Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.4K
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
385
Trades
79,773
lifetime
Volume
$7.47M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$82.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-28 12:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Politics
90% 62% -$5,879
Other
8% 64% +$12,925
Tech
1% 41% -$5,995
Crypto
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +16,015 $12,380 82¢ $13.1K +$673 10-27 10:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +12,400 $6,156 88¢ $10.9K +$4,694 10-18 05:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7,874 $5,975 99¢ $7.8K +$1,812 10-24 18:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +7,481 $4,115 94¢ $7.1K +$2,954 08-04 14:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +7,830 $3,569 79¢ $6.2K +$2,616 10-28 12:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4,728 $2,740 84¢ $3.9K +$1,208 10-25 15:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,579 $2,629 86¢ $3.1K +$466 10-16 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14,573 $3,291 18¢ $2.7K -$595 08-30 23:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,389 $1,955 94¢ $2.3K +$303 06-11 19:05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10,357 $5,189 21¢ $2.2K -$3,014 10-28 05:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,403 $1,293 90¢ $2.2K +$881 07-13 22:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,902 $1,404 97¢ $1.8K +$435 05-26 23:18
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,867 $932 92¢ $1.7K +$795 10-26 06:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +2,170 $1,278 76¢ $1.7K +$382 10-17 14:55
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +1,808 $1,163 88¢ $1.6K +$437 10-23 17:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,491 $1,020 92¢ $1.4K +$360 10-27 19:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,708 $1,420 36¢ $1.3K -$104 10-24 06:46
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,150 $1,109 100¢ $1.1K +$39 08-14 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,264 $782 88¢ $1.1K +$337 09-28 17:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +8,280 $4,265 12¢ $1.0K -$3,230 10-18 05:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,820 $947 54¢ $983 +$36 10-05 04:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +1,992 $963 48¢ $966 +$3 10-27 16:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +917 $845 99¢ $906 +$61 06-24 16:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +1,837 $756 46¢ $845 +$89 10-21 12:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +856 $722 94¢ $800 +$78 10-24 19:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,666 $1,313 16¢ $770 -$544 10-08 00:14
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,032 $749 74¢ $769 +$20 10-15 18:03
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +776 $684 95¢ $737 +$54 10-09 16:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +1,101 $588 64¢ $710 +$122 09-07 16:35
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +697 $630 90¢ $631 +$1 08-31 01:15