Discrete-Pronoun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$153

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

153

Trades

236

lifetime

Volume

$76.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$324

Open exposure

$151

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 07:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 96% +$150

Other

2% 58% +$3

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No		+153	$152	99¢	$151	-$1	10-29 07:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	9	$1.7K	1,182	595	+588	No	+$6	07-25 00:43
will ethereum reach 2400 august 17 23 2026	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	Yes	-$19	08-19 16:37
will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	+$2	06-24 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	3	$1.1K	567	567	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 10:14
ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	2	$1.1K	562	562	+0	No	+$2	06-10 14:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	4	$1.1K	566	566	+0	No	-$3	06-03 06:25
bitcoin above 80k on june 6 2026	2	$1.1K	558	558	+0	No	+$1	06-05 11:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	2	$1.1K	558	558	+0	No	+$2	05-28 01:04
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$1.1K	557	557	+0	No	+$1	05-27 04:38
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	12	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	+$0	04-08 10:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$1.1K	559	558	+1	No	+$2	04-28 13:48
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	2	$848	428	428	+0	No	+$0	02-25 01:26
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	2	$844	423	423	+0	No	+$1	02-20 03:04
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	4	$840	426	426	+0	No	$0	02-13 18:12
bitcoin above 84k on february 2	2	$805	408	408	+0	No	+$4	02-02 07:07
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	2	$788	396	396	+0	No	+$2	02-01 09:41
bitcoin above 94k on january 31	2	$782	392	392	+0	No	+$0	01-31 10:07
bitcoin above 98k on january 30	2	$782	391	391	+0	No	+$0	01-30 04:54
bitcoin above 80k on january 28	2	$780	391	391	+0	Yes	+$1	01-28 06:50
bitcoin above 96k on january 22	10	$773	388	388	+0	No	+$1	01-22 01:57
bitcoin above 94k on january 21	5	$770	387	387	+0	No	+$2	01-21 04:36
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	2	$761	382	382	+0	Yes	+$1	01-14 13:40
bitcoin above 96k on january 12	2	$752	379	379	+0	No	+$5	01-12 07:50
bitcoin above 92k on january 8	8	$750	404	404	+0	No	+$8	01-08 11:20
bitcoin above 96k on january 9	2	$744	374	374	+0	No	+$4	01-09 08:03
bitcoin above 94k on january 4	2	$714	370	370	+0	No	+$3	01-04 06:32
bitcoin above 66k on august 17 2026	1	$603	606	0	+606	No	+$3	08-16 22:15
ethereum above 2000 on august 16 2026	1	$602	604	0	+604	No	+$2	08-15 16:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 7?	1	$602	603	0	+603	Yes	+$1	10-06 01:40
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 28-October 4?	1	$601	603	0	+603	No	+$2	10-03 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:13:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$152	0x05c50a…
10-29 04:21:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0xc76bf1…
10-27 06:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	153	97¢	$149	0xc47e41…
10-25 04:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	149	96¢	$143	0x59f4ef…
10-25 04:16:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x80ddec…
10-23 21:51:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	143	98¢	$141	0x7b1203…
10-22 00:05:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$139	0xb2df61…
10-21 05:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xe60271…
10-20 04:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x7ced5f…
10-20 01:01:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	162	86¢	$139	0x57f7ec…
10-15 12:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	162	94¢	$152	0x91581d…
10-14 23:58:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0x42cc1e…
10-13 00:09:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xb310b3…
10-09 04:24:19	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x1d501a…
10-06 01:40:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	603	100¢	$602	0xe2f21f…
10-03 02:14:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	603	100¢	$601	0xf93bd6…
10-01 05:33:21	bitcoin above 76k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xc91474…
09-26 01:28:02	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0xb93b10…
09-23 01:43:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	598	100¢	$597	0x04d4ae…
09-21 05:00:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	598	100¢	$597	0x816bac…
09-18 16:18:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	597	100¢	$596	0xd0da49…
09-17 00:12:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	596	100¢	$595	0x44726c…
09-13 03:58:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 7-13?	No	BUY	595	100¢	$594	0xc81530…
09-11 12:51:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	595	100¢	$593	0x474216…
09-06 23:52:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	593	100¢	$592	0x27f1d8…
09-02 23:23:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	592	99¢	$589	0xe875a0…
08-29 23:57:15	will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	No	BUY	589	100¢	$587	0x6d9d78…
08-27 08:58:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xcfe869…
08-27 08:56:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xb30dae…
08-27 08:55:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 27?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xaa8b20…
08-25 02:54:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	586	100¢	$585	0xe0dab2…
08-19 16:37:28	will ethereum reach 2400 august 17 23 2026	No	SELL	608	96¢	$587	0xbfc6d2…
08-18 00:46:37	will ethereum reach 2400 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	608	100¢	$606	0x1fb9a3…
08-16 22:15:12	bitcoin above 66k on august 17 2026	No	BUY	606	100¢	$603	0xefc8f3…
