Realized P&L
+$65
Unrealized P&L
+$115
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
402
Trades
1,880
lifetime
Volume
$33.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
59% 85% +$35
Politics
31% 79% -$25
Crypto
5% 93% +$5
Tech
3% 96% +$50
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 697 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -219 -$210 96¢ $-210 +$0 09-08 05:35
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -160 -$156 99¢ $-158 -$2 05-18 11:29
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -105 -$102 98¢ $-103 -$1 07-29 21:45
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +71 $60 98¢ $69 +$9 09-19 11:25
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -55 -$53 97¢ $-53 $0 07-29 21:58
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +49 $40 99¢ $48 +$8 10-10 07:28
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +48 $40 98¢ $47 +$7 10-21 07:28
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +48 $40 96¢ $46 +$7 10-02 08:32
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +48 $40 96¢ $46 +$7 10-01 06:00
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? No +49 $40 92¢ $46 +$6 09-04 05:17
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +46 $40 98¢ $45 +$6 10-03 06:00
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +47 $40 96¢ $45 +$6 10-01 12:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +48 $40 94¢ $45 +$5 09-02 06:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +48 $40 94¢ $45 +$5 10-03 06:00
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +47 $40 94¢ $44 +$5 10-08 14:29
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +48 $40 92¢ $44 +$5 10-03 06:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +44 $40 100¢ $44 +$4 09-02 06:06
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +44 $40 98¢ $43 +$3 09-30 05:33
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +47 $40 91¢ $43 +$3 10-13 11:57
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +44 $40 96¢ $43 +$3 10-02 07:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +44 $40 96¢ $43 +$3 10-14 21:58
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +43 $40 99¢ $43 +$3 10-14 07:11
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +47 $40 92¢ $43 +$3 09-26 20:16
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +46 $40 92¢ $43 +$3 09-28 04:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +44 $40 96¢ $42 +$3 10-06 07:00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +48 $40 88¢ $42 +$3 09-26 20:16
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +45 $39 93¢ $42 +$3 10-08 14:30
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +44 $40 96¢ $42 +$3 09-29 08:39
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +43 $40 99¢ $42 +$3 10-01 06:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +48 $40 88¢ $42 +$3 09-19 09:35