Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
closed
Total volume
$141,468
Trades
1,543
Unique wallets
377
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-01-05
last 03-31 19:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1
vs crowd: 1% YES on $123.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $107 | $8.2K | $8.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $647 | $101.1K | $100.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $176 | $3.0K | $2.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 285 | $292 | $10.0K | $9.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $81 | $741 | $659 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | $120 | $100.6K | $100.5K |
| Median | 35 | $29 | $604 | $575 |
| Below median | 38 | $101 | $231 | $130 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $37 | $130 | $93 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $58 | $233 | $175 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $47 | $9.8K | $9.8K |
| unranked | 238 | $750 | $9.9K | $9.1K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1809…0d24 | No | +100,443 | $100,000 | $100,000 | 1 | 01-17 10:07 |
| Robust-Creature 0x17f1…0528 | Yes | +19,897 | $309 | $600 | 77 | 03-23 14:46 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Pew 0x9cb7…d9b8 | Yes | +15,000 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 03-04 08:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | +4,778 | $5 | $5 | 20 | 03-30 13:23 |
| Sandy-Enemy 0x2106…fa73 | Yes | +4,471 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 03-03 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdff…ab14 | Yes | +4,027 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 03-18 10:23 |
| Descriptive-Merchant 0xfaec…d7ac | Yes | +3,950 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 02-02 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | +3,736 | $4 | $12 | 24 | 03-31 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4916…d82a | Yes | +2,809 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 01-17 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c70…14a8 | Yes | +2,440 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 03-31 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a6b…b015 | Yes | +1,667 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-23 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xde76…215d | Yes | +1,666 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 03-13 11:00 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +1,370 | $5 | $10 | 13 | 02-26 09:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e6e…489b | Yes | +1,333 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 01-07 23:10 |
| Probable-Site 0x1e52…91d6 | Yes | +1,250 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 01-10 11:33 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +1,170 | $13 | $23 | 11 | 02-08 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xde9a…0793 | Yes | +1,056 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 01-17 22:47 |
| Raw-Turkey 0x2559…2ef4 | Yes | +1,032 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 02-05 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa155…649c | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-05 04:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4af8…488b | Yes | +1,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 03-11 12:22 |
| General-Corruption 0x3a86…dea8 | No | +702 | $667 | $3,555 | 49 | 01-17 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xc17c…d50c | Yes | +671 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-08 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x42ae…334d | Yes | +663 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-20 14:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x32dd…916b | Yes | +619 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-17 22:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe95c…3f5f | Yes | +604 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-18 02:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d56…f8d4 | Yes | +600 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 02-28 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bd5…9b71 | Yes | +556 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-18 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfaf…df16 | Yes | +527 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 03-13 11:38 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +500 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-17 10:07 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +500 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-31 09:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xff38…2c03 | Yes | +500 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 03-04 16:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb362…504e | Yes | +500 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 03-20 03:05 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | +293 | $292 | $292 | 1 | 03-23 14:46 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 03-31 07:40 |
| Infinite-Detainment 0xd0cd…7014 | No | +160 | $156 | $156 | 1 | 01-07 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1798…1dc1 | No | +126 | $126 | $221 | 3 | 03-30 10:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x04e0…0d0b | No | +125 | $124 | $209 | 3 | 03-30 10:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9af6…c303 | No | +124 | $123 | $219 | 3 | 03-30 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9399…4837 | No | +124 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 03-30 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0f1…f77f | No | +124 | $123 | $216 | 3 | 03-30 10:16 |
