Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$534
Unrealized P&L
+$8.87K
Hit rate
23.7%
Resolved (7d)
9
Trades (7d)
158
79,845 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9.92K
$7.48M lifetime
Avg / trade
$94
Open exposure
$72.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-31 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
90% 61% -$6,025
Other
8% 66% +$12,537
Tech
1% 41% -$5,995
Crypto
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,796 $12,197 82¢ $13.0K +$834 10-30 07:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9,949 $3,906 90¢ $9.0K +$5,094 10-29 20:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +7,481 $4,115 92¢ $6.9K +$2,805 08-04 14:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +8,264 $3,917 82¢ $6.7K +$2,818 10-29 17:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4,728 $2,740 86¢ $4.0K +$1,303 10-25 15:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,579 $2,629 87¢ $3.1K +$484 10-16 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14,573 $3,291 18¢ $2.6K -$741 08-30 23:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,389 $1,955 96¢ $2.3K +$326 06-11 19:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,403 $1,293 92¢ $2.2K +$905 07-13 22:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10,757 $5,251 18¢ $2.0K -$3,261 10-29 17:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,002 $1,499 97¢ $1.9K +$437 10-29 17:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,967 $1,022 92¢ $1.8K +$787 10-29 17:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +2,170 $1,278 76¢ $1.7K +$382 10-17 14:55
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +1,808 $1,163 86¢ $1.6K +$400 10-23 17:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,491 $1,020 91¢ $1.4K +$337 10-27 19:29
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,150 $1,109 100¢ $1.1K +$35 08-14 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,264 $782 88¢ $1.1K +$337 09-28 17:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +1,992 $963 48¢ $966 +$3 10-27 16:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,820 $947 52¢ $956 +$9 10-05 04:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +917 $845 99¢ $908 +$63 06-24 16:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +1,837 $756 48¢ $873 +$117 10-21 12:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +2,286 $904 36¢ $834 -$70 10-31 00:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +856 $722 94¢ $809 +$86 10-24 19:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +8,281 $4,265 10¢ $791 -$3,474 10-29 07:53
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,032 $749 72¢ $738 -$11 10-15 18:03
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +776 $684 95¢ $737 +$53 10-09 16:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +1,101 $588 64¢ $699 +$111 09-07 16:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,666 $1,313 15¢ $677 -$637 10-08 00:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,111 $649 24¢ $496 -$153 10-08 21:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,569 $972 13¢ $464 -$508 10-15 17:22