Well-Worn-Foundation-Thread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

877

Trades

5,565

lifetime

Volume

$3.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$606

Open exposure

$9.34K

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-27 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

99% 89% -$19,919

Politics

1% 80% +$6

Crypto

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No		+5,000	$4,995	100¢	$5.0K	+$0	10-27 09:08
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	—	+3,363	$3,346	100¢	$3.4K	+$11	10-27 11:36
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No		+1,000	$988	99¢	$988	$0	10-27 09:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	14	$49.4K	49,500	0	+49,500	Gujarat Titans	+$99	05-12 17:13
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	3	$45.0K	45,000	0	+45,000	Lucknow Super Giants	+$45	05-15 17:40
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	19	$32.9K	32,952	0	+32,952	No	+$42	07-06 18:12
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	24	$29.1K	29,100	0	+29,100	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$29	05-28 17:45
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	1	$29.0K	29,000	0	+29,000	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$29	05-26 16:59
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	9	$29.0K	29,000	0	+29,000	Rajasthan Royals	+$29	05-27 17:43
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	35	$25.2K	28,357	2,000	+26,357	Yes	+$4,774	09-03 23:01
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	24	$24.0K	24,091	0	+24,091	No	+$101	07-15 09:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	9	$22.3K	21,250	1,135	+20,115	No	+$102	07-13 18:41
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	21	$22.1K	22,146	0	+22,146	No	+$79	07-07 16:11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?	15	$22.0K	22,219	5,463	+16,757	No	+$249	05-19 05:37
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	27	$21.7K	12,885	12,885	+0	Yes	-$3,575	07-29 20:03
between 41 and 43 million views	48	$21.6K	20,750	1,000	+19,750	Yes	+$134	06-01 17:38
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?	1	$21.4K	21,404	0	+21,404	Yes	+$21	06-06 19:45
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	135	$20.9K	10,629	10,629	+0	No	-$272	10-09 21:04
crint ind4 afg2 2026 06 17	57	$20.9K	21,088	0	+21,088	India	+$174	06-17 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	5	$19.7K	19,755	0	+19,755	No	+$57	07-09 08:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$19.4K	9,700	9,700	+0	No	+$0	05-28 13:49
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	3	$19.0K	19,000	0	+19,000	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$19	05-17 13:44
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	6	$18.4K	14,086	4,668	+9,418	Yes	+$29	10-05 03:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?	28	$18.4K	18,606	0	+18,606	No	+$206	06-20 16:04
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	17	$17.7K	17,776	0	+17,776	No	+$86	08-29 12:32
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	10	$17.5K	12,490	5,087	+7,403	No	+$31	08-21 11:23
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 3?	29	$17.4K	17,675	0	+17,675	No	+$270	06-16 13:41
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	34	$16.5K	16,543	0	+16,543	India	+$17	10-27 12:12
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	30	$16.1K	10,213	10,213	+0	Yes	-$1,404	05-21 17:23
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	3	$16.1K	16,220	0	+16,220	No	+$110	07-31 17:54
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	16	$16.0K	17,616	42	+17,574	Yes	+$1,620	10-03 12:25
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57.75 and 58.5 million views in week 1?	17	$16.0K	16,103	0	+16,103	No	+$150	07-04 13:14
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	30	$15.8K	16,243	199	+16,044	No	+$295	06-06 17:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:12:23	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	3,571	100¢	$3,568	0xef13e3…
10-27 11:59:21	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x702416…
10-27 11:36:44	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x3ea0a8…
10-27 11:31:57	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7fc119…
10-27 11:27:57	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xef0953…
10-27 11:26:57	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f3bc9…
10-27 11:26:44	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,990	0x4b5cd9…
10-27 11:23:00	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x9bcfe2…
10-27 11:21:47	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb19255…
10-27 11:17:35	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc875d1…
10-27 11:14:45	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1b9b30…
10-27 11:10:41	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0afa4b…
10-27 11:09:45	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x06649d…
10-27 11:09:05	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xb323d4…
10-27 11:08:47	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf69301…
10-27 11:08:47	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x87c6c7…
10-27 11:08:15	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc0f34c…
10-27 11:07:51	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd4dc4e…
10-27 11:07:51	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0d7ac2…
10-27 11:07:21	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdc2cd9…
10-27 11:07:21	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0249e0…
10-27 11:06:54	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdf465e…
10-27 10:54:50	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	299	100¢	$299	0x8a8023…
10-27 10:53:50	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0x1f5ad8…
10-27 10:51:50	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x8eb91e…
10-27 10:51:12	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x4029c4…
