(anonymous) 0x43b9fb…8d5db9
whale 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$1.70K
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved (7d)
10
Trades (7d)
46
6,195 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.87K
$742.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$58.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-08
last 10-29 17:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
52% 65% -$935
Politics
43% 66% +$5,920
Crypto
4% 73% +$314
Tech
1% 67% +$245
Sports
0% 43% -$1,225
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +12,181 $9,974 96¢ $11.7K +$1,720 09-21 13:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,742 $6,000 94¢ $6.3K +$303 08-10 11:56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +6,125 $5,914 100¢ $6.1K +$193 10-02 11:57
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,435 $4,990 84¢ $4.6K -$397 09-19 00:42
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +4,800 $3,504 86¢ $4.1K +$600 10-06 17:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,471 $2,080 93¢ $2.3K +$230 10-10 15:19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,320 $2,092 95¢ $2.2K +$113 10-27 00:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +2,199 $2,001 100¢ $2.2K +$195 09-04 20:47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +1,818 $1,636 88¢ $1.6K -$27 09-22 18:12
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,650 $1,369 94¢ $1.6K +$186 09-13 12:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +49,696 $4,954 3¢ $1.5K -$3,414 09-17 15:25
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +1,710 $1,494 87¢ $1.5K -$10 09-20 18:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,650 $1,051 84¢ $1.4K +$330 10-03 06:25
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,796 $1,456 72¢ $1.3K -$154 10-05 15:10
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,375 $1,189 92¢ $1.3K +$83 10-03 19:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,147 $456 90¢ $1.0K +$571 09-23 08:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,418 $936 72¢ $1.0K +$78 10-04 17:40
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,311 $1,103 70¢ $911 -$192 09-13 20:47
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +837 $636 94¢ $791 +$155 09-20 20:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +720 $655 100¢ $719 +$64 09-23 22:58
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +632 $449 80¢ $509 +$60 09-22 07:12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +491 $427 96¢ $473 +$46 09-08 17:29
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +664 $569 70¢ $461 -$108 10-13 18:08
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes +465 $395 96¢ $444 +$49 10-02 13:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,213 $282 35¢ $425 +$143 10-19 23:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +536 $97 79¢ $423 +$326 10-29 17:31
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,979 $3,379 4¢ $404 -$2,975 08-19 21:52
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +879 $208 46¢ $400 +$192 09-21 20:36
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +1,331 $525 30¢ $399 -$126 09-25 09:25
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +486 $318 80¢ $389 +$71 10-11 22:29