Realized P&L
-$715
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
20.4%
Resolved
68
Trades
31,888
lifetime
Volume
$152.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 07-05 11:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Crypto
52%
Other
18% 34% $-445
Politics
16% 50% $-166
Sports
14% 30% $-103
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -327 $-248 88¢ $-286 $-38 06-16 21:27
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +106 $38 100¢ $106 +$68 06-12 20:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -105 $-61 78¢ $-82 $-22 06-11 06:39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -140 $-76 55¢ $-77 $-1 06-09 12:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -85 $-73 89¢ $-75 $-2 06-11 07:05
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -70 $-51 78¢ $-55 $-4 06-12 03:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-33 80¢ $-44 $-11 06-12 14:02
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -786 $-39 $-38 +$2 07-04 21:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -54 $-33 66¢ $-36 $-3 06-09 09:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -44 $-32 80¢ $-35 $-3 06-10 07:44
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -31 $-24 89¢ $-28 $-4 06-10 02:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -32 $-23 74¢ $-24 $-1 06-07 20:15
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -25 $-22 93¢ $-23 $-1 06-09 09:04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -30 $-22 70¢ $-21 +$0 06-09 11:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-18 84¢ $-21 $-4 06-09 15:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -27 $-18 78¢ $-21 $-3 06-04 18:47
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -51 $-24 38¢ $-20 +$4 06-09 18:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -18 $-15 72¢ $-13 +$2 06-11 17:35
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -14 $-12 92¢ $-13 $-1 06-16 17:34
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -10 $-10 93¢ $-9 +$0 06-09 15:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -10 $-8 88¢ $-9 $-1 06-09 10:54
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -10 $-8 87¢ $-9 $-0 06-22 05:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 06-24 12:38
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -6 $-5 84¢ $-5 $-0 06-22 04:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-5 46¢ $-5 +$0 06-22 09:28
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 07-04 22:07
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? No -5 $-5 91¢ $-5 +$0 07-04 22:03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 07-04 22:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-4 +$0 07-04 21:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No -5 $-4 89¢ $-4 $-0 07-04 22:05