Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156 Create alert
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$483
Unrealized P&L
+$15.4K
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
394
Trades
80,160
lifetime
Volume
$7.49M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$71.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-10 13:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
90% 61% -$6,025
Other
8% 66% +$12,537
Tech
1% 41% -$5,995
Crypto
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,616 $12,042 92¢ $14.3K +$2,247 11-10 00:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +8,938 $2,941 97¢ $8.6K +$5,702 11-10 00:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +7,414 $4,050 96¢ $7.2K +$3,100 11-10 00:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10,757 $5,251 52¢ $5.5K +$289 10-29 17:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4,674 $2,693 86¢ $4.0K +$1,303 11-10 03:08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +7,957 $3,672 48¢ $3.9K +$187 11-10 00:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,148 $2,246 92¢ $2.9K +$650 11-10 00:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,389 $1,955 97¢ $2.3K +$367 06-11 19:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,403 $1,293 92¢ $2.2K +$929 07-13 22:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,002 $1,499 97¢ $1.9K +$448 10-29 17:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,710 $1,759 70¢ $1.9K +$124 11-10 06:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,867 $928 96¢ $1.8K +$860 11-02 06:38
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,808 $1,163 90¢ $1.6K +$455 10-23 17:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +2,111 $1,233 76¢ $1.6K +$360 11-10 00:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,491 $1,020 92¢ $1.4K +$360 10-27 19:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14,573 $3,291 8¢ $1.2K -$2,052 08-30 23:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,264 $782 92¢ $1.2K +$375 09-28 17:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,820 $947 56¢ $1.0K +$64 10-05 04:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +872 $800 99¢ $862 +$62 11-09 04:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +1,820 $748 44¢ $810 +$62 11-10 00:23
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +975 $704 78¢ $760 +$56 11-10 09:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +744 $613 98¢ $728 +$115 11-10 00:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +1,101 $588 64¢ $710 +$122 09-07 16:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,666 $1,313 15¢ $677 -$637 10-08 00:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,634 $660 36¢ $580 -$80 11-06 08:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? No +921 $554 57¢ $530 -$25 11-10 08:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,111 $649 24¢ $517 -$132 10-08 21:31
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +473 $330 88¢ $414 +$84 08-09 19:13
Trump out as President before 2027? No -399 -$355 98¢ $-390 -$34 11-10 08:40
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +360 $249 94¢ $336 +$87 11-10 00:23