Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.45K

Unrealized P&L

+$578

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

839

Trades

4,997

lifetime

Volume

$24.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$655

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-30 10:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

100% 22% +$3,447

Politics

0% 50% +$5

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+558	-$43	73¢	$408	+$451	10-30 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+745	$75	19¢	$139	+$64	10-30 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,312	$19	7¢	$94	+$75	10-30 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,518	$16	1¢	$10	-$6	10-26 22:01
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,333	$10	0¢	$5	-$5	10-26 22:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	33	$1.9K	1,861	1,417	+443	Yes	+$574	10-22 13:54
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	13	$928	975	399	+575	open	—	10-30 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	29	$797	1,053	1,047	+6	Yes	+$358	10-20 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	10	$707	921	921	+0	Yes	+$408	10-13 10:01
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	13	$588	1,943	1,192	+751	No	+$303	10-13 10:01
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	9	$478	1,470	1,249	+221	Yes	+$676	03-02 22:58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	29	$392	620	475	+144	Yes	+$225	10-21 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	21	$303	427	381	+46	Yes	+$204	10-19 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	8	$296	598	391	+207	Yes	+$169	09-04 14:00
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	16	$279	2,297	1,125	+1,172	Yes	+$1,320	03-04 20:13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	8	$275	520	410	+110	No	+$56	09-04 10:00
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	13	$219	2,082	900	+1,182	No	+$160	03-04 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	5	$217	363	363	+0	Yes	+$69	10-28 04:01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$201	616	376	+240	No	+$62	10-14 22:01
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	12	$200	819	587	+231	No	+$173	03-02 05:00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	6	$197	318	318	+0	Yes	+$174	10-16 04:01
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	10	$165	1,872	246	+1,627	No	-$90	10-12 22:01
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	13	$162	1,146	401	+745	open	—	10-30 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	7	$160	788	538	+249	No	+$137	10-08 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	6	$159	864	0	+864	open	—	10-30 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	4	$157	181	60	+121	Yes	+$73	09-08 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	10	$156	1,303	878	+425	No	-$5	10-13 10:01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	7	$148	265	219	+46	No	+$81	10-23 10:01
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	9	$145	1,660	927	+733	No	+$86	03-05 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	6	$135	1,571	82	+1,489	open	—	10-30 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	5	$134	386	302	+85	Yes	+$113	10-22 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	7	$129	269	269	+0	No	+$20	09-08 04:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	4	$129	274	133	+141	No	-$7	10-26 10:01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	4	$128	170	170	+0	No	+$26	10-24 04:01
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	6	$125	470	470	+0	No	+$48	10-26 22:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:21:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x431bff…
10-30 14:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xf147b8…
10-30 14:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe3f1b9…
10-30 14:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	38¢	$101	0xce0436…
10-30 14:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	5¢	$6	0x62a9cc…
10-30 14:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	355	12¢	$42	0x5db8aa…
10-30 14:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$4	0x5ade64…
10-30 14:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	3¢	$11	0x57d84d…
10-30 14:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	75¢	$146	0x54a8af…
10-30 14:21:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$2	0x061a21…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,704	0¢	$2	0xf08b8d…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	639	7¢	$43	0xbf7637…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	11¢	$5	0xaec878…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	12¢	$7	0xa9ee82…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8cb532…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	418	1¢	$4	0x87c035…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	64¢	$54	0x7f061a…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	7¢	$7	0x642b7b…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x09a9d3…
10-30 14:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	26¢	$22	0x059388…
10-30 14:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xc91a1f…
10-30 10:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0x952588…
10-30 10:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0x5a1d9f…
10-30 10:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	579	7¢	$41	0xffdb84…
10-30 10:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	0¢	$1	0xf9588d…
10-30 10:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	3¢	$6	0x7d54fe…
10-30 10:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	14¢	$18	0x067de6…
10-30 07:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	30¢	$13	0xd5863f…
10-30 07:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0xbbc7eb…
10-30 07:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	17¢	$44	0xaef268…
10-30 07:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x85d006…
10-30 07:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	8¢	$7	0x8061e1…
10-30 07:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	1¢	$1	0x65080d…
10-30 07:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4925fe…
10-30 07:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,212	0¢	$1	0x24970f…
10-30 07:23:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	0¢	$0	0x61b010…
10-29 22:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	2¢	$5	0xf2b096…
10-29 22:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xecf8d3…
10-29 22:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	11¢	$5	0x1fe8ac…
10-29 16:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$11	0x5c616f…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xe7c50c…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0xd6ff3d…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xaa089c…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xa36bb8…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x91c35b…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	5¢	$6	0x74298a…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x6096ef…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	14¢	$5	0x2d5cf1…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x032f03…
10-29 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	3¢	$4	0x00d1c9…
10-29 10:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x3355cd…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xdf610c…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xca8244…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0xb31c28…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xa05a7c…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3213e3…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	13¢	$27	0x31fdd6…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	0¢	$1	0x2ef95e…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	497	1¢	$3	0x2b5157…
10-29 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	847	3¢	$26	0x031286…
10-29 04:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	6¢	$20	0xfb629d…
10-29 04:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	11¢	$21	0xfb1962…
10-29 04:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x4f57e5…
10-29 04:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	10¢	$15	0x386920…
10-29 04:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	439	8¢	$35	0x293ed9…
10-29 04:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	1¢	$2	0x21e86c…
10-29 04:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	378	2¢	$8	0x0b19a7…
10-29 04:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0xb42142…
10-29 04:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	536	12¢	$64	0x975fe6…
10-29 04:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	15¢	$34	0x80abd9…
10-29 04:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0x58131f…
10-28 22:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	606	1¢	$5	0xce0c82…
10-28 22:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	4¢	$16	0xe06c7b…
10-28 22:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	415	2¢	$8	0x86cbfc…
10-28 22:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x7c9e74…
10-28 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	620	0¢	$1	0xd3bc64…
10-28 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	7¢	$4	0xc5ec00…
10-28 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	778	1¢	$6	0xa29c9a…
10-28 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0x9a47af…
10-28 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0x8115c8…
10-28 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x2a4dd3…
10-28 16:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	9¢	$17	0x0a9df5…
10-28 10:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$1	0xc59ce3…
10-28 10:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	7¢	$11	0xbbaf8b…
10-28 10:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	71¢	$61	0x77b20b…
10-28 10:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	10¢	$33	0x77041a…
10-28 10:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	2¢	$2	0x5b3623…
10-28 10:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0xe1939e…
10-28 10:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	17¢	$39	0xcde73a…
10-28 10:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	254	4¢	$10	0x60589c…
10-28 10:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	412	2¢	$8	0x4c9fe3…
10-28 10:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x48f091…
10-28 10:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$1	0x34bb8e…
10-28 04:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	2¢	$4	0x8fe460…
10-28 04:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	2¢	$4	0x57b919…
10-28 04:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	712	0¢	$1	0x561443…
10-28 04:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	1¢	$2	0x3a3984…
10-28 04:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	50¢	$33	0xf7b443…
10-28 04:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xd2eb47…
10-28 04:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xab85b7…