Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$145

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-23 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$9

Politics

19% 100% +$2

Crypto

19% 100% +$3

Sports

6% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	No	+50	$49	97¢	$49	+$0	09-21 08:31
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	No	+51	$48	95¢	$48	$0	09-18 18:41
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	+50	$48	96¢	$48	$0	09-21 11:29
Will Alberta join the US?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	06-10 21:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$118	61	61	+0	open	—	06-27 13:41
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	5	$113	58	58	+0	open	—	07-11 19:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$0	06-08 08:09
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	06-28 15:10
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	4	$106	54	54	+0	Yes	+$2	06-09 10:13
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$105	54	54	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 09:29
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	05-29 01:51
Will Alberta join the US?	12	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	06-10 21:26
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	12	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$1	09-16 09:16
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	4	$100	53	53	+0	No	+$0	06-22 00:14
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	5	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	08-03 18:14
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	3	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	08-25 02:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	08-03 06:33
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	7	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	10-20 22:24
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	6	$100	54	54	+0	No	+$0	08-23 22:32
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$99	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	07-24 16:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	09-16 20:15
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?	2	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	06-25 00:25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	11	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	07-24 18:14
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	2	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	06-04 12:58
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	10-23 20:30
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	08-29 11:48
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	4	$99	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-11 23:15
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	07-24 19:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$98	51	51	+0	open	—	09-04 11:06
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	7	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	08-03 10:55
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$94	48	48	+0	No	+$0	05-27 06:12
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	4	$73	74	0	+74	No	+$1	06-26 21:42
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	3	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-20 01:36
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	05-13 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 20:30:29	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x81c7f5…
10-20 22:24:05	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xa149de…
09-21 11:29:51	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x8a3e09…
09-21 08:31:24	Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x19ed9c…
09-18 18:41:16	Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x7f9e46…
09-16 20:15:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x49f63f…
09-16 09:16:33	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xbdcd0f…
09-05 17:33:27	Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x32bc44…
09-05 01:10:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xd0469e…
09-04 12:06:43	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x349ed0…
09-04 11:54:46	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x138f03…
09-04 11:41:25	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb2f290…
09-04 11:29:01	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe1b7bf…
09-04 11:13:40	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8a1624…
09-04 11:06:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0xec9ddf…
09-04 10:56:04	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x01318e…
09-04 10:41:12	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x137b78…
09-04 10:26:06	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x57e2bb…
09-04 10:11:12	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x33f971…
09-04 09:53:54	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcf2281…
09-04 09:40:34	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x47304e…
08-29 11:48:10	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x630b64…
08-25 02:21:13	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x398f43…
08-24 17:41:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x53231e…
08-24 13:46:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf1c86b…
08-23 22:32:03	Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x0a0525…
08-22 01:22:12	Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x855843…
08-21 21:40:06	Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x40085c…
08-19 16:29:22	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x1c393e…
08-19 06:02:52	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x91a036…
08-19 02:44:28	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x227e2e…
08-19 02:44:24	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfb5319…
08-19 02:24:27	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe071e1…
08-17 08:45:12	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a1de4…
08-17 08:45:04	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x02d99c…
08-07 21:34:30	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xec56d0…
08-07 00:49:00	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x52b1f6…
08-06 20:03:29	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xeb7876…
08-04 19:34:53	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4101a…
08-04 19:31:39	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x282758…
08-04 17:41:53	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3ad406…
08-04 03:24:38	Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe47f2e…
08-03 20:10:53	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xb87a47…
08-03 19:43:45	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x4a68c7…
08-03 18:14:44	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x534479…
08-03 18:14:09	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xe239ba…
08-03 18:14:05	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x791623…
08-03 18:13:59	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x734a25…
08-03 14:57:17	Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x543710…
08-03 10:55:57	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xa4f8f3…
08-03 06:33:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xe7f1e8…
08-03 05:40:09	Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x4ce830…
07-28 00:06:00	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf69fd3…
07-27 08:49:54	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe625ee…
07-25 16:10:19	Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x9f26db…
07-25 16:06:43	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x26d436…
07-25 08:08:19	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xde4fd3…
07-25 05:13:28	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x868a6b…
07-25 05:04:36	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb010ac…
07-24 19:26:36	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0x5122f0…
07-24 18:14:19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xb4d4af…
07-24 16:39:09	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x4625b0…
07-24 16:08:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x2b74b0…
07-24 15:44:37	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xbd3656…
07-11 19:19:52	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x8993b1…
07-03 20:58:19	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xd81c1d…
07-03 15:53:01	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x7afbbd…
07-03 15:04:14	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x51f4ef…
07-03 15:04:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbfb486…
07-03 15:02:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb23646…
07-03 15:02:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xba9b1b…
07-03 15:01:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xf922d3…
07-03 15:00:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa01614…
07-03 15:00:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9b6ed0…
07-03 14:59:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5d34a9…
07-03 14:57:53	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe349b9…
07-03 14:57:17	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x892497…
06-28 15:10:16	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x97d599…
06-28 15:10:16	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x8de0ba…
06-27 13:41:16	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x13bacb…
06-26 21:42:22	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x98b0af…
06-26 16:14:08	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x907072…
06-26 16:14:08	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x20c006…
06-26 11:46:50	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe4123b…
06-26 11:14:05	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x6407ed…
06-25 00:25:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xbf4f66…
06-22 00:14:23	Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x6d9817…
06-20 01:36:04	Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x8e14c6…
06-18 09:29:11	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xb263ea…
06-16 12:12:10	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x0e1f55…
06-11 16:58:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x140ef7…
06-10 21:26:21	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xaf0b93…
06-10 21:11:24	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x02b0f1…
06-10 21:06:04	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x36d01b…
06-10 21:04:36	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8d115d…
06-10 20:40:31	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x44e7ed…
06-10 20:27:51	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x56d0c0…
06-10 20:06:27	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xda9e5d…
06-10 20:04:28	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0a0322…
06-10 19:07:19	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x64dab7…