(anonymous) 0x43b9fb…8d5db9
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.33K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.62K
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
493
Trades
6,170
lifetime
Volume
$742.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$58.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-08
last 10-28 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Other
52% 65% -$925
Politics
43% 66% +$5,920
Crypto
4% 73% +$314
Tech
1% 67% +$245
Sports
0% 43% -$1,225
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +12,181 $9,974 94¢ $11.5K +$1,537 09-21 13:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,742 $6,000 94¢ $6.3K +$337 08-10 11:56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +6,125 $5,914 99¢ $6.1K +$178 10-02 11:57
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,435 $4,990 86¢ $4.6K -$343 09-19 00:42
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +4,800 $3,504 82¢ $4.0K +$456 10-06 17:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,471 $2,080 92¢ $2.3K +$185 10-10 15:19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,320 $2,092 96¢ $2.2K +$136 10-27 00:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +2,199 $2,001 100¢ $2.2K +$190 09-04 20:47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +1,818 $1,636 92¢ $1.7K +$45 09-22 18:12
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +49,696 $4,954 3¢ $1.6K -$3,364 09-17 15:25
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,650 $1,369 96¢ $1.6K +$212 09-13 12:39
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +1,710 $1,494 89¢ $1.5K +$22 09-20 18:59
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,796 $1,456 80¢ $1.4K -$20 10-05 15:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,650 $1,051 81¢ $1.3K +$290 10-03 06:25
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,375 $1,189 91¢ $1.3K +$63 10-03 19:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,147 $456 93¢ $1.1K +$611 09-23 08:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,418 $936 68¢ $957 +$21 10-04 17:40
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,311 $1,103 71¢ $931 -$173 09-13 20:47
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +837 $636 94¢ $783 +$147 09-20 20:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +720 $655 100¢ $718 +$63 09-23 22:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +745 $269 84¢ $622 +$353 10-27 20:36
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +664 $569 78¢ $514 -$55 10-13 18:08
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +632 $449 79¢ $499 +$51 09-22 07:12
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,979 $3,379 6¢ $494 -$2,885 08-19 21:52
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +491 $427 95¢ $466 +$39 09-08 17:29
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes +465 $395 94¢ $435 +$40 10-02 13:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,213 $282 36¢ $431 +$149 10-19 23:42
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +486 $318 82¢ $396 +$79 10-11 22:29
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +879 $208 44¢ $382 +$174 09-21 20:36
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,916 $523 19¢ $364 -$159 10-12 08:28