10-27 10:50:32	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x91a180…
10-27 10:49:42	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa6db07…
10-27 10:41:47	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x3392c7…
10-27 10:39:41	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	603	100¢	$602	0x020aa2…
10-27 10:36:54	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xebed6e…
10-27 10:35:05	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x05b993…
10-27 10:33:59	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x38cfd0…
10-27 10:28:05	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7e9354…
10-27 10:27:59	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0xa39c91…
10-27 10:22:50	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	583	100¢	$582	0x760d56…
10-27 10:20:09	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x50c211…
10-27 10:19:48	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xe90c32…
10-27 10:18:39	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	1,406	100¢	$1,405	0x5c177d…
10-27 10:18:21	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0x6d5e06…
10-27 10:17:59	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03b38d…
10-27 10:17:56	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0xcd09f5…
10-27 10:15:45	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x18e400…
10-27 10:15:38	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xdc2087…
10-27 10:15:17	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xc5dbf7…
10-27 10:15:11	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xce6b10…
10-27 10:14:18	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	2,480	100¢	$2,477	0x544aff…
10-27 09:34:08	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0xd368e2…
10-27 09:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3,896	100¢	$3,884	0x92b2b3…
10-27 09:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$988	0xddd8ee…
10-27 09:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xd9458d…
10-27 07:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x013fec…
10-27 02:13:06	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3d9f3a…
10-26 22:02:35	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9d02c5…
10-26 17:08:08	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	460	100¢	$458	0xf94b0a…
10-26 06:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x35e59c…
10-26 06:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,542	100¢	$2,539	0x0bb8ef…
10-26 01:59:29	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	425	100¢	$423	0x4492d8…
10-25 23:33:45	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	505	100¢	$503	0x458bfb…
10-25 19:48:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x5913ed…
10-25 19:34:29	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x447bb1…
10-25 19:34:11	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0xb21925…
10-25 06:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0xe5d1cd…
10-25 06:54:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc78a09…
10-25 06:54:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0xe9fdc5…
10-25 06:52:29	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	326	100¢	$325	0x87d0c0…
10-25 06:51:23	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0xda5d9f…
10-25 06:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xac1fba…
10-25 06:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x754f14…
10-25 06:49:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x8d66fc…
10-24 14:24:15	Will MrBeast's next video get 146 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf4e28c…
10-24 04:49:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 141.5 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x8ac414…
10-24 04:31:47	Will MrBeast's next video get 146 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1842f0…
10-23 18:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6,422	100¢	$6,416	0x3e770b…
10-23 15:41:23	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	490	99¢	$485	0xd63295…
10-23 15:40:48	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x38bba6…
10-23 13:32:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	236	86¢	$203	0x29dedb…
10-23 11:29:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xfca461…
10-23 11:28:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	89	71¢	$63	0x357754…
10-23 11:23:21	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd897db…
10-23 09:25:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xcf77ce…
10-23 09:24:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xc6d2fc…
10-23 09:24:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	58	47¢	$27	0x7542e5…
10-23 09:24:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x5f1fdf…
10-23 09:00:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x0585b4…
10-23 08:40:26	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$109	0xea42cf…
10-23 07:50:41	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0x6e136b…
10-23 07:50:41	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x007c19…
10-23 07:50:39	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	761	99¢	$754	0x14e0c5…
10-23 07:08:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x8b5e85…
10-23 06:56:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x414daf…
10-23 06:55:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xea64b7…
10-23 06:55:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x451ce9…
10-23 06:42:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xaef71f…
10-23 06:31:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5,060	100¢	$5,034	0xb0c6b1…
10-22 10:18:29	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x49a556…
10-22 10:18:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x947c49…
10-22 10:17:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x705680…
10-22 10:17:47	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd36a9e…
10-22 10:17:42	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6fd76a…