Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$857

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

212

Trades

506

lifetime

Volume

$80.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-30 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

71% 97% +$338

Politics

15% 100% +$1,066

Tech

5% 0% -$677

Crypto

4% 59% -$108

Sports

4% 67% +$237

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$3.4K	2,030	2,030	+0	open	—	06-09 03:40
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$3.1K	5,298	5,298	+0	No	+$27	06-02 01:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$2.9K	1,666	1,666	+0	No	+$150	05-25 07:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	13	$2.7K	2,115	2,115	+0	open	—	07-13 18:16
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	9	$2.5K	2,641	2,641	+0	No	-$621	06-16 15:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$2.4K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$336	05-11 03:56
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$2.3K	1,676	1,676	+0	open	—	07-23 15:21
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$18	03-29 14:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	9	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	-$56	06-18 13:52
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1.8K	2,824	0	+2,824	Yes	+$1,067	06-09 09:37
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	5	$1.7K	842	842	+0	open	—	10-29 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 19?	1	$1.2K	1,222	0	+1,222	No	+$1	08-19 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 14?	2	$1.2K	1,213	0	+1,213	No	+$2	08-14 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 11?	3	$1.2K	1,206	0	+1,206	No	+$4	08-11 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C or higher on August 10?	4	$1.2K	1,203	0	+1,203	No	+$3	08-10 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 7?	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$1	08-07 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5?	1	$1.2K	1,197	0	+1,197	No	+$1	08-05 04:56
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1.2K	1,195	0	+1,195	Yes	+$41	07-23 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 17?	20	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$1	09-17 04:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.0K	0	1,703	-1,703	Yes	+$1,039	05-06 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 31?	2	$969	971	0	+971	No	+$2	08-31 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on August 12?	11	$954	481	481	+0	No	+$3	08-12 08:42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$932	1,181	0	+1,181	Yes	-$932	07-14 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 21?	16	$905	907	0	+907	No	+$2	08-21 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28?	7	$867	435	435	+0	No	+$2	08-30 03:14
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on October 22?	1	$827	828	0	+828	No	+$1	10-21 15:21
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$826	827	0	+827	No	+$1	10-16 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	2	$824	826	0	+826	Yes	+$2	10-14 08:03
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$820	824	0	+824	No	+$4	10-13 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 15?	5	$781	783	0	+783	No	+$2	09-15 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:40:25	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0xfaf3e7…
10-30 05:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	166	98¢	$164	0xa69735…
10-30 05:38:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xca8487…
10-30 05:35:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x5def9b…
10-30 05:35:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8c777e…
10-30 05:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x82f5be…
10-30 05:35:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd89e0f…
10-30 05:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	163	99¢	$161	0xf9eb08…
10-29 16:08:11	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	616	100¢	$615	0xfe0d0d…
10-29 15:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9434b2…
10-29 15:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x45dc41…
10-28 05:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	625	100¢	$623	0xa94299…
10-28 05:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0x503e1e…
10-25 06:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	422	100¢	$421	0xf24908…
10-24 15:54:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	418	99¢	$412	0x03a092…
10-23 10:55:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	412	100¢	$411	0x8bae73…
10-23 10:54:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	420	99¢	$417	0x8fe77c…
10-21 15:21:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	828	100¢	$827	0x955b05…
10-16 06:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	827	100¢	$826	0xfb6380…
10-15 10:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x805979…
10-15 10:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 15?	No	BUY	548	100¢	$547	0xc21522…
10-14 08:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	320	100¢	$319	0x987b0b…
10-14 08:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	506	100¢	$505	0x240808…
10-13 07:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	824	100¢	$820	0xdef83d…
10-08 03:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on October 9?	No	BUY	580	100¢	$579	0x828747…
10-08 03:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 9?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x09a5a9…
10-05 14:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xabfbdf…
10-05 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x8c1705…
10-05 14:34:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	378	97¢	$367	0x9ac4e2…
10-05 14:17:43	bitcoin above 84k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	378	100¢	$377	0x9571a4…
10-05 14:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on October 6?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x5d2edf…
10-05 14:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 38°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xeea969…
10-05 13:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on October 6?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x01a704…
10-05 13:46:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6058f3…
10-02 15:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 3?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x8cfd47…
10-02 15:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C or below on October 3?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$502	0xb63385…
10-02 15:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x9fb898…
09-30 14:43:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x11b574…
09-30 14:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x5dd5a0…
09-30 14:32:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x6d7c0f…
09-30 14:32:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x8f2de3…
09-30 14:32:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x7b5b55…
09-29 11:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$364	0x4296e8…
09-29 00:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 29?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcca45b…
09-29 00:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 29?	No	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0xb98f7b…
09-28 13:47:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x106634…
09-28 13:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xecf209…
09-28 13:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x77ab9d…
09-28 13:40:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x5f8251…
09-28 13:39:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x00d8bd…
09-28 13:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	467	100¢	$465	0x9365a7…
09-28 13:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 29?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x107d81…
09-26 14:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xc3ef75…
09-26 14:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xe28ae9…
09-26 13:32:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xf905b5…
09-26 13:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xb56581…
09-26 13:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x99879b…
09-26 13:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x5ed173…
09-26 13:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x324824…
09-26 13:12:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9e0350…
09-26 13:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x861391…
09-26 13:07:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x866675…
09-26 12:37:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x75856b…
09-26 12:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3873f8…
09-26 12:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xf8a10d…
09-26 12:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2251bd…
09-26 08:56:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xfd7887…
09-26 08:55:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x7803cf…
09-26 08:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x398bd7…
09-25 15:21:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x8df572…
09-23 03:03:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23?	No	BUY	670	100¢	$669	0x07352d…
09-22 13:29:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe9031a…
09-22 13:22:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2f2aae…
09-22 10:41:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 22?	No	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0x3c7b51…
09-22 10:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xeae99e…
09-22 10:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x8a45ed…
09-22 10:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0xb0096a…
09-22 10:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x982901…
09-22 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xdc081f…
09-22 09:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x710fcc…
09-22 09:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xf8667c…
09-22 09:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf6ad50…
09-22 09:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xfac741…
09-22 09:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x17ed67…
09-22 09:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x04c82c…
09-22 09:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xe62b89…
09-22 09:22:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xff35e5…
09-22 09:07:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x21738c…
09-22 09:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0xe7a004…
09-22 09:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb339a5…
09-22 08:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x8a88d5…
09-22 08:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xa074b4…
09-22 08:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2b415a…
09-22 08:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x52bade…
09-22 08:42:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x77ff43…
09-22 08:42:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c962a…
09-22 08:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x836389…
09-22 08:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x2da51c…
09-22 08:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x451a6e…
09-22 08:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xfd5ab5…