Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

414

lifetime

Volume

$85

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-01

last 10-29 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

44% 40% +$4

Other

32% 17% -$2

Crypto

18% 3% -$9

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+16	$1	11¢	$2	+$0	10-16 19:36
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+500	$0	0¢	$1	+$0	10-20 10:57
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	+375	$1	0¢	$1	$0	10-28 19:52
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	Yes	+10	$0	3¢	$0	$0	10-07 17:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+36	$0	1¢	$0	$0	10-16 09:49
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+9	-$1	1¢	$0	+$1	10-19 16:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	35	$14	2,415	2,406	+9	No	+$3	10-27 10:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	22	$6	500	500	+0	No	+$4	10-04 22:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	12	$5	237	202	+36	open	—	10-16 09:49
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	23	$4	231	0	+231	No	-$4	10-04 22:07
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	6	$4	53	53	+0	open	—	10-14 05:29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?	24	$3	595	476	+119	No	+$1	10-04 21:54
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	13	$3	525	525	+0	open	—	10-19 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	21	$3	81	0	+81	Up	-$3	10-13 00:36
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	8	$3	83	83	+0	open	—	10-22 12:06
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	5	$2	250	250	+0	open	—	10-19 16:19
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	3	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 07:51
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	7	$2	105	96	+9	open	—	10-19 16:20
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$1	250	250	+0	open	—	10-28 18:39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	10-16 19:36
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	6	$1	670	0	+670	open	—	10-22 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	5	$1	31	0	+31	Down	-$1	10-13 13:58
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	5	$1	42	20	+22	open	—	10-25 14:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	2	$1	24	24	+0	open	—	10-29 21:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC	4	$1	25	0	+25	Down	-$1	10-13 13:01
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$1	1	0	+1	Milwaukee Brewers	-$1	10-12 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:35 UTC	6	$1	25	0	+25	Up	-$1	10-13 12:39
Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	9	$1	262	262	+0	No	+$0	10-29 21:47
Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	18	$1	420	250	+170	No	+$0	10-19 16:18
Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	4	$1	12	12	+0	open	—	10-19 16:20
Will Simcha Rothman be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	4	$1	27	11	+16	open	—	11-02 16:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 51% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$1	102	0	+102	No	-$1	10-04 21:11
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	4	$1	375	0	+375	open	—	10-28 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$1	25	0	+25	Down	-$1	10-12 23:13
Will The Joint List win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$1	250	250	+0	open	—	10-29 21:46
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$1	250	250	+0	No	$0	10-29 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 16:35:40	Will Simcha Rothman be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xd29650…
10-29 21:48:07	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xfb30fc…
10-29 21:47:21	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0xcd0f11…
10-29 21:47:00	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	262	0¢	$1	0x5a270d…
10-29 21:46:24	Will The Joint List win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xf498e9…
10-29 12:10:53	Will The Joint List win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7f0851…
10-29 07:50:52	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0x96c659…
10-29 07:36:05	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x0b887a…
10-29 07:35:52	Will The Joint List win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x38141b…
10-29 07:35:52	Will The Joint List win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	225	0¢	$0	0x2b7f79…
10-29 07:35:40	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfb10fa…
10-29 07:32:17	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0eb43f…
10-29 07:32:04	Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x94f8b6…
10-29 07:30:32	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x94337d…
10-29 07:23:19	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc35efc…
10-29 07:22:32	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xb69e56…
10-29 07:22:32	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x9d817a…
10-29 07:19:02	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x749bfd…
10-29 07:19:02	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x319f48…
10-29 07:16:58	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x7ffee2…
10-29 07:12:14	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x735c29…
10-29 06:37:52	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1c572c…
10-29 06:11:49	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x1cfb2b…
10-28 19:52:26	Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x169884…
10-28 18:39:58	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xcde2e2…
10-28 14:39:31	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x03ba80…
10-27 12:03:12	Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xdade1e…
10-27 10:06:14	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xa881d5…
10-27 06:53:24	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb31659…
10-27 06:53:24	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6f9ce5…
10-26 22:49:17	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x3ba61c…
10-26 20:42:29	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x753c85…
10-26 19:27:05	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x05916c…
10-26 19:26:45	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x546f96…
10-26 19:26:11	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc97330…
10-26 19:18:29	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3aa0f6…
10-26 19:14:18	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe388c5…
10-26 19:13:59	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3729f0…
10-26 19:07:48	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1b93cc…
10-26 19:06:05	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xf57a95…
10-26 19:05:05	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x4e9ed6…
10-25 21:29:50	Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x1f0155…
10-25 15:44:39	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x31235c…
10-25 14:47:08	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xee6e29…
10-22 15:59:53	Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xcfb854…
10-22 15:59:53	Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xb3b125…
10-22 15:59:53	Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x4f0121…
10-22 15:59:53	Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x0f05fd…
10-22 12:06:51	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0x99ca29…
10-20 10:57:57	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xf0b257…
10-20 10:48:21	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x20ff84…
10-20 10:17:14	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x02b077…
10-20 10:16:56	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0166a7…
10-20 10:16:36	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa3a6a1…
10-20 10:08:23	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x51b90b…
10-20 09:58:48	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xceb529…
10-20 09:43:47	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x18f29a…
10-20 09:43:26	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3b555f…
10-20 09:43:02	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x88a6ca…
10-20 08:42:16	Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	164	0¢	$0	0xb13275…
10-20 07:51:04	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x03bdab…
10-19 16:20:32	Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x4c4c7f…
10-19 16:20:20	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	375	0¢	$0	0x91c9f1…
10-19 16:20:09	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0x9509ca…
10-19 16:19:45	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x9c524f…
10-19 16:18:57	Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x09b308…
10-19 16:18:24	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2,037	0¢	$6	0x115b9c…
10-19 14:40:12	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xeb8c9d…
10-19 14:33:03	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xf02632…
10-19 12:47:29	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x49c55c…
10-19 07:45:18	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x17ccd9…
10-19 07:43:45	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3c3b77…
10-19 07:25:26	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	213	1¢	$1	0x510d86…
10-18 20:44:47	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x4e9011…
10-18 00:09:45	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xf4fb9d…
10-18 00:09:45	Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xca3fb1…
10-18 00:09:45	Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x89eb77…
10-18 00:09:45	Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x5d52c1…
10-18 00:09:45	Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x563e7b…
10-18 00:09:45	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x540c78…
10-18 00:09:45	Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x533418…
10-18 00:09:45	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x40b6fe…
10-18 00:09:45	Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x198096…
10-18 00:09:45	Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x017405…
10-18 00:09:44	Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x93cb18…
10-18 00:09:44	Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x56d07d…
10-18 00:09:41	Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xf893ae…
10-18 00:09:41	Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xda7da8…
10-18 00:09:41	Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xa58d76…
10-18 00:09:41	Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x73fa49…
10-18 00:09:41	Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6b5487…
10-18 00:09:41	Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x00bcba…
10-18 00:09:38	Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xfbc132…
10-18 00:09:38	Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf62ea9…
10-18 00:09:38	Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xd33d18…
10-18 00:09:38	Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc7153e…
10-18 00:09:38	Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9c92e8…
10-18 00:09:38	Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9b6f86…
10-18 00:09:38	Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x8831f9…
10-18 00:09:38	Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x7563b5…