Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$11.0K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
31,279
lifetime
Volume
$16.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$540
Open exposure
$314.5K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 12:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
83%
Other
17%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 468 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -164,845 $-150,526 94¢ $-154130 $-3,605 07-03 14:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -59,802 $-58,210 100¢ $-59652 $-1,443 07-01 14:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -44,402 $-42,709 96¢ $-42693 +$16 07-02 03:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -29,962 $-26,660 88¢ $-26516 +$144 07-02 03:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +174,215 $19,966 12¢ $20.0K +$69 07-03 13:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +4,901 $2,963 76¢ $3.7K +$738 06-28 23:29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +6,086 $2,706 58¢ $3.6K +$854 06-23 09:24
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +4,472 $3,124 76¢ $3.4K +$298 06-16 16:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +627 $313 60¢ $373 +$60 06-18 11:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +417 $292 76¢ $315 +$23 06-24 12:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +56,587 $8,288 $141 $-8,147 06-23 04:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 06-28 19:58