Soggy-Twig 0x1dd197…d7a156 Create alert
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$465
Unrealized P&L
+$10.4K
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved (90d)
36
Trades (90d)
1,712
76,360 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$122.1K
$7.07M lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$71.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-05 01:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
90% 61% -$6,025
Other
8% 66% +$12,537
Tech
1% 41% -$5,995
Crypto
0% 25% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,696 $12,113 88¢ $13.7K +$1,620 11-04 04:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9,149 $3,143 92¢ $8.5K +$5,316 11-02 16:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +7,481 $4,115 94¢ $7.1K +$2,954 08-04 14:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +7,980 $3,683 72¢ $5.7K +$2,062 11-02 15:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +4,728 $2,740 88¢ $4.1K +$1,397 10-25 15:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10,757 $5,251 28¢ $3.0K -$2,239 10-29 17:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,196 $2,291 92¢ $3.0K +$665 11-04 04:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,389 $1,955 97¢ $2.3K +$362 06-11 19:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,403 $1,293 92¢ $2.2K +$929 07-13 22:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,002 $1,499 97¢ $1.9K +$435 10-29 17:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14,573 $3,291 12¢ $1.8K -$1,470 08-30 23:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,867 $928 96¢ $1.8K +$873 11-02 06:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +2,170 $1,278 78¢ $1.7K +$426 10-17 14:55
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,808 $1,163 89¢ $1.6K +$446 10-23 17:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,491 $1,020 92¢ $1.4K +$360 10-27 19:29
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,150 $1,109 100¢ $1.1K +$38 08-14 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,264 $782 90¢ $1.1K +$349 09-28 17:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,820 $947 54¢ $992 +$46 10-05 04:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +1,992 $963 48¢ $966 +$3 10-27 16:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +917 $845 99¢ $910 +$66 06-24 16:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +1,837 $756 45¢ $836 +$80 10-21 12:56
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,032 $749 76¢ $790 +$41 10-15 18:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +2,286 $904 34¢ $789 -$115 10-31 00:21
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +776 $684 96¢ $747 +$64 10-09 16:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +756 $624 97¢ $733 +$108 11-03 12:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +1,101 $588 66¢ $721 +$133 09-07 16:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +8,281 $4,265 8¢ $625 -$3,640 10-29 07:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? No — +1,000 $600 58¢ $585 -$15 10-09 22:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,666 $1,313 12¢ $583 -$730 10-08 00:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,111 $649 22¢ $454 -$195 10-08 21:31