Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$6.18K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
33,000
lifetime
Volume
$18.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$558
Open exposure
$360.2K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-24 05:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
80%
Other
20%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 468 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -222,156 $-204,798 94¢ $-209938 $-5,140 07-20 18:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -55,343 $-53,331 97¢ $-53793 $-462 07-18 18:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -49,984 $-49,692 99¢ $-49634 +$58 07-12 00:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -29,962 $-26,660 92¢ $-27415 $-755 07-02 03:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +13,190 $8,982 78¢ $10.2K +$1,240 07-16 22:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -74,225 $-4,012 $-6309 $-2,297 07-24 10:57
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +2,059 $1,290 83¢ $1.7K +$420 07-08 15:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +627 $313 64¢ $398 +$85 06-18 11:32
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +662 $-284 57¢ $381 +$665 07-22 16:38
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +417 $292 71¢ $296 +$4 06-24 12:13
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +87 $67 85¢ $74 +$7 07-12 18:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $0 52¢ $0 $-0 06-28 19:58