Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
71,938
lifetime
Volume
$6.78M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$16.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-03 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
92% 29% $-4,750
Other
7% — —
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,388 $875 70¢ $1.7K +$808 06-19 19:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +3,005 $1,605 46¢ $1.4K $-207 06-24 08:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,541 $1,186 86¢ $1.3K +$146 06-14 21:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,762 $1,281 76¢ $1.3K +$49 06-29 08:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2,443 $1,028 54¢ $1.3K +$279 06-24 14:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,611 $1,064 24¢ $885 $-179 06-29 18:04
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,878 $928 40¢ $761 $-168 06-30 17:52
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,581 $934 48¢ $751 $-183 06-23 16:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +958 $581 76¢ $723 +$142 06-30 23:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +808 $552 84¢ $675 +$123 06-23 10:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +840 $579 78¢ $655 +$76 06-21 11:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +965 $501 60¢ $574 +$73 06-27 13:34
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -547 $-465 86¢ $-473 $-8 06-14 02:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1,574 $769 30¢ $464 $-305 06-22 08:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $420 40¢ $395 $-25 06-30 08:19
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -346 $-328 97¢ $-335 $-7 07-02 19:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +553 $290 60¢ $335 +$45 06-30 11:09
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,098 $564 30¢ $324 $-240 06-23 00:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,220 $290 22¢ $269 $-22 06-30 16:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +312 $239 84¢ $264 +$24 06-15 19:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,853 $377 14¢ $250 $-127 06-11 20:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +248 $194 86¢ $212 +$18 06-25 01:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,161 $373 16¢ $180 $-193 06-15 19:28
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +299 $101 60¢ $178 +$76 06-18 20:05
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +178 $176 99¢ $176 +$1 06-24 09:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +704 $404 24¢ $173 $-232 06-30 23:52
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +274 $176 62¢ $169 $-7 06-27 13:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +150 $86 100¢ $149 +$63 07-01 00:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +342 $157 40¢ $139 $-19 06-29 04:24
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +1,000 $150 14¢ $135 $-15 06-14 02:06