Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
295
lifetime
Volume
$7.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$699
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 20:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
48%
Politics
41% 60% $-28
Crypto
8% 100% +$1
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +42 $40 96¢ $40 $-0 07-08 06:45
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +31 $30 99¢ $31 +$1 06-01 06:48
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +34 $30 91¢ $30 +$0 07-06 07:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +31 $30 97¢ $30 +$0 07-03 07:09
New pandemic in 2026? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 07-06 07:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 $-0 07-08 06:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +34 $30 88¢ $30 $-0 07-08 06:41
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +32 $30 93¢ $30 $-0 07-03 07:10
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +32 $30 93¢ $30 $-0 07-07 09:27
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $-0 07-07 09:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +36 $30 80¢ $29 $-1 07-06 07:32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +33 $30 86¢ $28 $-2 07-08 06:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +34 $30 72¢ $25 $-5 07-04 07:46
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +22 $20 99¢ $22 +$2 06-15 05:51
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +24 $20 92¢ $22 +$2 05-31 09:13
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +24 $20 87¢ $21 +$1 06-22 06:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $21 +$1 06-13 09:25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 06-13 09:28
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 06-18 07:34
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 +$0 06-13 09:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-22 05:51
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 06-13 09:29
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +23 $20 89¢ $20 +$0 06-23 06:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +24 $20 85¢ $20 +$0 06-23 06:46
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +21 $20 93¢ $20 $-0 07-11 09:54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 06-22 06:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-18 07:32
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-18 07:32
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-18 07:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $-0 06-18 07:32