Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156 Create alert
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$483
Unrealized P&L
+$15.6K
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
394
Trades
80,319
lifetime
Volume
$7.49M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$71.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-13 05:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
90% 61% -$6,025
Other
8% 66% +$12,537
Tech
1% 41% -$5,995
Crypto
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,616 $12,042 92¢ $14.4K +$2,403 11-10 00:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +8,938 $2,941 97¢ $8.7K +$5,729 11-10 00:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +7,414 $4,050 97¢ $7.2K +$3,115 11-10 00:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10,757 $5,251 50¢ $5.3K +$74 10-29 17:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4,674 $2,693 90¢ $4.2K +$1,490 11-10 03:08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +7,957 $3,672 50¢ $4.0K +$346 11-10 00:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,148 $2,246 94¢ $2.9K +$697 11-10 00:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,389 $1,955 97¢ $2.3K +$371 06-11 19:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,403 $1,293 89¢ $2.1K +$845 07-13 22:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,002 $1,499 98¢ $2.0K +$458 10-29 17:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,841 $903 96¢ $1.8K +$864 11-10 17:11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,808 $1,163 90¢ $1.6K +$473 10-23 17:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +2,111 $1,233 76¢ $1.6K +$371 11-10 00:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,189 $1,395 70¢ $1.5K +$127 11-13 01:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,491 $1,020 92¢ $1.4K +$360 10-27 19:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,264 $782 94¢ $1.2K +$412 09-28 17:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14,573 $3,291 8¢ $1.1K -$2,198 08-30 23:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,820 $947 53¢ $965 +$18 10-05 04:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +872 $800 100¢ $869 +$69 11-09 04:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +1,820 $748 47¢ $856 +$108 11-10 00:23
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,005 $728 80¢ $809 +$81 11-12 22:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +744 $613 98¢ $727 +$114 11-10 00:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +1,101 $588 64¢ $710 +$122 09-07 16:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,111 $649 24¢ $507 -$142 10-08 21:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,676 $1,314 11¢ $491 -$823 11-12 21:00
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +473 $330 92¢ $438 +$108 08-09 19:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,222 $507 36¢ $434 -$73 11-12 20:21
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? No +438 $404 98¢ $430 +$26 09-02 16:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No -425 -$381 98¢ $-414 -$34 11-11 03:39
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +360 $249 92¢ $329 +$80 11-10 00:23