Realized P&L
+$46
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
38.3%
Resolved
10
Trades
947
lifetime
Volume
$2.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$14
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-26 13:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
77% 25% +$42
Other
19% 50% +$5
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -33 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-09 14:21
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -8 $-1 22¢ $-2 $-1 06-09 19:03
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? Yes -130 $-1 $-2 $-1 06-26 13:15
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes -17 $-1 10¢ $-2 $-1 06-09 19:05
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -14 $-2 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 18:04
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? Yes -10 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-22 10:09
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -17 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-09 18:04
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -22 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-05 08:47
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes -91 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-22 10:10
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes -31 $-4 $-0 +$3 06-09 14:21
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? Yes -148 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-22 10:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -24 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 19:00
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? Yes -29 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-22 10:09
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? Yes -28 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 19:00
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? Yes -41 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 19:05
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? Yes -68 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 19:02
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? Yes -35 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-22 10:10
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? Yes -30 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 19:04
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? Yes -27 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-22 10:10
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? Yes -11 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 19:04