Failing-Doorway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.88K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

5,633

Trades

20,324

lifetime

Volume

$540.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-27 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 79% -$5,015

Other

20% 63% +$499

Sports

3% 54% -$365

Politics

0% 38% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 390 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	—	+21	$15	98¢	$20	+$6	10-28 00:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
meta close above 670 on march 2 2026	9	$2.6K	1,324	1,324	+0	No	+$3	03-02 22:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:15 UTC	15	$2.5K	1,918	1,901	+17	Up	+$112	02-03 22:27
tsla up or down on march 2 2026	7	$2.3K	1,177	1,177	+0	Up	+$7	03-02 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:45 UTC	14	$2.2K	1,768	1,265	+503	Up	+$41	02-06 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 21:45 UTC	14	$2.1K	2,180	0	+2,180	Up	+$43	03-11 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 22:00 UTC	10	$2.0K	3,734	462	+3,272	Down	+$1,428	02-04 22:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:45 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,989	0	+1,989	Down	+$55	02-03 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:15 UTC	13	$1.8K	1,571	1,227	+343	Up	+$54	02-03 19:29
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	1	$1.7K	1,700	0	+1,700	No	+$2	03-03 16:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:15 UTC	10	$1.6K	2,436	0	+2,436	Down	+$796	02-03 18:25
solana up or down on february 5	9	$1.6K	858	858	+0	Down	+$107	02-05 19:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:30 UTC	9	$1.6K	1,044	1,033	+11	Down	+$141	02-03 22:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:00 UTC	10	$1.6K	1,939	197	+1,742	Down	+$421	02-03 17:11
bitcoin up or down march 11 6pm et	3	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	+$18	03-11 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:10 UTC	10	$1.6K	1,583	0	+1,583	Up	+$18	03-11 22:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:00 UTC	15	$1.5K	2,242	0	+2,242	Down	+$698	02-04 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 00:25 UTC	34	$1.5K	1,637	0	+1,637	Down	-$1,504	03-15 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 20:00 UTC	17	$1.5K	1,889	0	+1,889	Down	+$395	02-03 20:12
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	5	$1.5K	773	773	+0	No	+$49	02-05 14:43
ethereum above 1800 on march 3	10	$1.5K	729	729	+0	Yes	+$6	03-03 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:35 UTC	29	$1.4K	820	818	+2	Down	+$151	02-16 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:00 UTC	33	$1.4K	1,570	0	+1,570	Up	+$156	03-14 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:50 UTC	7	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	+$5	03-01 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:50 UTC	21	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Up	+$42	02-16 20:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 17:00 UTC	6	$1.3K	1,079	1,079	+0	Up	+$15	02-06 20:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 21:45 UTC	15	$1.3K	1,774	0	+1,774	Up	-$1,327	02-04 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:30 UTC	22	$1.3K	1,338	0	+1,338	Up	+$37	03-07 15:34
bitcoin up or down on february 6	12	$1.3K	910	910	+0	Up	+$118	02-06 16:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:45 UTC	5	$1.3K	1,547	0	+1,547	Down	+$273	02-03 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:35 UTC	23	$1.2K	685	682	+3	Up	+$136	02-16 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:06:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x255f72…
10-27 23:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x30dff3…
10-27 22:05:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x45b850…
10-27 21:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x9dd170…
10-27 21:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa59ccb…
10-27 19:47:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x401705…
10-27 19:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x46b110…
10-27 18:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x4ede80…
10-27 18:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x8c75e4…
10-27 18:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xec7970…
10-27 18:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x747058…
10-27 18:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xb0288a…
10-27 18:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xf1727a…
10-27 17:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x16ff98…
10-27 17:41:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xe68e4f…
10-27 17:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xc8c6bc…
10-27 17:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x6de387…
10-27 15:58:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xae139c…
10-27 15:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0x2aed22…
10-27 15:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x4e35c9…
10-27 15:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5f439c…
10-27 15:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0xee3f20…
10-27 15:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x360517…
10-27 15:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x63b4e9…
10-27 15:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x386e99…
10-27 15:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd68f32…
10-27 15:12:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x247cca…
10-27 15:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x9d7ca4…
10-27 14:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x543bce…
10-27 14:01:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$15	0x68cba9…
10-27 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x7e60c6…
10-27 13:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xad9683…
10-27 13:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x897c3c…
10-27 13:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x86d24d…
10-27 13:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb26c3d…
10-27 12:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xf2dfff…
10-27 12:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x47c161…
10-27 12:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xad374b…
10-27 12:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x2391f9…
10-27 11:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0df560…
10-27 10:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0xc98412…
10-27 10:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x39b4b1…
10-27 10:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	44¢	$14	0x7c56eb…
10-27 10:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xd61c7f…
10-27 09:40:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xef26a8…
10-27 09:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6167c6…
10-27 07:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc12c80…
10-27 07:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x8a50ab…
10-27 07:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x22d924…
10-27 07:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x34dce6…
10-27 07:32:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x76a3e3…
10-27 07:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xec9fde…
10-27 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	55	26¢	$14	0xb840e0…
10-27 06:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x35c20f…
10-27 06:47:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdbe578…
10-27 06:08:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0xe4bbc4…
10-27 06:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5f3433…
10-27 06:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x61fe62…
10-27 05:47:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3eff5e…
10-27 05:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5642d1…
10-27 05:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb9a5e7…
10-27 05:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x57d343…
10-27 05:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x28705a…
10-27 05:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x377df8…
10-27 04:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x360bd1…
10-27 04:48:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0d7182…
10-27 04:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x153b33…
10-27 04:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xcb7147…
10-27 04:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x115bd7…
10-27 04:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd0a5c1…
10-27 04:34:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd7b150…
10-27 04:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x250938…
10-27 04:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x21c270…
10-27 04:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0xd93bc9…
10-27 04:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x72af08…
10-27 04:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x64a927…
10-27 04:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9a0fbe…
10-27 04:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb72565…
10-27 04:08:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8bde8c…
10-27 04:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd15028…
10-27 04:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x62cd5c…
10-27 03:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81d228…
10-27 03:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x26f865…
10-27 03:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x30e626…
10-27 03:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb548c2…
10-27 03:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7a7e0a…
10-27 03:36:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc5ce56…
10-27 03:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9f8371…
10-27 02:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x54a06e…
10-27 02:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcef1ce…
10-27 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc38bee…
10-27 02:27:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1f6a98…
10-27 02:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x01a679…
10-27 00:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfa6cd9…
10-27 00:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x162ea6…
10-26 23:54:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x039170…
10-26 23:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8f9a07…
10-26 23:47:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xec14f5…
10-26 23:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x042241…
10-26 23:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb100a1…