Realized P&L
-$141
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
52.4%
Resolved
484
Trades
1,094
lifetime
Volume
$2.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$67
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 09:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Politics
77% 28% +$24
Other
20% 22% -$136
Crypto
2% 9% -$13
Sports
1% 11% -$16
Tech
0% 25% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? Yes +22 $11 83¢ $18 +$7 11-08 18:15
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,201 $18 1¢ $9 -$9 11-13 09:16
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,663 $10 0¢ $7 -$3 11-12 10:46
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +41 $5 14¢ $6 +$1 11-04 11:21
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +705 $7 1¢ $5 -$2 11-10 21:20
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +905 $7 0¢ $4 -$3 11-09 11:23
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +221 $6 2¢ $4 -$2 11-09 11:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +13 $3 22¢ $3 $0 11-05 15:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? Yes +13 $3 22¢ $3 $0 11-03 14:28
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +53 $6 4¢ $2 -$4 11-09 11:19
will trump meet with king mohammed vi in 2026 20260731135405733 Yes +25 $6 8¢ $2 -$4 08-03 15:37
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -17 -$1 5¢ $-1 +$1 06-09 18:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-04 13:45
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes -17 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 19:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -33 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$4 06-09 14:21
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -8 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 06-09 19:03
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -22 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 06-05 08:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +22 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 11-04 11:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -14 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 06-09 18:04