Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$157

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$257

Other

36% 0% $-100

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	04-08 07:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$611	2,198	141	+2,057	open	—	03-26 07:24
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$575	486	486	+0	open	—	04-30 07:31
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$566	14,365	14,365	+0	open	—	01-26 12:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$446	2,810	2,064	+746	open	—	05-21 18:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$416	458	458	+0	open	—	04-08 07:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$400	1,598	115	+1,484	open	—	03-21 15:14
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$337	652	173	+479	open	—	03-24 06:51
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$300	614	0	+614	open	—	03-16 00:37
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$300	2,711	0	+2,711	open	—	07-14 20:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$300	1,236	0	+1,236	open	—	04-10 07:19
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$258	1,721	0	+1,721	open	—	01-26 12:01
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$246	149	149	+0	open	—	04-08 14:42
will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	4	$202	497	249	+249	open	—	06-22 22:44
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	2	$202	452	226	+226	open	—	06-14 16:17
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	2	$201	311	155	+155	open	—	06-30 23:31
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	4	$200	711	355	+355	open	—	06-05 22:48
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$200	345	173	+173	open	—	06-07 21:43
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$200	6,119	0	+6,119	open	—	03-18 11:32
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$200	1,806	0	+1,806	open	—	03-25 06:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$200	323	161	+161	open	—	05-22 21:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$200	323	161	+161	open	—	05-23 20:31
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$200	833	417	+417	open	—	07-07 17:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$200	286	143	+143	open	—	05-22 21:30
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	2	$199	270	135	+135	open	—	06-13 16:43
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$190	169	169	+0	open	—	03-20 05:30
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	2	$171	108	108	+0	open	—	04-08 14:44
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?	1	$103	0	118	-118	open	—	04-08 14:43
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$101	0	142	-142	open	—	07-13 16:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$100	312	0	+312	open	—	03-19 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:15:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	206	25¢	$52	0x0fbd4f…
07-14 20:22:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	1,991	10¢	$200	0x194f96…
07-14 20:19:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	720	14¢	$100	0x48add5…
07-13 16:56:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	71¢	$101	0x16ba1f…
07-07 17:42:40	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	417	24¢	$100	0xb7e416…
07-07 17:41:13	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xf32f82…
06-30 23:31:46	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	155	65¢	$101	0xa3cf4f…
06-29 23:20:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xe955b4…
06-22 22:44:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	No	SELL	239	41¢	$98	0xe31790…
06-22 22:43:47	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x2facc5…
06-22 22:41:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	No	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x70f2ef…
06-18 07:24:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	No	BUY	497	20¢	$100	0x04934b…
06-17 08:38:16	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	311	32¢	$100	0x370239…
06-17 07:20:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x9c8f2e…
06-16 09:55:58	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	346	29¢	$100	0xb05816…
06-14 16:17:03	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	226	45¢	$102	0xbdcd5b…
06-13 16:43:19	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	135	74¢	$100	0x919a74…
06-12 11:11:30	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x1d3cff…
06-10 08:50:48	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xa92eeb…
06-09 10:43:19	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x5e2929…
06-08 06:32:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x9b9eb0…
06-07 21:43:16	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	58¢	$100	0xb11949…
06-05 22:48:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	212	28¢	$60	0xdb4e31…
06-05 20:55:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x1f83a7…
06-04 20:47:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	143	28¢	$40	0x224957…
06-04 09:18:18	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	452	22¢	$100	0xa88622…
06-04 06:41:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	711	14¢	$100	0xbbdb24…
06-03 22:42:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x5fa214…
06-02 03:54:54	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xc3c940…
05-29 13:31:44	Canada recession before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	34¢	$21	0x29b40d…
05-23 20:31:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	62¢	$100	0xeeee7f…
05-22 21:30:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	143	70¢	$100	0xf311e2…
05-22 21:29:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	161	62¢	$100	0x120fa4…
05-21 18:20:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	746	14¢	$104	0xfb1204…
05-21 07:09:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xf073c5…
05-20 15:33:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	746	6¢	$45	0x85079b…
05-20 15:21:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x2e05be…
05-20 15:19:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0xcc4dae…
05-19 16:31:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	572	17¢	$97	0x6ce227…
05-19 08:29:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,143	9¢	$100	0x58a4b1…
05-18 10:56:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xd503aa…
05-15 13:41:17	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x8da63b…
04-30 07:31:30	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	486	98¢	$475	0x486317…
04-29 05:07:00	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	840	12¢	$100	0xc3ccfd…
04-29 04:52:08	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	486	21¢	$100	0xeda9ce…
04-29 04:51:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	31¢	$100	0x3b9cc1…
04-29 04:50:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x2ad866…
04-23 08:27:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x277096…
04-21 16:40:10	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	3,475	3¢	$100	0x624425…
04-21 16:39:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	461	22¢	$100	0x83fda1…
04-21 16:37:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xc443b9…
04-10 07:19:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x1d3949…
04-10 07:17:01	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	658	15¢	$100	0x9fdd99…
04-09 13:51:59	Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x1bd3bf…
04-09 13:51:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x3c2222…
04-09 13:49:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	409	24¢	$100	0x89849f…
04-08 14:44:55	Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?	Yes	SELL	108	66¢	$71	0x3ffe3b…
04-08 14:43:19	Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?	No	SELL	118	87¢	$103	0x0a3fb1…
04-08 14:42:25	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	149	98¢	$146	0x00ee46…
04-08 07:21:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	458	69¢	$316	0x88e092…
04-08 07:10:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,111	100¢	$1,107	0x11b663…
04-07 07:21:33	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x274380…
04-07 07:19:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf25ee6…
04-03 07:21:35	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	34¢	$100	0xf7bfa6…
04-03 07:21:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	458	22¢	$100	0xb6c7f7…
03-31 16:44:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x37f4e9…
03-30 10:38:52	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x2a8b8a…
03-30 10:09:10	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xc8cafe…
03-27 10:10:03	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x316c6c…
03-27 05:49:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	292	34¢	$100	0xd2c509…
03-26 07:24:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xaea493…
03-25 08:31:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x45aa44…
03-25 06:54:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x447609…
03-24 11:43:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	456	22¢	$100	0xd5b88a…
03-24 10:23:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	6,250	2¢	$100	0x462d35…
03-24 06:51:37	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	173	79¢	$137	0x384764…
03-24 06:51:23	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x80cc58…
03-24 06:19:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	141	79¢	$111	0x6ab84c…
03-24 06:19:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xaa4a59…
03-23 09:47:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x1bab29…
03-21 15:14:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x49131a…
03-21 15:13:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	115	87¢	$100	0xd5c89c…
03-21 05:43:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x070c4b…
03-20 07:30:57	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xd4362b…
03-20 05:30:17	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	169	53¢	$90	0x736693…
03-20 05:29:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x7860d2…
03-19 09:56:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	379	26¢	$100	0x7adbf6…
03-19 09:55:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x14d44a…
03-19 09:55:21	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0x0d75c8…
03-19 09:54:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x3d0826…
03-18 11:33:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x48969a…
03-18 11:32:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	3,846	3¢	$100	0x274968…
03-17 11:09:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	2,273	4¢	$100	0xf504df…
03-17 08:55:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,755	6¢	$100	0x2aec35…
03-17 03:54:15	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xe5dd6b…
03-16 11:41:11	will khamenei tweet again on march 16 2026 714 288	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xafbfeb…
03-16 09:39:05	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x1dcb11…
03-16 09:32:25	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x8729ea…
03-16 09:31:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x745bee…
03-16 09:29:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf6e550…