Realized P&L
+$118
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved
106
Trades
276,729
lifetime
Volume
$3.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$3
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-26 04:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
97% 38% +$38
Crypto
1% 15% +$25
Sports
1% 83% +$32
Politics
1% 47% +$23
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -6 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 22:03
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-11 11:15
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-03 07:17
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-15 00:50
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 05:49
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-03 20:09
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 07:17
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-11 04:48
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 11:05
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 16:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 18:36
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 12:29
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 16:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 10:41
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 13:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-08 16:40
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 04:09
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 21:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-21 06:28
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 17:02
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 08:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 11:12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 18:29
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 18:57
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-08 16:10
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 14:18
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-03 17:27
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 16:41
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-25 11:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-11 12:28