| Thoughtful-Antique 0xf96d…d381 | No | +123 | $122 | $223 | 3 | 03-30 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2bc…f740 | No | +122 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 03-30 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd936…0e10 | No | +121 | $121 | $203 | 3 | 03-30 09:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x38ee…aaf8 | No | +121 | $120 | $204 | 3 | 03-30 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5396…2ac3 | No | +121 | $120 | $211 | 3 | 03-30 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x800b…18b4 | No | +121 | $119 | $221 | 3 | 03-30 10:10 |
| Baggy-Espalier 0x3144…e51f | No | +120 | $119 | $218 | 3 | 03-30 10:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0678…f0e3 | No | +119 | $119 | $206 | 3 | 03-30 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9abb…0eee | No | +118 | $118 | $211 | 3 | 03-30 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x906d…e896 | No | +118 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 03-30 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x99c5…f9f2 | No | +118 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 03-30 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cd3…09cb | No | +117 | $116 | $116 | 1 | 03-30 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x92ac…3478 | No | +116 | $115 | $198 | 3 | 03-30 09:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x2958…332e | No | +110 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 03-30 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5513…7a9f | No | +110 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 03-30 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfc8…09b7 | No | +110 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 03-30 13:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f6c…aa48 | No | +109 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 03-30 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0338…cba6 | No | +107 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 03-30 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d5…cff8 | No | +105 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 03-30 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fb3…b7a7 | No | +105 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 03-30 13:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 19:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x0c70…14a8 | Yes | BUY | 2,440 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x45e160… |
| 03-31 19:26:01 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | SELL | 2,440 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x45e160… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | SELL | 1,855 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x24bb…c9f5 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x55af…b7e2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x7d9d…c6ce | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xaf6f…fcaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x5e12…6656 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xd3f9…3190 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3039f3… |
| 03-31 09:06:27 | (anonymous) 0x9429…7606 | Yes | SELL | 1,659 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x8f5b2d… |
| 03-31 09:06:27 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 1,659 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x8f5b2d… |
| 03-31 07:40:09 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x356976… |
| 03-31 07:40:09 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x356976… |
| 03-31 07:34:57 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x1272de… |
| 03-31 07:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1272de… |
| 03-31 05:31:57 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e9b60… |
| 03-31 05:31:57 | (anonymous) 0xc48b…5b65 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8e9b60… |
| 03-31 05:31:37 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60f6d6… |
| 03-31 05:31:37 | (anonymous) 0xc48b…5b65 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x60f6d6… |
| 03-30 17:07:41 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 65 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1e156… |
| 03-30 17:07:41 | (anonymous) 0xc0f8…3aa6 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0xb1e156… |
| 03-30 15:01:43 | French-Makeup 0xece6…2966 | No | BUY | 95 | 100¢ | $95 | 0x4bc095… |
| 03-30 15:01:43 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 95 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bc095… |
| 03-30 14:41:13 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 93 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeae104… |
| 03-30 14:41:13 | (anonymous) 0x4171…a00f | No | BUY | 93 | 100¢ | $93 | 0xeae104… |
| 03-30 13:53:59 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c2b55… |
| 03-30 13:53:59 | (anonymous) 0x8fb3…b7a7 | No | BUY | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0x4c2b55… |
| 03-30 13:46:41 | (anonymous) 0x90b6…0962 | No | BUY | 94 | 100¢ | $94 | 0x527664… |
| 03-30 13:46:41 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 94 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x527664… |
| 03-30 13:43:49 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 110 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d5ccb… |
| 03-30 13:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x2958…332e | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0x9d5ccb… |
| 03-30 13:43:45 | (anonymous) 0x1cd3…09cb | No | BUY | 117 | 100¢ | $116 | 0x2c9e9e… |
| 03-30 13:43:45 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 117 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c9e9e… |
| 03-30 13:36:41 | (anonymous) 0x5513…7a9f | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0x292b3a… |
| 03-30 13:36:41 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 110 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x292b3a… |
| 03-30 13:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 122 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34d30f… |
| 03-30 13:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xa2bc…f740 | No | BUY | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0x34d30f… |
