Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

Trades

717

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 04-23 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

75% — —

Other

18% 67% +$2

Politics

6% 0% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773495900	2	$80	200	0	+200	open	—	03-14 13:58
btc updown 15m 1773493200	13	$80	200	0	+200	open	—	03-14 13:09
btc updown 15m 1773481500	7	$79	190	0	+190	open	—	03-14 09:54
btc updown 15m 1773482400	6	$71	185	0	+185	open	—	03-14 10:13
btc updown 15m 1773442800	10	$67	140	0	+140	open	—	03-13 23:05
btc updown 5m 1773439200	3	$62	59	43	+16	open	—	03-13 22:03
btc updown 15m 1773441000	3	$50	110	0	+110	open	—	03-13 22:37
btc updown 5m 1773439800	3	$48	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 22:13
btc updown 5m 1773440700	8	$48	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 22:25
btc updown 15m 1774516500	3	$47	100	0	+100	open	—	03-26 09:09
btc updown 15m 1773477900	6	$47	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 08:50
btc updown 15m 1773443700	1	$43	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 23:16
btc updown 5m 1773440100	2	$24	50	0	+50	open	—	03-13 22:15
btc updown 5m 1773439500	6	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	03-13 22:05
btc updown 15m 1773483300	2	$20	134	0	+134	open	—	03-14 10:22
btc updown 15m 1773437400	2	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	03-13 21:38
btc updown 15m 1773492300	7	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	03-14 12:45
btc updown 15m 1773474300	2	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	03-14 07:50
btc updown 15m 1773477000	3	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	03-14 08:34
btc updown 15m 1773475200	5	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	03-14 08:01
btc updown 15m 1773473400	3	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	03-14 07:34
btc updown 15m 1773441900	3	$18	48	0	+48	open	—	03-13 22:52
btc updown 15m 1773505800	5	$16	40	0	+40	open	—	03-14 16:40
bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	3	$13	6,583	0	+6,583	open	—	03-13 12:39
btc updown 15m 1773498600	6	$12	180	0	+180	open	—	03-14 14:40
btc updown 15m 1773494100	3	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	03-14 13:15
btc updown 15m 1773435600	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	03-13 21:00
btc updown 15m 1773779400	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-17 20:28
btc updown 5m 1773780600	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-17 20:49
btc updown 5m 1773780900	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-17 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-23 23:15:38	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x7a6b67…
04-23 23:15:30	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xabcc24…
04-23 23:15:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x19ada8…
04-23 23:15:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xee9ad9…
04-23 23:15:00	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xb0b2c7…
04-23 23:14:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x59ea69…
04-23 23:13:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x1028d1…
04-23 23:13:14	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xb0863e…
04-23 23:13:00	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x6382d2…
04-23 23:12:52	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0x0e55f4…
04-23 23:09:34	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x17cd73…
04-23 23:08:20	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x8b6c88…
04-23 23:02:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x2ecf5e…
04-23 23:01:26	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x85ebd8…
04-23 23:01:18	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xd1b01c…
04-23 22:49:18	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$1	0xecae25…
04-23 22:46:50	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xdadc0d…
04-23 22:46:46	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x474c1f…
04-23 22:45:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x830a17…
04-23 22:44:24	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x662cd0…
04-23 22:44:00	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x7e4c81…
04-23 22:18:36	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x35a439…
04-23 22:16:18	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x3eaadf…
04-23 22:16:04	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x1baf6c…
04-23 22:15:54	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xad7b4b…
04-23 20:59:50	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xcad1e5…
04-23 20:59:04	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xb8e4d4…
04-23 20:55:44	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x1a7882…
04-23 20:51:36	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x88d176…
04-23 20:31:24	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x430e91…
04-23 20:31:14	Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa523cd…
04-23 20:30:52	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x4cd56c…
04-19 08:52:56	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x52cdca…
04-19 08:52:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe25d5a…
04-19 08:50:46	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb138b5…
04-19 08:50:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe06175…
04-19 08:22:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x12e534…
04-19 08:22:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2901db…
04-19 08:22:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce6c65…
04-19 08:20:24	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x6f0594…
04-19 08:18:44	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1b9846…
