Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
238
lifetime
Volume
$5.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$736
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-26 09:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
48%
Politics
40% 60% $-28
Crypto
9% 100% +$1
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? No +44 $40 99¢ $44 +$4 06-02 05:53
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +33 $30 100¢ $33 +$3 05-28 06:00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +33 $30 99¢ $32 +$2 06-12 08:33
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +32 $30 100¢ $32 +$2 06-02 05:54
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +32 $30 100¢ $31 +$2 05-31 20:07
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +31 $30 100¢ $31 +$1 06-02 05:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -31 $-31 100¢ $-31 $-0 06-22 06:02
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No -31 $-31 100¢ $-31 $-0 06-26 09:32
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +31 $30 98¢ $30 +$0 06-01 06:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +24 $20 100¢ $24 +$4 06-01 06:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -23 $-23 100¢ $-23 $-0 06-18 07:28
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +22 $20 99¢ $22 +$2 06-21 16:00
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -22 $-22 100¢ $-22 $-0 06-25 12:18
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +22 $20 100¢ $22 +$2 06-18 07:31
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 06-15 05:51
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +24 $20 90¢ $21 +$1 05-31 09:13
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? No -21 $-21 100¢ $-21 $-0 06-22 05:44
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +21 $20 99¢ $21 +$1 06-02 21:06
Megaquake by June 30? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 06-08 22:08
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +24 $20 86¢ $21 +$1 06-22 06:03
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 06-05 18:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 06-05 18:36
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 06-02 21:07
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-18 07:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-13 09:25
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +23 $20 89¢ $20 +$0 06-23 06:48
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 06-18 07:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 06-13 09:28
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $-0 06-13 09:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 06-22 05:51