Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c5d…e92b82 Create alert
whale bot hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$254
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
445
Trades
150,492
lifetime
Volume
$1.73M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$16.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 11-08 08:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Politics
58% 68% +$7,202
Other
34% 57% +$2,201
Tech
7% 36% -$1,683
Crypto
1% 43% -$151
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 4200 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +1,399 $1,298 91¢ $1.3K -$31 11-08 08:45
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +1,158 $982 95¢ $1.1K +$118 11-08 02:53
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,512 $1,597 64¢ $961 -$635 10-31 00:25
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +1,138 $957 82¢ $939 -$18 11-05 18:19
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +1,297 $902 68¢ $889 -$13 11-05 08:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +2,354 $810 34¢ $789 -$21 11-08 07:59
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +990 $756 77¢ $763 +$6 11-08 05:44
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +781 $654 86¢ $675 +$21 11-08 03:35
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? No +822 $643 78¢ $645 +$2 11-08 09:51
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2026? No +626 $569 95¢ $598 +$29 11-08 09:50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +1,512 $114 36¢ $551 +$437 10-30 02:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? No +826 $521 62¢ $516 -$4 11-05 18:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? No +532 $493 96¢ $512 +$20 11-05 20:19
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +527 $475 86¢ $456 -$19 11-07 21:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +972 $517 43¢ $418 -$99 11-08 09:47
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +987 $176 42¢ $415 +$238 11-08 03:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +413 $176 92¢ $377 +$201 11-05 20:42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +420 $376 86¢ $359 -$17 11-07 18:34
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +388 $345 90¢ $351 +$6 11-08 08:58
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? Yes +385 $310 90¢ $349 +$39 11-05 06:08
US imports Russian diesel by January 31? No +422 $354 82¢ $346 -$8 11-08 08:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? No +3,266 $470 11¢ $345 -$125 11-08 05:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? Yes +456 $277 72¢ $331 +$53 11-08 00:14
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +342 $322 95¢ $327 +$4 11-07 22:20
Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +530 $522 59¢ $312 -$210 11-07 19:42
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +356 $306 86¢ $308 +$2 11-04 16:05
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +313 $300 97¢ $303 +$4 11-05 19:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +303 $270 100¢ $302 +$32 11-06 16:13
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? No +658 $58 46¢ $299 +$241 11-08 03:12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +330 $295 90¢ $295 +$0 11-07 20:28