Realized P&L
+$6.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$449
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,003
lifetime
Volume
$610.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$305
Open exposure
$13.1K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 08:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
78% 75% +$6,983
Other
22%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6,000 $5,335 92¢ $5.5K +$155 07-17 09:47
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +5,930 $5,376 92¢ $5.4K +$50 07-21 08:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,600 $-1,264 70¢ $-1128 +$136 07-15 21:35
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +805 $599 82¢ $660 +$62 07-15 07:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +390 $310 88¢ $345 +$35 06-21 20:28
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +310 $25 11¢ $33 +$8 07-18 18:56
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -100 $-15 12¢ $-11 +$3 06-10 22:20