Realized P&L
-$3.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
6,294
Trades
277,052
lifetime
Volume
$3.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$43
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-07 11:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
97% 31% -$673
Crypto
1% 25% -$1,558
Sports
1% 36% -$583
Politics
1% 33% -$134
Tech
0% 32% -$84
Pop-Culture
0% 21% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -200 -$1 6¢ $-12 -$12 05-11 20:44
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -176 -$2 3¢ $-6 -$4 05-11 20:45
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -44 -$2 10¢ $-5 -$3 05-11 20:52
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$3 4¢ $-4 -$1 05-09 06:24
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes -87 -$10 4¢ $-4 +$7 04-29 17:57
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -96 -$7 3¢ $-3 +$4 05-03 12:15
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -142 -$1 2¢ $-3 -$1 05-11 20:45
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes -110 -$1 1¢ $-1 $0 04-29 17:57
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -100 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 05-11 11:00
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -190 -$6 0¢ $-1 +$5 05-11 20:44
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -100 -$5 1¢ $-1 +$4 05-11 20:51
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes -82 -$1 1¢ $-1 $0 05-03 12:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -100 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$1 05-02 22:02
Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes -162 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$2 05-11 20:45
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? Yes -211 -$4 0¢ $-1 +$4 04-30 20:41
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -65 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-11 20:52
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -57 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-11 20:53
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes -115 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-11 20:46
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 04-30 00:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? Yes -86 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-09 18:40
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -16 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-11 20:53
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -29 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-07 07:20
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -22 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-11 14:33
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? Yes -18 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-11 20:57
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -14 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-11 21:44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -4 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-12 00:01
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -4 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 06-01 16:44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-12 00:02
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -3 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-12 00:01