Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c5d…e92b82 Create alert
whale bot hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$332
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved
444
Trades
150,120
lifetime
Volume
$1.73M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$16.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 11-08 02:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Politics
58% 68% +$7,197
Other
34% 57% +$2,201
Tech
7% 36% -$1,683
Crypto
1% 43% -$151
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 4200 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +1,386 $1,284 95¢ $1.3K +$33 11-08 02:48
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +1,158 $982 95¢ $1.1K +$118 11-08 02:53
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,512 $1,597 63¢ $950 -$647 10-31 00:25
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +1,138 $957 82¢ $939 -$18 11-05 18:19
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +1,297 $902 68¢ $889 -$13 11-05 08:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +2,365 $813 34¢ $816 +$3 11-07 18:55
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +954 $728 77¢ $735 +$6 11-08 03:37
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? No +821 $643 82¢ $674 +$31 11-08 03:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +781 $654 86¢ $672 +$17 11-08 03:35
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2026? No +690 $629 95¢ $658 +$29 11-07 23:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +1,512 $114 37¢ $563 +$448 10-30 02:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? No +826 $521 62¢ $516 -$4 11-05 18:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? No +532 $493 96¢ $512 +$20 11-05 20:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,154 $597 44¢ $502 -$95 11-07 23:38
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +527 $475 87¢ $459 -$16 11-07 21:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +987 $176 42¢ $415 +$238 11-08 03:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +413 $176 92¢ $377 +$201 11-05 20:42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +420 $376 85¢ $357 -$19 11-07 18:34
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? Yes +385 $310 86¢ $333 +$23 11-05 06:08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? Yes +456 $277 72¢ $328 +$51 11-08 00:14
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +342 $322 96¢ $328 +$5 11-07 22:20
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? No +3,175 $459 10¢ $325 -$134 11-08 03:12
US imports Russian diesel by January 31? No +397 $334 82¢ $324 -$10 11-06 19:13
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? No +658 $58 48¢ $316 +$258 11-08 03:12
Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +530 $522 59¢ $312 -$209 11-07 19:42
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +356 $306 86¢ $308 +$2 11-04 16:05
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +313 $300 97¢ $303 +$3 11-05 19:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +303 $270 100¢ $302 +$32 11-06 16:13
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +330 $295 89¢ $293 -$2 11-07 20:28
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +329 $307 87¢ $287 -$20 11-08 02:47