Realized P&L
-$731
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved
4,855
Trades
32,594
lifetime
Volume
$158.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$673
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 07-05 11:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 57% +$1,394
Other
19% 43% -$1,141
Politics
16% 52% -$499
Sports
14% 52% -$533
Tech
0% 50% +$22
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$25
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -318 -$242 94¢ $-300 -$59 06-16 21:27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -70 -$51 95¢ $-67 -$16 06-12 03:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -70 -$42 87¢ $-61 -$19 06-11 06:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -115 -$63 34¢ $-39 +$25 06-10 02:40
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -31 -$24 95¢ $-30 -$6 06-10 02:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -44 -$32 64¢ $-29 +$4 06-10 07:44
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -157 -$38 17¢ $-26 +$12 06-15 09:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -25 -$21 94¢ $-23 -$2 06-09 10:22
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -14 -$12 88¢ $-13 $0 06-16 17:34
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 +$0 06-09 09:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -10 -$8 97¢ $-10 -$2 06-09 10:54
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes -9 -$8 86¢ $-8 +$0 06-25 02:28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -46 -$15 14¢ $-7 +$9 05-09 06:47
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -5 -$4 95¢ $-5 -$1 07-04 22:01
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -15 -$8 34¢ $-5 +$3 06-10 09:25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No -5 -$3 98¢ $-5 -$2 07-04 22:02
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 96¢ $-5 $0 07-04 22:07
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 $0 07-04 22:00
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 $0 07-04 22:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 -$5 94¢ $-5 $0 07-04 21:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5 -$4 86¢ $-4 $0 06-07 20:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -5 -$2 68¢ $-3 -$1 07-05 11:04
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -70 -$38 4¢ $-3 +$35 06-09 12:44
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 42¢ $-2 -$1 07-05 11:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -14 -$2 14¢ $-2 +$0 07-05 11:04
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -15 -$3 10¢ $-1 +$1 06-22 12:10
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$1 12¢ $-1 +$0 07-05 11:04
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$3 12¢ $-1 +$2 06-22 09:28
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$2 5¢ $-0 +$2 07-05 11:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 4¢ $-0 +$2 07-05 11:04