Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$157

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

$81

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 100% +$257

Other

32% 0% $-100

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+1,250	$100	6¢	$81	$-19	06-08 06:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	04-08 07:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$611	2,198	141	+2,057	open	—	03-26 07:24
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$575	486	486	+0	open	—	04-30 07:31
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$566	14,365	14,365	+0	open	—	01-26 12:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$446	2,810	2,064	+746	open	—	05-21 18:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$416	458	458	+0	open	—	04-08 07:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$400	1,598	115	+1,484	open	—	03-21 15:14
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$337	652	173	+479	open	—	03-24 06:51
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$300	614	0	+614	open	—	03-16 00:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$300	1,236	0	+1,236	open	—	04-10 07:19
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$258	1,721	0	+1,721	open	—	01-26 12:01
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$246	149	149	+0	open	—	04-08 14:42
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	4	$200	711	355	+355	open	—	06-05 22:48
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$200	345	173	+173	open	—	06-07 21:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$200	1,806	0	+1,806	open	—	03-25 06:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$200	6,119	0	+6,119	open	—	03-18 11:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$200	323	161	+161	open	—	05-23 20:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$200	323	161	+161	open	—	05-22 21:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$200	286	143	+143	open	—	05-22 21:30
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$190	169	169	+0	open	—	03-20 05:30
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	2	$171	108	108	+0	open	—	04-08 14:44
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?	1	$103	0	118	-118	open	—	04-08 14:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$100	312	0	+312	open	—	03-19 09:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$100	625	0	+625	open	—	03-16 05:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	06-08 06:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	6,250	0	+6,250	open	—	03-24 10:23
will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	1	$100	142	0	+142	open	—	01-30 03:11
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	658	0	+658	open	—	04-10 07:17
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$100	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-20 07:30
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	1	$100	370	0	+370	open	—	03-19 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:43:19	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x5e2929…
06-08 06:32:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x9b9eb0…
06-07 21:43:16	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	58¢	$100	0xb11949…
06-05 22:48:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	212	28¢	$60	0xdb4e31…
06-05 20:55:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x1f83a7…
06-04 20:47:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	143	28¢	$40	0x224957…
06-04 09:18:18	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	452	22¢	$100	0xa88622…
06-04 06:41:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	711	14¢	$100	0xbbdb24…
06-03 22:42:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x5fa214…
06-02 03:54:54	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xc3c940…
05-29 13:31:44	Canada recession before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	34¢	$21	0x29b40d…
05-23 20:31:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	62¢	$100	0xeeee7f…
05-22 21:30:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	143	70¢	$100	0xf311e2…
05-22 21:29:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	161	62¢	$100	0x120fa4…
05-21 18:20:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	746	14¢	$104	0xfb1204…
05-21 07:09:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xf073c5…
05-20 15:33:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	746	6¢	$45	0x85079b…
05-20 15:21:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x2e05be…
05-20 15:19:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0xcc4dae…
05-19 16:31:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	572	17¢	$97	0x6ce227…
05-19 08:29:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,143	9¢	$100	0x58a4b1…
05-18 10:56:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xd503aa…
05-15 13:41:17	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x8da63b…
04-30 07:31:30	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	486	98¢	$475	0x486317…
04-29 05:07:00	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	840	12¢	$100	0xc3ccfd…
04-29 04:52:08	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	486	21¢	$100	0xeda9ce…
04-29 04:51:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	31¢	$100	0x3b9cc1…
04-29 04:50:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x2ad866…
04-23 08:27:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x277096…
04-21 16:40:10	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	3,475	3¢	$100	0x624425…
04-21 16:39:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	461	22¢	$100	0x83fda1…
04-21 16:37:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xc443b9…
04-10 07:19:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x1d3949…
04-10 07:17:01	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	658	15¢	$100	0x9fdd99…
04-09 13:51:59	Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x1bd3bf…
04-09 13:51:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x3c2222…
04-09 13:49:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	409	24¢	$100	0x89849f…