04-19 08:16:22	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xffd517…
04-19 08:16:18	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f0819…
04-19 08:16:12	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x588062…
04-19 08:15:36	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x4965ec…
04-19 08:14:58	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x1ea3fb…
04-19 08:14:22	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8b00c6…
04-19 08:13:44	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xaebacc…
04-19 08:12:26	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0xa46ced…
04-19 08:12:18	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x24a3cd…
04-19 08:11:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x4c79f9…
04-19 08:11:18	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb5d87f…
04-19 08:10:56	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x7d5eff…
04-19 08:10:46	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x084591…
04-19 08:10:08	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x33ac2a…
04-19 08:10:04	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xf53798…
04-19 08:09:48	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x27d6c5…
04-19 08:09:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa65127…
04-19 08:09:02	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x754c6c…
04-19 08:08:56	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x265e68…
04-19 08:08:10	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xddce74…
04-19 08:07:54	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xca4f40…
04-19 08:07:34	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x27b662…
04-19 08:07:24	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xa24da9…
04-19 08:07:20	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x47e17b…
04-19 08:07:14	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x58813b…
04-19 08:07:08	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x476f55…
04-19 08:06:30	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3ec8bd…
04-19 08:03:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x9bd885…
04-19 08:01:32	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x3cdce1…
04-19 07:49:38	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x8819c9…
04-19 07:49:36	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9533c3…
03-26 09:09:31	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xf761c5…
03-26 09:09:29	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xd8e087…
03-26 09:09:15	btc updown 15m 1774516500	Up	BUY	61	47¢	$29	0x8e8e4f…
03-26 09:06:35	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x1ccfbe…
03-26 09:06:33	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9e996a…
03-26 09:06:33	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8243fc…
03-26 09:06:31	btc updown 15m 1774515600	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x6e5d11…
03-26 08:46:37	btc updown 15m 1774514700	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x58f5bc…
03-26 08:19:21	btc updown 15m 1774512900	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x454c4e…
03-25 20:48:49	btc updown 15m 1774471500	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x78a9f9…
03-25 20:48:49	btc updown 15m 1774471500	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x397eaa…
03-25 19:31:39	btc updown 15m 1774467000	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x6bb879…
03-25 19:19:21	btc updown 15m 1774466100	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xadf725…
03-25 19:19:21	btc updown 15m 1774466100	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x70a06d…
03-25 19:02:59	btc updown 15m 1774465200	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x0eed76…
03-25 18:31:33	btc updown 15m 1774463400	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x9cd1a5…
03-25 16:19:51	btc updown 15m 1774455300	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xca1134…
03-25 15:16:51	btc updown 15m 1774451700	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x271432…
03-25 14:47:29	btc updown 15m 1774449900	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x55a42d…
03-25 14:47:29	btc updown 15m 1774449900	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x0761e6…
03-25 14:00:41	btc updown 15m 1774447200	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x704671…
03-25 13:46:31	btc updown 15m 1774446300	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xcc7484…
03-25 13:02:17	btc updown 15m 1774443600	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x3744a7…
03-25 11:33:45	btc updown 15m 1774438200	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x4fa887…
03-25 11:15:31	btc updown 15m 1774437300	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa54dbb…
03-25 10:17:57	btc updown 15m 1774433700	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xf86e02…
03-25 10:17:57	btc updown 15m 1774433700	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ecff0…
03-25 10:01:09	btc updown 15m 1774432800	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x70ecd6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	355	$529.7K	56,177	04-01 18:15
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	328	$2.00M	45,401	06-01 11:57
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	313	$720.6K	65,279	05-03 12:30
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	300	$36.9K	7,555	05-28 11:47
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	299	$233.2K	3,993	05-27 18:20
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	296	$137.3K	29,211	05-17 12:29
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	281	$75.9K	26,565	05-08 22:12
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	271	$21.0M	46,946	06-01 11:56