Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c5d…e92b82
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$447
Unrealized P&L
+$763
Hit rate
84.9%
Resolved
10
Trades
62,562
lifetime
Volume
$643.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$14.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 06-30 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
77% 78% +$438
Other
15% 100% +$9
Tech
8% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 8015 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -5,268 $-1,773 76¢ $-4030 $-2,257 06-30 15:35
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +1,545 $1,429 90¢ $1.4K $-31 06-30 20:45
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +845 $306 100¢ $844 +$538 06-05 18:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +731 $717 100¢ $730 +$13 06-25 14:51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +4,115 $1,050 16¢ $679 $-371 06-08 08:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,242 $-475 52¢ $-652 $-176 06-02 13:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -613 $-529 100¢ $-610 $-81 06-26 08:55
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +573 $550 100¢ $572 +$22 06-30 21:14
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +455 $-1,625 100¢ $453 +$2,078 06-25 15:02
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +1,462 $362 29¢ $424 +$62 06-30 13:56
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? Yes +642 $318 64¢ $414 +$97 06-29 20:25
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1,132 $453 36¢ $413 $-40 06-30 15:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -582 $-435 68¢ $-393 +$42 06-30 20:33
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +398 $352 88¢ $352 +$0 06-26 00:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,730 $-620 20¢ $-337 +$282 06-27 05:46
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +407 $317 82¢ $334 +$16 06-30 09:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -312 $-252 100¢ $-311 $-59 06-29 21:56
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026? No +282 $277 100¢ $281 +$3 06-25 10:11
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? Yes +279 $265 80¢ $223 $-43 06-30 03:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +184 $93 100¢ $184 +$91 06-30 21:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -181 $-240 82¢ $-149 +$91 06-29 21:31
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -143 $-138 100¢ $-143 $-5 06-07 01:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +205 $72 56¢ $116 +$43 06-30 17:50
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -108 $-105 99¢ $-108 $-2 06-12 07:05
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -244 $-113 42¢ $-103 +$10 06-01 15:31
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +912 $-47 10¢ $87 +$134 06-29 09:28
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +80 $-231 100¢ $79 +$311 06-27 09:13
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes -159 $-74 44¢ $-71 +$4 06-28 23:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +272 $82 25¢ $68 $-14 06-30 14:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +84 $66 80¢ $68 +$2 06-27 05:47