04-08 14:44:55	Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	Yes	SELL	108	66¢	$71	0x3ffe3b…
04-08 14:43:19	Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?	No	SELL	118	87¢	$103	0x0a3fb1…
04-08 14:42:25	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	149	98¢	$146	0x00ee46…
04-08 07:21:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	458	69¢	$316	0x88e092…
04-08 07:10:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,111	100¢	$1,107	0x11b663…
04-07 07:21:33	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x274380…
04-07 07:19:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf25ee6…
04-03 07:21:35	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	34¢	$100	0xf7bfa6…
04-03 07:21:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	458	22¢	$100	0xb6c7f7…
03-31 16:44:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x37f4e9…
03-30 10:38:52	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x2a8b8a…
03-30 10:09:10	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xc8cafe…
03-27 10:10:03	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x316c6c…
03-27 05:49:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	292	34¢	$100	0xd2c509…
03-26 07:24:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xaea493…
03-25 08:31:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x45aa44…
03-25 06:54:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x447609…
03-24 11:43:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	456	22¢	$100	0xd5b88a…
03-24 10:23:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	6,250	2¢	$100	0x462d35…
03-24 06:51:37	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	173	79¢	$137	0x384764…
03-24 06:51:23	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x80cc58…
03-24 06:19:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	141	79¢	$111	0x6ab84c…
03-24 06:19:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xaa4a59…
03-23 09:47:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x1bab29…
03-21 15:14:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x49131a…
03-21 15:13:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	115	87¢	$100	0xd5c89c…
03-21 05:43:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x070c4b…
03-20 07:30:57	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xd4362b…
03-20 05:30:17	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	169	53¢	$90	0x736693…
03-20 05:29:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x7860d2…
03-19 09:56:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	379	26¢	$100	0x7adbf6…
03-19 09:55:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x14d44a…
03-19 09:55:21	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0x0d75c8…
03-19 09:54:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x3d0826…
03-18 11:33:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x48969a…
03-18 11:32:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	3,846	3¢	$100	0x274968…
03-17 11:09:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	2,273	4¢	$100	0xf504df…
03-17 08:55:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,755	6¢	$100	0x2aec35…
03-17 03:54:15	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xe5dd6b…
03-16 11:41:11	will khamenei tweet again on march 16 2026 714 288	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xafbfeb…
03-16 09:39:05	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x1dcb11…
03-16 09:32:25	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x8729ea…
03-16 09:31:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x745bee…
03-16 09:29:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf6e550…
03-16 09:29:07	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xa2fd76…
03-16 05:16:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x7f2b11…
03-16 04:41:09	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x8f7b6a…
03-16 00:37:51	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xac7818…
03-16 00:37:23	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	410	49¢	$200	0x2f0bed…
03-14 17:58:03	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	Yes	BUY	473	21¢	$100	0x499eaf…
03-14 12:58:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x9f30eb…
03-13 18:15:45	Canada recession before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	34¢	$21	0x9a8cbb…
02-19 08:35:44	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xcb0df4…
02-19 08:34:30	will iran close its airspace by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0x018e90…
01-31 12:14:42	moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xd6efc1…
01-30 03:12:42	north korea missile launch by february 14	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xf180cc…
01-30 03:11:06	will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	No	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0x319199…
01-30 03:10:40	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xc57b72…
01-26 12:01:49	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	1,721	15¢	$258	0x8f1b24…
01-26 12:01:31	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	SELL	14,365	2¢	$258	0xae43d4…
01-26 12:00:51	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	14,365	2¢	$308	0xaa225f…
01-07 07:27:51	Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	Yes	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x6ab2af…
01-01 20:45:57	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x06071f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	58	$1.12M	18,084	06-09 16:12
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	58	$300.6K	24,608	06-01 03:58
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	58	$193.3K	1,353	06-08 20:17
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	56	$26.7M	36,852	06-09 17:24
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	54	$539.3K	38,688	06-09 14:24
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	54	$37.2K	3,202	06-08 23:02
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	48	$23.7K	9,961	06-09 15:20
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	48	$8.32K	2,949	06-09 16:59