Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156 Create alert
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$483
Unrealized P&L
+$15.7K
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
394
Trades
80,252
lifetime
Volume
$7.49M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$71.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-11 15:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
90% 61% -$6,025
Other
8% 66% +$12,537
Tech
1% 41% -$5,995
Crypto
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,616 $12,042 94¢ $14.6K +$2,559 11-10 00:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +8,938 $2,941 97¢ $8.7K +$5,729 11-10 00:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +7,414 $4,050 97¢ $7.2K +$3,112 11-10 00:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10,757 $5,251 53¢ $5.7K +$451 10-29 17:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4,674 $2,693 86¢ $4.0K +$1,303 11-10 03:08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +7,957 $3,672 47¢ $3.7K +$68 11-10 00:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,148 $2,246 94¢ $2.9K +$697 11-10 00:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,389 $1,955 97¢ $2.3K +$373 06-11 19:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,403 $1,293 92¢ $2.2K +$929 07-13 22:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,002 $1,499 97¢ $2.0K +$452 10-29 17:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,841 $903 95¢ $1.7K +$844 11-10 17:11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,808 $1,163 90¢ $1.6K +$473 10-23 17:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +2,111 $1,233 74¢ $1.6K +$339 11-10 00:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,256 $1,442 70¢ $1.6K +$127 11-11 14:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,491 $1,020 94¢ $1.4K +$375 10-27 19:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,264 $782 92¢ $1.2K +$387 09-28 17:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,820 $947 56¢ $1.0K +$64 10-05 04:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14,573 $3,291 6¢ $947 -$2,344 08-30 23:50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +872 $800 99¢ $866 +$66 11-09 04:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +1,820 $748 44¢ $810 +$62 11-10 00:23
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +975 $704 82¢ $804 +$100 11-10 09:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +744 $613 98¢ $726 +$113 11-10 00:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +1,101 $588 64¢ $699 +$111 09-07 16:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,666 $1,313 15¢ $677 -$637 10-08 00:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,111 $649 26¢ $538 -$111 10-08 21:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,237 $512 36¢ $452 -$60 11-11 13:58
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? No +438 $404 97¢ $425 +$21 09-02 16:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No -425 -$381 98¢ $-415 -$34 11-11 03:39
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +473 $330 88¢ $414 +$84 08-09 19:13
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +360 $249 94¢ $336 +$87 11-10 00:23