Realized P&L
-$715
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
20.4%
Resolved
68
Trades
31,860
lifetime
Volume
$152.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 06-30 10:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Crypto
52%
Other
18% 34% $-445
Politics
16% 50% $-166
Sports
14% 30% $-103
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 892 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -327 $-248 84¢ $-273 $-24 06-16 21:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -155 $-141 100¢ $-155 $-14 06-10 01:15
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +106 $38 100¢ $106 +$68 06-12 20:46
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -140 $-76 64¢ $-90 $-15 06-09 12:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -90 $-122 100¢ $-90 +$32 06-17 01:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -105 $-61 70¢ $-74 $-13 06-11 06:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -85 $-73 84¢ $-71 +$2 06-11 07:05
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -70 $-51 74¢ $-52 $-1 06-12 03:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -44 $-32 74¢ $-33 $-1 06-10 07:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -54 $-33 58¢ $-31 +$1 06-09 09:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-33 56¢ $-31 +$2 06-12 14:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -32 $-23 84¢ $-27 $-4 06-07 20:15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -30 $-22 84¢ $-25 $-3 06-09 11:15
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -31 $-24 78¢ $-24 $-1 06-10 02:17
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -51 $-24 46¢ $-23 +$0 06-09 18:45
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -25 $-22 87¢ $-22 +$1 06-09 09:04
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -63 $-26 33¢ $-21 +$6 06-22 01:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-13 17:54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -27 $-18 74¢ $-20 $-1 06-04 18:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-18 70¢ $-18 +$0 06-09 15:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -18 $-15 86¢ $-16 $-0 06-11 17:35
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -14 $-12 91¢ $-13 $-0 06-16 17:34
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No -12 $-12 100¢ $-12 $-0 06-10 08:35
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No -113 $-21 11¢ $-12 +$10 06-24 19:26
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes +39 $10 27¢ $10 +$0 06-24 12:35
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-9 +$0 06-09 15:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -10 $-8 88¢ $-9 $-1 06-09 10:54
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -10 $-8 86¢ $-9 $-0 06-22 05:51
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +334 $75 $6 $-69 06-30 10:03
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No -10 $-5 56¢ $-6 $-1 06-23 12:46