Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c5d…e92b82
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$447
Unrealized P&L
-$2.45K
Hit rate
84.9%
Resolved
10
Trades
77,816
lifetime
Volume
$824.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$9.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 07-21 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
68% 78% +$438
Other
17% 100% +$9
Tech
14% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 8015 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -5,008 $-1,589 80¢ $-4032 $-2,443 07-21 02:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -957 $-759 99¢ $-944 $-185 07-11 19:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +845 $306 100¢ $844 +$538 06-05 18:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,242 $-475 62¢ $-776 $-301 06-02 13:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +4,115 $1,050 14¢ $576 $-474 06-08 08:14
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +470 $409 90¢ $423 +$14 07-20 17:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,730 $-620 14¢ $-234 +$386 07-20 08:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +205 $193 96¢ $196 +$3 07-20 18:49
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? Yes +306 $290 64¢ $196 $-94 07-20 10:07
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +216 $-128 68¢ $148 +$276 07-20 16:00
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +3,564 $639 4¢ $127 $-513 07-19 16:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +234 $-1 44¢ $104 +$106 07-13 17:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -177 $-200 56¢ $-98 +$102 07-20 09:17
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? Yes +192 $38 50¢ $95 +$57 07-20 14:37
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -244 $-113 38¢ $-92 +$21 06-01 15:31
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes -139 $-67 60¢ $-84 $-17 07-16 00:00
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -81 $-79 88¢ $-71 +$8 07-19 09:57
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +69 $23 96¢ $67 +$44 06-26 04:09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +518 $41 12¢ $60 +$19 07-20 15:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +322 $91 17¢ $55 $-37 07-20 21:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -54 $-53 98¢ $-52 +$0 07-10 12:47
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -52 $-43 89¢ $-46 $-3 06-25 12:19
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +3,178 $74 1¢ $44 $-29 07-20 23:33
Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes -63 $-35 66¢ $-42 $-7 07-01 10:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +64 $-14 64¢ $41 +$55 07-15 23:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +42 $35 94¢ $40 +$4 06-07 10:34
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +45 $35 75¢ $34 $-1 07-20 01:38
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +271 $24 11¢ $31 +$7 07-15 00:18
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -45 $-36 66¢ $-30 +$6 07-17 18:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +34 $21 86¢ $29 +$8 07-20 08:47