08-15 16:25:03	ethereum above 2000 on august 16 2026	No	BUY	604	100¢	$602	0xc78218…
08-15 06:19:40	ethereum above 1700 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	595	100¢	$594	0x2a01b7…
08-15 02:00:18	ethereum above 2000 on august 15 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x090558…
08-14 05:23:58	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	258	100¢	$256	0x681f8d…
08-14 05:23:58	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x264ea4…
08-14 05:11:03	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc061cd…
08-14 05:10:04	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf33e43…
08-14 05:06:10	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x74904f…
08-12 17:03:25	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	599	100¢	$597	0xdc7154…
08-12 06:07:43	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	597	100¢	$596	0xdbcc7d…
08-11 02:29:42	ethereum above 2000 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	596	100¢	$595	0xb81f5d…
08-08 23:47:28	will ethereum reach 2100 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	595	100¢	$593	0xb0b6f5…
08-08 00:21:34	ethereum above 1800 on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	593	100¢	$591	0xc0f7fb…
08-05 22:17:11	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	591	100¢	$590	0xfc900a…
08-05 05:23:50	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	591	100¢	$590	0x68e9d1…
08-03 04:20:59	bitcoin above 68k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0xe2c727…
08-03 04:20:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 4?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x60e864…
08-01 10:35:30	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	589	100¢	$588	0xba925b…
07-25 00:43:48	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	588	99¢	$583	0x1fecad…
07-23 13:35:21	ethereum above 2100 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	564	100¢	$562	0x11c737…
07-23 12:08:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 23?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe931a6…
07-23 09:58:30	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xb89040…
07-23 09:56:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	539	98¢	$527	0xe5359e…
07-23 09:50:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x355968…
07-14 04:36:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	349	97¢	$339	0xd4717f…
07-14 04:17:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x15c3c4…
07-14 04:07:41	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x07b389…
07-14 03:57:16	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x21aad1…
07-14 03:00:26	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	151	97¢	$147	0x2bf20b…
07-11 04:22:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 11?	No	BUY	580	100¢	$578	0x98b575…
07-07 23:54:58	bitcoin above 70k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	578	100¢	$576	0x9d1c02…
07-05 02:08:47	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on July 7?	No	BUY	576	100¢	$575	0x79104c…
07-04 04:01:44	ethereum above 1600 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	576	100¢	$575	0x09e6bd…
07-03 07:15:46	ethereum above 1600 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	575	100¢	$573	0xbbe8c4…
07-01 06:34:22	bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	574	100¢	$573	0x91cac3…
06-24 00:59:53	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	No	BUY	572	99¢	$569	0xe8e169…
06-24 00:55:26	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	SELL	570	100¢	$569	0x038014…
06-19 04:52:08	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	570	99¢	$567	0x4c9614…
06-15 10:12:52	bitcoin above 56k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x09fe8c…
06-15 10:11:55	bitcoin above 56k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	556	100¢	$553	0x9cbf24…
06-13 13:21:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?	No	BUY	565	100¢	$562	0xec6133…
06-10 14:25:34	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	SELL	562	100¢	$562	0x11d422…
06-10 01:46:49	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	562	100¢	$560	0x6aa1b7…
06-07 02:55:51	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0xab325b…
06-05 11:48:24	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	560	100¢	$558	0x971d43…
06-05 11:47:52	bitcoin above 80k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	558	100¢	$558	0x538395…
06-03 14:10:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 6?	No	BUY	558	100¢	$557	0x06469a…
06-03 06:25:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x4dc1ae…
06-03 06:24:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	No	SELL	406	99¢	$400	0x9bff45…
06-03 06:24:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x27aaf0…
06-03 04:22:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	566	99¢	$560	0xb95f72…
06-01 07:20:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$168	0x3adf7f…
05-31 10:35:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x86d7b8…
05-28 13:23:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	560	100¢	$558	0x9b7431…
05-28 01:04:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	558	100¢	$558	0x37b5ad…
05-27 14:10:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	558	100¢	$556	0x3b4880…
05-27 04:38:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	557	100¢	$556	0x44a322…
05-22 03:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x005f3d…
05-21 02:05:44	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcb1dab…
05-20 10:36:25	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	557	100¢	$555	0x48c1c5…
05-19 10:52:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	555	100¢	$554	0x24d85a…
05-18 00:36:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	555	99¢	$549	0x053178…
05-16 13:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x7e6f2b…
05-16 13:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0xb312b9…
05-16 04:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xbf041b…
05-16 04:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xfbf40d…