Realized P&L
+$1.05K
Unrealized P&L
+$113
Hit rate
89.3%
Resolved
337
Trades
1,046
lifetime
Volume
$31.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$2.79K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 14:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
58% 72% +$690
Sports
36% 84% +$196
Politics
4% 70% +$181
Tech
1% 50% -$24
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +600 $565 98¢ $590 +$26 10-21 03:19
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +300 $252 92¢ $274 +$22 05-29 02:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +273 $253 95¢ $259 +$6 09-01 23:39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +207 $192 98¢ $204 +$12 10-23 01:16
Trump out as President before 2027? No +200 $184 98¢ $196 +$12 07-04 07:46
US recession by end of 2026? No +140 $130 96¢ $135 +$4 10-20 15:39
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? No +120 $109 97¢ $117 +$8 09-30 14:26
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 97¢ $97 +$11 05-23 05:53
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027? No +100 $95 88¢ $88 -$7 10-30 02:29
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes +80 $73 99¢ $79 +$6 08-28 07:07
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -80 -$64 96¢ $-77 -$13 07-09 08:18
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? No -73 -$73 100¢ $-73 +$0 10-15 17:17
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +60 $49 98¢ $59 +$10 08-31 10:48
Will Brighton finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? No +80 $69 70¢ $56 -$13 09-27 08:57
Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? No +60 $48 86¢ $52 +$4 10-10 01:40
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +50 $44 98¢ $49 +$5 08-21 19:05
Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? No +61 $36 79¢ $48 +$12 10-03 14:59
Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? No +50 $44 86¢ $43 -$2 08-23 14:39
Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +50 $42 84¢ $42 +$0 10-30 13:47
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? No +61 $41 69¢ $42 +$1 09-17 02:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +42 $39 96¢ $40 +$1 05-25 15:31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in November? No +40 $37 90¢ $36 -$1 11-02 14:03
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +50 $38 67¢ $33 -$4 10-30 03:24
US defaults on debt by 2027? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 08-13 20:39
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +40 $29 58¢ $24 -$5 09-17 02:10
Will Leeds United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? No +28 $21 84¢ $23 +$2 09-20 11:23
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +100 $26 23¢ $23 -$3 09-22 10:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-03 00:32
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +0 -$16 100¢ $0 +$16 09-10 16:09