Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
168
lifetime
Volume
$4.33K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$420
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 06:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
46%
Politics
40% 60% $-28
Crypto
10% 100% +$1
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? No +44 $40 96¢ $42 +$2 06-02 05:53
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +33 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 05-28 06:00
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +32 $30 98¢ $31 +$1 06-02 05:54
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +31 $30 97¢ $30 +$0 06-01 06:48
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +35 $30 86¢ $30 $-0 06-01 06:36
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +31 $30 95¢ $30 $-0 06-02 05:55
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 $-0 05-31 20:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +24 $20 93¢ $22 +$2 06-01 06:48
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 06-05 18:38
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +24 $20 86¢ $20 +$0 05-31 09:13
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 06-02 21:07
Megaquake by June 30? No +21 $20 93¢ $20 $-0 06-08 22:08
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 06-05 05:33
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +21 $20 92¢ $19 $-1 06-02 21:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No +21 $20 93¢ $19 $-1 06-05 18:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +16 $15 88¢ $14 $-1 06-09 06:28
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-08 06:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +12 $10 80¢ $10 $-0 06-08 06:49