Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.58K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$62.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$218

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 11-05 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

86% 94% -$307

Politics

10% 67% -$672

Sports

3% 0% -$1,619

Crypto

2% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes		+20	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-05 08:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	7	$2.9K	1,929	3,929	-2,000	Yes	+$675	06-19 10:35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	No	+$1	11-01 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	8	$2.0K	1,022	1,022	+0	No	+$3	10-30 05:57
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	No	+$1	10-23 08:11
Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	10	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$5	03-29 03:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	9	$1.7K	1,530	1,530	+0	open	—	05-27 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?	37	$1.6K	1,238	1,238	+0	Yes	-$802	08-06 06:05
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	17	$1.6K	984	984	+0	Yes	+$39	06-09 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	4	$1.5K	734	734	+0	No	+$1	11-03 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on July 25?	1	$1.4K	1,358	0	+1,358	No	+$1	07-25 03:19
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	6	$1.3K	680	680	+0	No	+$22	03-26 01:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	22	$1.3K	1,039	1,039	+0	No	+$119	05-14 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on July 30?	1	$1.2K	1,216	0	+1,216	No	+$1	07-30 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 29?	3	$1.2K	1,214	0	+1,214	No	+$2	07-29 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 28?	7	$1.1K	1,105	0	+1,105	No	+$2	07-28 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	1	$1.1K	1,091	0	+1,091	Yes	+$1	08-13 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10?	1	$1.1K	1,088	0	+1,088	No	+$1	08-10 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 27?	1	$1.0K	1,044	0	+1,044	No	+$1	08-27 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	1	$1.0K	1,033	0	+1,033	Yes	+$1	07-22 10:37
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,017	0	+1,017	No	+$2	10-26 06:38
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,015	0	+1,015	No	+$3	10-23 08:12
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$2	10-20 11:47
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,009	0	+1,009	No	+$1	10-15 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on August 12?	1	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	No	+$1	08-12 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?	4	$1.0K	1,005	0	+1,005	Yes	+$3	09-21 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?	1	$996	997	0	+997	No	+$1	08-20 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 1?	2	$984	985	0	+985	No	+$1	09-01 04:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	7	$968	976	0	+976	No	+$8	11-04 10:13
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	4	$952	750	750	+0	open	—	07-13 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on October 12?	1	$879	880	0	+880	Yes	+$1	10-12 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 08:10:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xb46a54…
11-05 08:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4240e8…
11-05 08:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xfbf761…
11-04 10:13:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0x88b01b…
11-04 10:12:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd14cba…
11-04 10:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe91904…
11-04 10:12:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe14c4f…
11-04 10:12:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2710c9…
11-04 10:11:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x589400…
11-04 09:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	736	99¢	$729	0xfa2b7b…
11-03 17:19:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x39cbf1…
11-03 17:19:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	555	100¢	$554	0x4fa6fe…
11-03 17:19:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x5f74e6…
11-03 03:54:04	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xd22f4b…
11-02 06:41:45	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x9561e7…
11-02 06:40:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0x84416e…
11-02 06:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xd62a81…
11-02 06:36:42	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x74f876…
11-01 14:56:01	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xa71672…
11-01 14:55:30	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$169	0x97e720…
11-01 14:52:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	734	100¢	$731	0x66f056…
11-01 14:51:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	1,023	100¢	$1,022	0x7865be…
10-30 08:04:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,023	100¢	$1,021	0xb19174…
10-30 05:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xe10db2…
10-30 05:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0xb2335f…
10-30 05:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x56cc1d…
10-30 05:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4dc287…
10-30 05:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x3f1491…
10-30 05:57:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x39d03e…
10-30 05:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x1e1229…
10-28 09:42:56	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,022	100¢	$1,018	0xe569d7…
10-26 06:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,017	100¢	$1,015	0x3d7399…
10-23 08:12:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,015	100¢	$1,012	0xf4cf12…
10-23 08:11:47	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	1,013	100¢	$1,012	0x82ef4a…
10-22 06:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,013	100¢	$1,011	0xefe916…
10-20 11:47:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1,011	100¢	$1,009	0x9ce25b…
10-15 09:04:14	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,008	0x482e85…
10-13 06:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x9c7cb8…
10-13 06:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 14?	No	BUY	415	100¢	$414	0xb0be13…
10-13 06:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$338	0x846898…
10-13 06:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x857520…
10-12 06:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	880	100¢	$879	0x7984ef…
10-12 06:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x8cb690…
09-21 07:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x1a32e0…
09-21 07:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xc99fab…
09-21 07:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0x67ce64…
09-21 07:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0xe63a09…
09-18 09:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	317	100¢	$317	0xef3b69…
09-18 09:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	686	100¢	$686	0x7ba56b…
09-16 07:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	689	100¢	$688	0xd76f1e…
09-16 07:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xa92f1b…
09-16 07:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x397e1e…
09-16 07:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xfbc9d4…
09-14 07:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbe6fcf…
09-14 07:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0x7cffa8…
09-14 07:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	409	100¢	$407	0xb4f33e…
09-14 07:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 14?	No	BUY	483	100¢	$483	0x92d8ac…
09-08 10:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on September 9?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x4c037e…
09-08 10:41:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on September 9?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x9dfae6…
09-08 10:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	346	100¢	$346	0x69217f…
09-08 10:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	436	100¢	$435	0xed0b1f…
09-05 10:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	702	100¢	$701	0x78c7a5…
09-05 10:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xd0706d…
09-03 01:37:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xfe92a9…
09-02 16:55:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x34b928…
09-02 16:55:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x82a33f…
09-02 16:43:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	179	99¢	$177	0xfd85fb…
09-02 16:42:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x24a090…
09-01 04:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x224598…
09-01 04:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	864	100¢	$863	0x688fa1…
09-01 04:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xf1b4e7…
09-01 04:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1f004e…
08-30 01:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbbaf1c…
08-30 00:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xc7358e…
08-29 23:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8089be…
08-29 21:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7e1ac5…
08-29 21:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x998692…
08-29 21:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfb9c96…
08-29 21:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x476796…
08-29 21:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0710d1…
08-29 21:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1c6852…
08-29 20:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xedf065…
08-29 14:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$355	0x8c15aa…
08-29 13:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0xcc6637…
08-29 13:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0x825bd7…
08-29 13:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c1729…
08-29 13:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86b455…
08-29 13:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x0eb57c…
08-29 13:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc0f86e…
08-27 09:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 27?	No	BUY	1,044	100¢	$1,043	0x0bfc7c…
08-23 15:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?	No	BUY	59	90¢	$53	0x9a8e2c…
08-23 15:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x686929…
08-23 15:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x75ae07…
08-23 15:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0xd50515…
08-23 15:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	701	100¢	$701	0x4798dd…
08-20 06:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xb33a90…
08-20 06:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	997	100¢	$996	0x0dd826…
08-17 07:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	345	100¢	$344	0xb0960a…
08-17 07:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x5d5dc1…
08-17 07:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	424	100¢	$424	0x758dab…