
04-05 20:27:23	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x9f7896…
04-05 20:23:43	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd8780a…
04-05 20:17:39	cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x08c266…