Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?
open
Total volume
$1,368
$63,902 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$13,211
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-15 09:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $853
vs crowd: 2% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $1 | $965 | $964 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $2 | $40 | $38 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $0 | $92 | $92 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $4 | $849 | $845 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $83 | $81 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $9 | $115 | $106 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 5 | $0 | $48 | $48 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | +862 | $849 | $849 | 1 | 05-27 20:26 |
| Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | +400 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-27 20:27 |
| Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-02 11:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +116 | $115 | $115 | 4 | 06-06 22:50 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-27 20:26 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +90 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 06-08 11:43 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +79 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-08 17:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x2de7…329d | No | +48 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-14 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +48 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-02 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 06-15 09:53 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 21:22 |
| Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-15 09:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 09:53:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x638b87… |
| 06-15 09:53:15 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x638b87… |
| 06-15 09:48:21 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc7a805… |
| 06-15 09:48:21 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7a805… |
| 06-14 16:33:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca2306… |
| 06-14 16:33:58 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca2306… |
| 06-14 04:50:21 | Brief-Skate 0xc3ae…9532 | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x4c2153… |
| 06-14 04:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x2de7…329d | No | BUY | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x4c2153… |
| 06-14 04:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c2153… |
| 06-11 22:15:24 | Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b0bff… |
| 06-11 22:15:24 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5b0bff… |
| 06-08 17:46:33 | Creamy-Harbour 0x7173…138b | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbe8e79… |
| 06-08 17:46:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe8e79… |
| 06-08 11:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x71de…5f91 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb83bb9… |
| 06-08 11:43:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb83bb9… |
| 06-06 22:50:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xe6c956… |
| 06-06 22:50:09 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xe6c956… |
| 06-06 22:48:40 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x705bc8… |
| 06-06 22:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x705bc8… |
| 06-06 22:31:30 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x14d5a6… |
| 06-06 22:31:30 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14d5a6… |
| 06-03 21:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x3a0220… |
| 06-03 21:57:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x3a0220… |
| 06-03 20:37:25 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x517a7c… |
| 06-03 20:37:25 | Rectangular-Phenotype 0x02d3…2327 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x517a7c… |
| 06-02 11:31:55 | Exemplary-Heifer-Expectation 0x7fb9…be15 | No | SELL | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x6b3d21… |
| 06-02 11:31:55 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b3d21… |
| 06-02 11:31:55 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b3d21… |
| 06-02 11:31:03 | Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | Yes | BUY | 43 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa0686a… |
| 06-02 11:31:03 | Exemplary-Heifer-Expectation 0x7fb9…be15 | No | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0xa0686a… |
| 06-01 22:55:48 | Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | Yes | BUY | 56 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8a7b1b… |
| 06-01 22:55:48 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x8a7b1b… |
| 06-01 02:58:34 | Exhausted-Feature 0x5caa…ec5c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9f096a… |
| 06-01 02:58:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f096a… |
| 05-30 10:53:55 | Creamy-Harbour 0x7173…138b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1d1f62… |
| 05-30 10:53:55 | Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1d1f62… |
| 05-28 21:22:35 | (anonymous) 0x209e…970a | No | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xb09b2f… |
| 05-28 21:22:35 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb09b2f… |
| 05-28 21:22:35 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb09b2f… |
| 05-28 21:22:35 | Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb09b2f… |
| 05-27 20:27:00 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xc7beb9… |
| 05-27 20:27:00 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xc7beb9… |
| 05-27 20:26:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 68 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x18ea56… |
| 05-27 20:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xf1d8…0e46 | No | SELL | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0x18ea56… |
| 05-27 20:26:58 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x18ea56… |
| 05-27 20:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x18ea56… |
| 05-27 20:26:58 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x18ea56… |
| 05-27 20:26:58 | Worried-Poem 0x12b8…479c | No | BUY | 862 | 98¢ | $849 | 0x18ea56… |
| 05-27 20:26:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x18ea56… |
| 05-27 20:26:58 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x18ea56… |