(anonymous) 0x43b9fb…8d5db9 Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.77K
Unrealized P&L
-$650
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
562
Trades
6,195
lifetime
Volume
$742.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$51.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-08
last 10-29 17:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
52% 66% -$1,002
Politics
43% 68% +$7,081
Crypto
4% 73% +$441
Tech
1% 75% +$475
Sports
0% 43% -$1,225
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +12,181 $9,974 97¢ $11.8K +$1,830 09-21 13:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,742 $6,000 97¢ $6.5K +$533 08-10 11:56
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,435 $4,990 95¢ $5.2K +$184 09-19 00:42
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +4,800 $3,504 88¢ $4.2K +$713 10-06 17:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2,471 $2,080 92¢ $2.3K +$206 10-10 15:19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,320 $2,092 97¢ $2.3K +$165 10-27 00:16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +1,818 $1,636 97¢ $1.8K +$129 09-22 18:12
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +1,710 $1,494 100¢ $1.7K +$214 09-20 18:59
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,650 $1,369 97¢ $1.6K +$235 09-13 12:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +49,696 $4,954 3¢ $1.5K -$3,438 09-17 15:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,650 $1,051 91¢ $1.5K +$458 10-03 06:25
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,375 $1,189 97¢ $1.3K +$141 10-03 19:01
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +1,796 $1,456 66¢ $1.2K -$271 10-05 15:10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,147 $456 92¢ $1.1K +$605 09-23 08:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,311 $1,103 72¢ $950 -$153 09-13 20:47
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +837 $636 96¢ $805 +$169 09-20 20:01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,950 $282 26¢ $516 +$234 09-25 20:01
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +491 $427 97¢ $474 +$47 09-08 17:29
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +1,331 $525 36¢ $473 -$52 09-25 09:25
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes +465 $395 96¢ $446 +$51 10-02 13:14
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +664 $569 65¢ $431 -$138 10-13 18:08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +486 $318 88¢ $428 +$110 10-11 22:29
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +879 $208 44¢ $391 +$183 09-21 20:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,072 $350 34¢ $370 +$20 09-23 17:02
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +388 $321 92¢ $359 +$38 10-07 00:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +536 $97 64¢ $340 +$243 10-29 17:31
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,979 $3,379 3¢ $310 -$3,069 08-19 21:52
Trump out as President before 2027? No +320 $291 97¢ $310 +$18 08-23 13:56
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +447 $359 67¢ $299 -$60 10-08 21:15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +326 $290 91¢ $296 +$7 08-10 11:01