| 03-30 13:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x4f6c…aa48 | No | BUY | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0x9f1c79… |
| 03-30 13:29:04 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 109 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f1c79… |
| 03-30 13:24:38 | Variable-Placement 0xd3a2…a0c9 | No | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x6fa729… |
| 03-30 13:24:38 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 102 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fa729… |
| 03-30 13:23:28 | (anonymous) 0xbfc8…09b7 | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $109 | 0x959768… |
| 03-30 13:23:28 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x959768… |
| 03-30 13:23:28 | (anonymous) 0xc709…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x959768… |
| 03-30 13:22:00 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 124 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96e73e… |
| 03-30 13:22:00 | (anonymous) 0x9399…4837 | No | BUY | 124 | 100¢ | $124 | 0x96e73e… |
| 03-30 13:12:52 | (anonymous) 0xaddd…2b8c | No | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0xdf02e3… |
| 03-30 13:12:52 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 104 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf02e3… |
| 03-30 13:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x906d…e896 | No | BUY | 118 | 100¢ | $118 | 0x8e2dbd… |
| 03-30 13:10:02 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 118 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e2dbd… |
| 03-30 13:07:26 | (anonymous) 0xa4d1…a79d | No | BUY | 105 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x29f1ab… |
| 03-30 13:07:26 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29f1ab… |
| 03-30 13:06:10 | (anonymous) 0x28d5…cff8 | No | BUY | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0xdcc47e… |
| 03-30 13:06:10 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcc47e… |
| 03-30 13:00:22 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 118 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79e82b… |
| 03-30 13:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x99c5…f9f2 | No | BUY | 118 | 100¢ | $118 | 0x79e82b… |
| 03-30 12:56:12 | (anonymous) 0x0338…cba6 | No | BUY | 107 | 100¢ | $107 | 0x98ef67… |
| 03-30 12:56:12 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 107 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98ef67… |
| 03-30 12:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 104 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa00eb9… |
| 03-30 12:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xa269…340f | No | BUY | 104 | 100¢ | $103 | 0xa00eb9… |
| 03-30 12:44:30 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 94 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf3611… |
| 03-30 12:44:30 | (anonymous) 0x1e8b…428e | No | BUY | 94 | 100¢ | $94 | 0xcf3611… |
| 03-30 11:23:48 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05b5e5… |
| 03-30 11:23:48 | (anonymous) 0x67f7…b0a7 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x05b5e5… |
| 03-30 11:22:48 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4abdc7… |
| 03-30 11:22:48 | (anonymous) 0xbae0…61b5 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x4abdc7… |
| 03-30 11:22:44 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34f408… |
| 03-30 11:22:44 | (anonymous) 0x6312…447e | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x34f408… |
| 03-30 11:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x7cbc…11ef | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x991b76… |
| 03-30 11:21:52 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x991b76… |
| 03-30 11:21:44 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7728a4… |
| 03-30 11:21:44 | (anonymous) 0x962c…0f94 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x7728a4… |
| 03-30 11:20:48 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98ec66… |
| 03-30 11:20:48 | (anonymous) 0xc10e…6ee3 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x98ec66… |
| 03-30 11:19:48 | (anonymous) 0xff51…a932 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xe06b71… |
| 03-30 11:19:48 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe06b71… |
| 03-30 10:55:12 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 1,103 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xaf7ff9… |
| 03-30 10:55:12 | Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 1,103 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xaf7ff9… |
| 03-30 10:42:26 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x672fc0… |
| 03-30 10:42:26 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x672fc0… |
| 03-30 10:41:50 | (anonymous) 0xd675…153d | Yes | BUY | 1,509 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x07cc80… |
| 03-30 10:41:50 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | SELL | 2,509 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x07cc80… |
| 03-30 10:41:50 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x07cc80… |
| 03-30 10:37:46 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa85667… |
| 03-30 10:37:46 | (anonymous) 0x2865…5880 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xa85667… |
| 03-30 10:36:48 | Real-Ereader 0xfad2…e214 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x601e21… |
| 03-30 10:36:48 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x601e21… |
| 03-30 10:33:56 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f6fd2… |
| 03-30 10:33:56 | (anonymous) 0x8c02…efcc | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8f6fd2… |
| 03-30 10:32:50 | (anonymous) 0x54ed…52ef | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x1fa730… |
| 03-30 10:32:50 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fa730… |
| 03-30 10:31:48 | (anonymous) 0xa207…1b8a | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x03ab66… |