Realized P&L
-$715
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
20.4%
Resolved
68
Trades
31,728
lifetime
Volume
$149.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.03K
26 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 06-09 18:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Crypto
53%
Other
18% 34% $-445
Politics
14% 50% $-166
Sports
14% 30% $-103
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 2693 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -180 $-151 84¢ $-150 +$1 06-10 02:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -165 $-150 88¢ $-145 +$5 06-09 11:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -155 $-141 90¢ $-140 +$1 06-10 01:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -145 $-117 80¢ $-117 +$1 06-09 09:12
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? Yes +156 $78 72¢ $112 +$34 06-03 04:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -140 $-76 50¢ $-71 +$5 06-09 12:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -54 $-33 62¢ $-33 $-0 06-09 09:17
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -31 $-24 78¢ $-24 $-1 06-10 02:17
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -51 $-24 46¢ $-24 $-0 06-09 18:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -32 $-23 72¢ $-23 $-0 06-07 20:15
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -25 $-22 88¢ $-22 +$0 06-09 09:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -30 $-21 73¢ $-22 $-0 06-03 11:10
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -30 $-22 72¢ $-21 +$0 06-09 11:15
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +20 $16 100¢ $20 +$4 06-03 16:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -27 $-18 74¢ $-20 $-1 06-04 18:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-18 68¢ $-17 +$0 06-09 15:11
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +115 $29 14¢ $16 $-13 06-08 14:18
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 +$0 06-09 15:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +14 $11 64¢ $9 $-2 06-04 16:34
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -9 $-15 100¢ $-9 +$7 06-08 07:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -10 $-8 82¢ $-8 $-0 06-09 10:54
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -11 $-8 72¢ $-8 +$0 06-09 13:29
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-1 06-05 18:02
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No -20 $-12 22¢ $-4 +$8 06-09 10:15
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-2 72¢ $-2 +$0 06-09 14:13
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-01 10:34