Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$786
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
64,642
lifetime
Volume
$6.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$21.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-13 12:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
95% 29% $-4,750
Other
5% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2193 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +6,611 $4,337 48¢ $3.1K $-1,196 06-13 13:00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +2,527 $1,713 92¢ $2.3K +$599 06-11 00:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +3,531 $1,362 52¢ $1.9K +$491 06-13 13:00
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +1,584 $1,112 79¢ $1.3K +$139 06-12 21:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2,339 $2,054 51¢ $1.2K $-861 06-13 06:41
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +1,999 $1,016 52¢ $1.0K +$34 06-07 15:53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -2,191 $-1,044 48¢ $-1041 +$3 06-13 08:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -979 $-960 98¢ $-957 +$3 06-11 23:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +855 $828 99¢ $849 +$21 06-09 00:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $630 82¢ $825 +$195 06-11 14:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +928 $654 84¢ $775 +$122 06-11 20:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,132 $600 56¢ $639 +$39 06-10 19:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +760 $531 78¢ $592 +$61 06-13 11:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +613 $543 94¢ $573 +$30 06-12 20:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +2,823 $655 18¢ $494 $-161 06-11 14:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +481 $425 92¢ $442 +$17 06-05 14:52
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +475 $444 88¢ $418 $-26 06-12 17:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,661 $458 20¢ $340 $-118 06-11 18:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +576 $312 59¢ $340 +$28 06-11 17:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,853 $377 16¢ $306 $-72 06-11 20:05
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +300 $287 99¢ $296 +$9 06-03 19:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2,804 $706 8¢ $238 $-468 06-11 17:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,900 $-317 12¢ $-218 +$99 06-10 22:07
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +226 $212 94¢ $213 +$2 06-10 18:40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +210 $174 94¢ $197 +$23 06-05 04:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -453 $-181 38¢ $-174 +$7 06-12 18:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -749 $-216 22¢ $-165 +$52 06-13 12:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -333 $-304 49¢ $-163 +$141 06-12 13:14
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -146 $-136 92¢ $-135 +$1 06-02 16:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $123 62¢ $123 +$0 06-12 18:13