Joint-Lard 0x942e79…d2be27
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$5.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.27K
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved (90d)
18,702
Trades (90d)
67,481
167,303 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.18M
$3.48M lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$50.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-30 22:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 191 days
Categories
Other
72% 90% +$11,040
Politics
17% 86% +$903
Sports
9% 91% +$2,511
Tech
1% 79% -$1,121
Crypto
1% 85% -$58
Pop-Culture
0% 89% +$122
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2005 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8,806 $8,688 100¢ $8.8K +$105 10-27 20:08
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2,192 $2,189 100¢ $2.2K +$0 10-28 18:22
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,028 $864 100¢ $2.0K +$1,164 10-27 20:06
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,021 $1,928 100¢ $2.0K +$87 10-28 19:44
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,899 $1,888 100¢ $1.9K +$8 10-23 20:49
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +1,838 $1,643 100¢ $1.8K +$193 09-24 19:06
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,807 $1,803 100¢ $1.8K +$1 10-22 02:13
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,779 $1,761 100¢ $1.8K +$14 10-28 21:01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1,892 $1,475 92¢ $1.7K +$256 10-30 12:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,617 $1,579 99¢ $1.6K +$23 10-30 07:19
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,519 $1,511 100¢ $1.5K +$6 09-10 16:46
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,491 $1,484 100¢ $1.5K +$5 10-27 19:28
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,383 $1,196 99¢ $1.4K +$176 09-10 16:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +1,353 $1,341 100¢ $1.3K +$8 10-15 16:27
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,347 $1,342 100¢ $1.3K +$3 10-27 09:06
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,338 $1,330 100¢ $1.3K +$5 09-16 17:55
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,271 $1,264 100¢ $1.3K +$3 10-30 15:14
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,290 $1,217 96¢ $1.2K +$27 10-27 20:00
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,241 $1,220 100¢ $1.2K +$19 10-28 08:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,524 $1,213 80¢ $1.2K +$5 10-30 20:23
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,243 $1,196 95¢ $1.2K -$12 10-26 08:24
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,230 $1,194 96¢ $1.2K -$19 10-27 20:23
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +1,167 $1,141 99¢ $1.2K +$20 10-30 04:12
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,154 $1,141 100¢ $1.2K +$12 10-27 19:31
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,147 $1,057 98¢ $1.1K +$62 10-28 02:07
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,115 $1,072 99¢ $1.1K +$33 10-28 17:41
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,106 $1,102 100¢ $1.1K +$3 10-26 09:22
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,105 $1,101 100¢ $1.1K +$3 10-17 12:33
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,321 $1,042 84¢ $1.1K +$61 10-25 19:10
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,174 $1,102 94¢ $1.1K -$4 10-27 11:37