Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156 Create alert
whale 2W streak
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$465
Unrealized P&L
+$10.8K
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved (90d)
36
Trades (90d)
1,671
76,375 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$119.6K
$7.08M lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$72.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-06 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
90% 61% -$6,025
Other
8% 66% +$12,537
Tech
1% 41% -$5,995
Crypto
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,696 $12,113 88¢ $13.9K +$1,777 11-04 04:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9,149 $3,143 93¢ $8.5K +$5,348 11-02 16:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +7,481 $4,115 95¢ $7.1K +$2,992 08-04 14:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +7,980 $3,683 62¢ $4.9K +$1,264 11-02 15:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10,757 $5,251 38¢ $4.1K -$1,163 10-29 17:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4,728 $2,740 84¢ $4.0K +$1,255 10-25 15:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,196 $2,291 91¢ $2.9K +$617 11-04 04:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,389 $1,955 97¢ $2.3K +$363 06-11 19:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,403 $1,293 92¢ $2.2K +$905 07-13 22:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,002 $1,499 97¢ $1.9K +$446 10-29 17:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,728 $1,771 69¢ $1.9K +$111 10-12 12:51
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,867 $928 96¢ $1.8K +$872 11-02 06:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14,573 $3,291 12¢ $1.7K -$1,615 08-30 23:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +2,170 $1,278 76¢ $1.7K +$382 10-17 14:55
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,808 $1,163 89¢ $1.6K +$446 10-23 17:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,491 $1,020 92¢ $1.4K +$360 10-27 19:29
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,150 $1,109 100¢ $1.1K +$38 08-14 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,264 $782 90¢ $1.1K +$362 09-28 17:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,820 $947 52¢ $956 +$9 10-05 04:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +917 $845 99¢ $910 +$65 06-24 16:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +1,837 $756 48¢ $873 +$117 10-21 12:56
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,032 $749 76¢ $784 +$36 10-15 18:03
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +776 $684 96¢ $748 +$64 10-09 16:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +756 $624 97¢ $731 +$106 11-03 12:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,666 $1,313 16¢ $723 -$590 10-08 00:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +1,101 $588 64¢ $710 +$122 09-07 16:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +8,281 $4,265 7¢ $596 -$3,669 10-29 07:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? No +1,000 $600 58¢ $585 -$15 10-09 22:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,634 $660 36¢ $580 -$80 11-06 08:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,111 $649 24¢ $496 -$153 10-08 21:31