Realized P&L
-$129
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
444
Trades
5,044
lifetime
Volume
$3.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$6
11 positions
First seen
2026-07-07
last 10-27 21:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
82% 75% -$105
Politics
12% 56% -$5
Sports
5% 55% -$19
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,910 $0 0¢ $3 +$2 09-08 13:32
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,109 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 10-27 10:10
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +260 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 08-04 02:49
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +244 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 10-27 21:17
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4 -$1 2¢ $0 +$1 09-22 16:40
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-04 09:57
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 09-22 08:36
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-16 18:08
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 09-16 20:26
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +0 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-15 19:31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-12 19:33