Happy-Go-Lucky-Pew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.55K

Unrealized P&L

-$714

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

214

Trades

3,403

lifetime

Volume

$65.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$509

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-14 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

71% 25% -$4,676

Crypto

12% 8% -$2,616

Politics

9% 30% -$1,015

Sports

8% 50% -$248

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+10,000	$910	4¢	$385	-$525	07-10 06:55
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+1,199	$80	4¢	$52	-$29	07-01 18:33
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+5,500	$98	1¢	$30	-$68	06-30 06:17
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+5,000	$55	1¢	$28	-$28	06-18 18:10
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+10,000	$80	0¢	$15	-$65	06-18 17:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	27	$6.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$2,700	06-24 20:22
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	4	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$98	06-20 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 11?	62	$3.6K	2,099	2,099	+0	Yes	+$324	07-11 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 10?	20	$3.2K	1,777	1,777	+0	Yes	+$314	07-10 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 4?	55	$2.1K	1,253	1,253	+0	Yes	+$391	07-04 08:31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.6K	2,000	2,333	-333	No	+$184	07-11 05:27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?	28	$1.5K	1,226	1,226	+0	No	+$62	07-04 08:02
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	60	$1.3K	27,527	3,235	+24,291	No	-$961	07-14 07:49
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	28	$1.1K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	07-10 15:37
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	28	$1.1K	12,000	41	+11,959	No	-$1,069	03-08 23:16
ethereum above 2000 on february 26	39	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$919	02-26 17:36
ethereum above 1700 on june 21 2026	10	$1.1K	791	791	+0	Yes	-$2	06-20 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 5?	19	$1.0K	1,305	1,305	+0	Yes	+$121	07-05 05:16
Trump out as President before 2027?	10	$910	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-10 06:55
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	8	$878	10,518	10,518	+0	Yes	+$177	07-01 21:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?	16	$846	720	420	+300	Yes	+$250	07-08 08:37
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$845	2,000	3,000	-1,000	No	+$121	07-04 22:53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 4?	24	$828	609	609	+0	Yes	+$329	07-04 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 4?	13	$798	1,032	1,015	+16	Yes	-$87	07-04 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 11?	12	$708	1,074	150	+924	No	-$610	07-11 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 7?	5	$695	500	500	+0	Yes	+$295	07-07 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?	13	$692	870	870	+0	Yes	-$71	07-03 08:27
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	3	$680	400	400	+0	No	+$64	06-20 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 6?	21	$657	500	500	+0	Yes	+$275	07-06 06:39
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$650	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$30	06-24 16:55
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$636	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$36	06-23 08:55
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 3?	11	$630	400	400	+0	Yes	+$146	07-03 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	44	$610	518	518	+0	Yes	+$187	07-12 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 8?	4	$578	500	500	+0	No	+$372	07-08 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 5?	6	$576	814	714	+100	Yes	+$0	07-05 06:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 09:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x7cf316…
07-14 07:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd5a827…
07-14 07:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa43354…
07-14 07:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd10387…
07-14 07:49:04	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	539	2¢	$10	0xd7b59e…
07-14 07:48:55	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	390	2¢	$7	0x5ba4d8…
07-14 07:48:44	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	334	2¢	$5	0x2f3712…
07-14 07:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfbe221…
07-14 07:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x250dbd…
07-14 07:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	150	17¢	$25	0x2769cf…
07-14 07:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x7a9c4a…
07-14 07:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xa2f536…
07-14 07:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xf826a5…
07-14 07:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xfad3b3…
07-14 07:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0x7415eb…
07-14 07:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc7531d…
07-14 07:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x6ab8dd…
07-13 04:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	271	1¢	$3	0x1527cf…
07-13 03:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x251307…
07-13 03:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x0077ac…
07-13 03:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x618205…
07-13 03:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x93e674…
07-13 03:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe07520…
07-13 03:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x4aff99…
07-13 03:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8cfdf0…
07-13 03:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x75ed45…
07-13 03:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x625aec…
07-13 03:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8e9e3a…
07-13 02:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x877dce…
07-13 02:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9b16e4…
07-13 02:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf6a4b0…
07-13 02:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b2684…
07-13 02:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x080c39…
07-13 02:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe6dba7…
07-13 02:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa22665…
07-13 02:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x639665…
07-13 02:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2bc27f…
07-13 02:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x93d94b…
07-13 02:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xeb1fc5…
07-13 02:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8ce3e3…
07-13 02:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd7949f…
07-13 02:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdc31e1…
07-13 02:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xce859d…
07-13 01:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc8ed76…
07-13 01:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xff6501…
07-13 01:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x573381…
07-13 01:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1e3bde…
07-13 01:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc0fef2…
07-13 01:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xdae0f6…
07-13 01:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4a5ad9…
07-13 01:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x9f5d43…
07-13 01:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd4e3a0…
07-12 23:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1e59f9…
07-12 23:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	1,394	1¢	$17	0x44daa3…
07-12 17:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x437d0a…
07-12 17:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb0d926…
07-12 17:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xb7bdc6…
07-12 17:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xb2063f…
07-12 17:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7328fb…
07-12 17:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x629fec…
07-12 17:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x29937a…
07-12 16:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x39092e…
07-12 16:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x84f79b…
07-12 16:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb0acde…
07-12 16:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x261a91…
07-12 16:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x5f718c…
07-12 05:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on July 12?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe888a9…
07-12 05:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x80d6fd…
07-12 05:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	228	85¢	$194	0xdd8a74…
07-12 05:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x5a0f93…
07-12 05:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	48	85¢	$41	0x145d5c…
07-12 05:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x1ec71f…
07-12 05:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xb3db65…
07-12 05:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xb57629…
07-12 05:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x23e097…
07-12 05:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x551e6e…
07-12 05:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xf0da94…
07-12 05:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0xa30a45…
07-12 05:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb58ae7…
07-12 05:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc68f52…
07-12 05:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xa79191…
07-12 05:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xe1963a…
07-12 05:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	918	0¢	$1	0x07e96e…
07-12 05:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	5,005	0¢	$5	0x53cd45…
07-12 05:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	4,995	0¢	$5	0x32ca94…
07-12 05:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	5,005	0¢	$5	0x58c9b4…
07-12 05:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	1,146	0¢	$1	0xf11693…
07-12 05:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xb6ecf8…
07-12 05:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x529b4b…
07-12 05:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xf26dc9…
07-12 05:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xe08dbd…
07-12 05:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0xcde9bd…
07-12 05:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x440e95…
07-12 05:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x6bc18c…
07-12 05:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5e6a97…
07-12 05:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x800463…
07-12 05:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x2f23f1…
07-12 05:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x8aed6c…
07-12 05:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x03c8bc…
07-12 05:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x1c074d…