Thoughtful-Antique — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-10 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 92% $-2

Other

29% 60% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	3	$223	174	51	+123	No	+$1	03-30 09:46
will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	1	$127	127	0	+127	No	+$0	03-06 14:45
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	02-25 14:12
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	03-26 11:35
will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	02-13 13:21
will bitcoin reach 82k february 16 22	1	$123	123	0	+123	No	+$0	02-20 13:19
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	1	$111	117	0	+117	open	—	07-13 14:48
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	04-03 08:59
will solana reach 120 april 13 19	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	04-16 09:04
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	1	$76	77	0	+77	No	+$0	04-20 12:34
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	1	$76	76	0	+76	No	+$0	04-09 15:03
will bitcoin reach 104k january 19 25	1	$73	73	0	+73	No	+$0	01-23 11:21
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$72	72	0	+72	No	+$0	01-27 15:11
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 12 18	1	$68	68	0	+68	No	+$0	01-16 13:12
will solana reach 200 january 5 11	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	01-09 20:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$46	47	0	+47	No	+$1	04-02 14:04
ethereum above 3500 on january 9	1	$4	3,960	0	+3,960	No	$-4	01-09 09:53
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	04-09 12:24
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	04-02 16:10
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	$-2	04-20 14:09
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	$-2	04-02 20:20
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	03-09 13:40
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	$-1	04-02 15:09
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$1	250	0	+250	No	$-1	08-10 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:13:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x9cbd6c…
07-13 14:48:01	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	117	95¢	$111	0xfbce2c…
04-20 14:09:14	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x226aa6…
04-20 12:34:28	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$76	0x0dd5a0…
04-16 09:04:50	will solana reach 120 april 13 19	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xdf0e45…
04-09 15:03:07	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xdbd1e1…
04-09 12:24:25	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x3c7052…
04-03 08:59:07	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1fa08e…
04-02 20:20:05	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xc43564…
04-02 16:10:33	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x01101e…
04-02 15:09:41	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4e9cf6…
04-02 14:04:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x42a2e6…
03-30 09:46:50	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x3c7c0f…
03-26 11:35:43	will bitcoin dip to 54k march 23 29	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x82a8dc…
03-09 13:40:11	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0b6c2e…
03-06 14:45:49	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x3a1600…
02-25 14:12:52	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xb9961c…
02-20 13:19:40	will bitcoin reach 82k february 16 22	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x4ba2c3…
02-13 13:21:19	will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xaf2008…
02-04 08:06:28	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x2d043c…
01-27 15:11:57	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x3ac286…
01-23 11:21:22	will bitcoin reach 104k january 19 25	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x1a37e2…
01-16 13:12:02	will ethereum dip to 2600 january 12 18	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xb8ff62…
01-09 20:41:02	will solana reach 200 january 5 11	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x5fb7f8…
01-09 17:28:48	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x713387…
01-09 09:53:26	ethereum above 3500 on january 9	Yes	BUY	3,960	0¢	$4	0xe44c01…