Realized P&L
+$118
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved
106
Trades
276,698
lifetime
Volume
$3.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$5
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 12:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
97% 38% +$38
Crypto
1% 15% +$25
Sports
1% 83% +$32
Politics
1% 47% +$23
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 7432 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -6 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 22:03
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 07:17
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-03 20:09
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-03 05:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-04 18:36
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 16:53
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 07:17
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-04 11:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 10:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-03 11:12
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-03 16:09
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 17:02
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 21:53
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 16:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 20:03
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-08 16:10
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 18:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-08 16:40
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 12:29
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 18:57
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-04 08:03
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 14:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 16:41
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 13:08
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 17:27