Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$86

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-08 08:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$2

Other

35% 100% +$2

Politics

1% 88% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+71	$70	100¢	$70	+$0	10-08 08:31
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+11	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	10-08 08:32
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	$0	10-08 08:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$788	402	402	+0	open	—	07-14 17:33
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	1	$431	431	0	+431	No	+$0	01-14 07:09
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$412	412	0	+412	No	+$0	02-03 05:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	1	$402	402	0	+402	No	+$0	05-08 13:45
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$402	402	0	+402	No	+$0	04-08 15:48
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	1	$373	373	0	+373	No	+$0	03-08 12:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$187	187	0	+187	No	+$0	07-14 17:34
will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	08-01 12:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$73	74	0	+74	No	+$1	09-06 10:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	10-08 08:31
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	03-08 12:40
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	09-06 10:38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	09-22 14:46
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-08 08:32
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-23 13:49
will pierre yves bournazel win the paris mayor election	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-08 12:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-14 17:36
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-08 15:49
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-08 13:46
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-06 10:39
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-14 11:11
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-19 08:15
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-19 10:28
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	09-22 14:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-14 17:35
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	-$5	06-07 12:29
will bnb reach 900 in june	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-23 12:36
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-08 08:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-22 10:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-19 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 08:32:49	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa291d5…
10-08 08:32:11	Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf900f0…
10-08 08:31:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x7a1285…
09-22 14:47:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x090aa0…
09-22 14:46:34	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xad442d…
09-06 10:39:06	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0d555d…
09-06 10:38:16	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x32dcb2…
09-06 10:37:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x10178c…
08-01 12:57:21	will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x6fb1f1…
07-14 17:36:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3099bf…
07-14 17:35:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09e08b…
07-14 17:34:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x5d2bbc…
07-14 17:33:35	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	402	98¢	$395	0xd93ffb…
06-23 12:36:05	will bnb reach 900 in june	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9439ba…
06-14 11:11:03	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeeb561…
06-07 12:29:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ab7bb…
06-07 12:28:52	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xb50d51…
06-07 12:28:12	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	402	98¢	$393	0x1742a9…
05-22 10:11:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xabe232…
05-19 10:28:09	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffec99…
05-08 13:46:34	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0c9dc2…
05-08 13:45:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$402	0xe28661…
04-23 13:49:02	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x91fcac…
04-08 15:49:49	Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x233e4d…
04-08 15:48:59	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$402	0x23627f…
03-19 08:45:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50471b…
03-19 08:15:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x94c2d9…
03-08 12:41:13	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	373	100¢	$373	0x29da47…
03-08 12:40:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x773f3a…
03-08 12:39:53	will pierre yves bournazel win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad88f0…
02-03 05:58:54	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	412	100¢	$412	0x9a4c3e…
01-14 07:09:40	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	431	100¢	$431	0xfb11b0…