Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.75K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.34K
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
72,692
lifetime
Volume
$6.84M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$24.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-23 18:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
91% 29% $-4,750
Other
7% — —
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 907 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,404 $1,632 78¢ $2.7K +$1,023 07-21 02:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +4,151 $2,103 56¢ $2.3K +$201 07-23 17:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,180 $2,367 70¢ $2.2K $-156 07-20 15:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2,762 $2,071 77¢ $2.1K +$55 07-22 19:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,879 $1,404 99¢ $1.9K +$452 07-13 02:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +3,578 $1,881 44¢ $1.6K $-289 07-09 05:22
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,581 $934 74¢ $1.2K +$243 06-23 16:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,343 $961 76¢ $1.0K +$66 07-22 19:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +3,208 $768 30¢ $979 +$211 07-20 14:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,182 $656 66¢ $786 +$130 07-13 22:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +808 $552 86¢ $699 +$147 06-23 10:15
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,098 $564 62¢ $681 +$117 06-23 00:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,915 $922 23¢ $670 $-252 07-22 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,549 $634 36¢ $565 $-69 07-08 02:12
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,927 $568 28¢ $530 $-38 07-22 22:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,718 $862 30¢ $524 $-339 07-19 11:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +707 $369 70¢ $492 +$123 07-16 23:08
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -547 $-465 88¢ $-484 $-19 06-14 02:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +654 $513 72¢ $475 $-39 07-10 01:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +825 $364 46¢ $384 +$20 07-23 21:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +553 $290 64¢ $351 +$61 06-30 11:09
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -346 $-328 98¢ $-339 $-10 07-02 19:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1,390 $720 22¢ $306 $-414 07-07 07:49
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +288 $275 97¢ $280 +$5 07-16 21:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,132 $271 24¢ $266 $-5 07-20 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +248 $194 86¢ $212 +$18 06-25 01:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,900 $-317 11¢ $-200 +$117 06-10 22:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +542 $214 34¢ $182 $-33 07-12 07:57
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +139 $122 92¢ $128 +$6 06-24 16:01
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -140 $-130 88¢ $-122 +$8 07-19 16:22