Realized P&L
+$87
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
30
Trades
237
lifetime
Volume
$5.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-09 19:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
63% 100% +$67
Other
20% 100% +$20
Sports
17% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +304 $264 86¢ $263 -$1 11-09 18:13
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +268 $249 94¢ $252 +$3 11-09 16:21
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +268 $233 87¢ $232 -$1 11-08 03:36
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +233 $228 98¢ $228 $0 11-09 16:15
Will Nemiga Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +188 $186 98¢ $185 -$1 11-07 04:56
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +198 $182 94¢ $185 +$3 11-08 17:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +207 $114 55¢ $113 -$1 11-09 16:19
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +118 $109 95¢ $113 +$4 11-03 09:14
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +103 $96 94¢ $96 +$1 11-08 23:49
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +92 $87 99¢ $91 +$5 11-05 04:47
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +87 $86 100¢ $86 $0 11-09 15:50
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +95 $83 86¢ $82 -$1 11-09 16:17
Will Olympiacos win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +83 $81 98¢ $81 +$0 11-04 00:40
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +72 $69 95¢ $69 $0 11-03 09:14
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +86 $67 78¢ $67 +$0 11-03 09:11
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +90 $55 58¢ $53 -$2 11-09 04:50
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +41 $38 100¢ $40 +$3 11-04 20:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +36 $33 97¢ $35 +$2 11-05 10:26
Will the Washington Capitals be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +37 $35 96¢ $35 +$0 11-04 00:38
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +36 $34 95¢ $34 $0 10-30 11:17
Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 $0 11-06 01:13
Will Astralis Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +33 $32 100¢ $33 +$0 11-06 12:22
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +31 $31 98¢ $31 $0 11-09 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +35 $32 86¢ $30 -$2 11-07 07:01
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +28 $24 85¢ $24 $0 11-08 23:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$1 11-07 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 11-08 17:09
Will Inter Miami CF be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +23 $19 82¢ $19 $0 11-09 00:10
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 14, 2026? No +19 $18 100¢ $19 +$1 10-31 11:41
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2026? No +19 $18 97¢ $19 +$0 11-06 18:32