Pertinent-Bronco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.90K

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

2,376

Trades

42,408

lifetime

Volume

$641.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 285 days

Categories

Other

99% 23% +$8,792

Crypto

1% 21% -$373

Politics

0% 25% -$467

Tech

0% 67% +$3

Sports

0% 0% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+200	$9	1¢	$3	-$7	10-27 03:58
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+1,400	$9	0¢	$2	-$7	10-26 17:09
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+500	$12	0¢	$0	-$11	10-26 01:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	172	$28.0K	37,587	22,902	+14,685	No	+$1,969	01-13 16:45
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	81	$13.3K	37,165	39,883	-2,718	Yes	-$588	01-02 16:53
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	124	$9.7K	19,608	25,076	-5,468	No	+$656	01-02 16:17
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	43	$8.4K	7,811	13,626	-5,815	No	+$649	01-13 17:00
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	219	$7.4K	24,037	26,951	-2,914	Yes	-$1,258	02-13 16:32
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	105	$7.4K	22,092	23,589	-1,497	Yes	-$138	02-06 14:12
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	121	$7.3K	17,580	25,885	-8,305	Yes	-$4,339	01-06 16:48
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	108	$7.0K	13,196	12,898	+298	No	+$74	02-04 08:31
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	66	$6.1K	17,997	15,997	+2,000	Yes	+$698	01-27 16:52
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	8	$5.7K	1,711	5,207	-3,496	Yes	+$951	01-09 16:50
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	49	$5.4K	3,883	3,883	+0	Yes	+$348	01-14 15:57
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	97	$5.3K	28,748	11,995	+16,753	No	-$17	02-06 16:40
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	102	$4.9K	17,252	25,083	-7,831	Yes	-$6,557	01-13 16:52
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 280 299	1	$4.9K	4,895	0	+4,895	No	+$5	01-02 18:08
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	129	$4.7K	20,612	20,612	+0	No	+$358	02-16 23:38
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	103	$4.6K	19,199	9,699	+9,500	Yes	+$1,829	01-23 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	59	$4.6K	7,942	8,142	-200	Yes	+$735	02-17 16:39
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	71	$4.5K	7,883	5,077	+2,806	Yes	-$370	02-07 16:02
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	142	$4.5K	31,970	19,283	+12,687	No	+$95	01-16 16:12
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	62	$4.3K	13,203	13,203	+0	No	+$257	02-03 16:41
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	55	$4.2K	27,654	10,213	+17,440	Yes	+$351	02-03 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	126	$4.0K	12,955	13,730	-775	No	+$170	02-13 16:27
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	60	$3.7K	12,328	10,753	+1,575	No	-$64	02-06 14:55
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 580 599	70	$3.7K	35,863	26,798	+9,065	No	-$546	01-06 16:09
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	59	$3.7K	14,795	12,706	+2,089	No	+$79	01-29 19:24
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	64	$3.6K	16,106	5,699	+10,407	Yes	+$235	03-09 15:48
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	40	$3.6K	4,647	4,547	+100	Yes	+$344	02-04 15:38
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	74	$3.5K	9,840	7,795	+2,044	No	-$483	02-17 16:56
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	57	$3.5K	7,104	6,892	+212	No	-$149	02-04 16:17
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	74	$3.5K	8,938	10,446	-1,508	No	+$287	02-10 04:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:47:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xdd23db…
10-27 03:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x584d3b…
10-27 03:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x009f26…
10-27 02:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xe9e193…
10-26 23:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xca7ee7…
10-26 23:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xb97c93…
10-26 17:59:30	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9e52a0…
10-26 17:56:15	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd9e617…
10-26 17:51:20	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x818694…
10-26 17:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	928	0¢	$1	0x3549ad…
10-26 17:16:17	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0xf581d5…
10-26 17:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe84813…
10-26 17:15:11	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xae18da…
10-26 17:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xe32590…
10-26 17:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x70e8ca…
10-26 17:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2119dd…
10-26 17:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x14c1b6…
10-26 17:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xd8da1f…
10-26 17:09:18	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe5525d…
10-26 17:09:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xa561b3…
10-26 17:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xdab09d…
10-26 17:08:17	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	274	0¢	$1	0xc12fc6…
10-26 17:08:08	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x2c4b02…
10-26 17:07:59	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,600	0¢	$5	0x0c3490…
10-26 14:58:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x292863…
10-26 14:53:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	374	0¢	$1	0x912527…
10-26 09:44:59	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	970	0¢	$4	0x27d97a…
10-26 08:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0xb20ed2…
10-26 05:54:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	458	2¢	$8	0x2e305c…
10-26 05:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x58aa86…
10-26 05:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0xfa09a9…
10-26 04:59:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x64511a…
10-26 03:59:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x08f599…
10-26 03:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa61154…
10-26 03:59:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x57a529…
10-26 03:58:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xd310e3…
10-26 03:58:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x97f896…
10-26 03:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x0ea0b2…
10-26 03:57:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x75c5ab…
10-26 03:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x4baecf…
10-26 03:56:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x217933…
10-26 03:56:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x3494a8…
10-26 03:56:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xd0b4d6…
10-26 03:56:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xeed659…
10-26 03:55:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x052dcb…
10-26 03:55:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xb2828a…
10-26 03:55:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x4ae2a7…
10-26 03:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2fe5c8…
10-26 03:54:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x7bf63f…
10-26 03:54:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x91c886…
10-26 03:54:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x431b38…
10-26 03:54:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x55fdaf…
10-26 03:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x174926…
10-26 03:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf634fb…
10-26 03:53:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc90c3a…
10-26 03:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xee99bf…
10-26 03:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xce7a5e…
10-26 03:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x25c9b0…
10-26 03:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1900cf…
10-26 03:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x46b8ca…
10-26 03:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3fd22f…
10-26 03:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xff1fa3…
10-26 03:51:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x6d888f…
10-26 03:51:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x54217c…
10-26 03:50:47	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$4	0x4ada6a…
10-26 03:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc65d1d…
10-26 03:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x792a40…
10-26 03:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf69edd…
10-26 03:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x254aab…
10-26 03:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0xfdfb59…
10-26 03:29:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$27	0x5e8605…
10-26 03:26:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb5e940…
10-26 03:25:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x717350…
10-26 03:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x486b39…
10-26 03:25:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$6	0xf4d2ea…
10-26 03:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	4¢	$4	0x4dc73e…
10-26 03:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	4¢	$4	0x43e581…
10-26 03:19:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe7f348…
10-26 03:13:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	1¢	$2	0x9d2a8b…
10-26 01:36:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x354023…
10-26 01:31:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xec02ee…
10-26 01:20:32	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x527030…
10-26 01:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	2¢	$4	0xfc0abe…
10-26 01:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x441e00…
10-26 00:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x0e4354…
10-26 00:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x7102b0…
10-26 00:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xc91118…
10-26 00:01:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,918	1¢	$30	0x83df5c…
10-26 00:01:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$0	0xcf8dc5…
10-26 00:01:14	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$1	0x4bdc9d…
10-25 23:45:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$24	0x353d29…
10-25 23:38:32	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd65929…
10-25 23:27:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x7cd372…
10-25 23:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	0¢	$2	0x8a07a6…
10-25 23:17:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$46	0xffb82a…
10-25 23:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x62cae2…
10-25 23:10:59	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe5564b…
10-25 23:09:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x9d3e81…
10-25 23:09:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x38d295…
10-25 23:07:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$7	0x04640f…