(anonymous) 0xd51313…fec81e Create alert
9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$215
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
98.4%
Resolved
67
Trades
438
lifetime
Volume
$10.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$4.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-11 22:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
42% 94% +$65
Other
35% 89% +$136
Sports
23% 100% +$14
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +441 $431 98¢ $433 +$2 11-09 15:52
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +289 $289 100¢ $289 $0 11-11 17:23
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +271 $235 99¢ $270 +$35 11-04 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +278 $273 93¢ $259 -$14 11-10 17:08
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +208 $204 98¢ $204 $0 11-09 15:43
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +201 $196 98¢ $196 +$0 11-07 23:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +305 $201 64¢ $195 -$6 11-11 20:34
Will Imperial Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +188 $188 100¢ $188 +$0 11-07 04:56
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +187 $187 100¢ $187 $0 11-10 17:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +207 $180 85¢ $175 -$5 11-09 16:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +170 $134 97¢ $165 +$30 11-06 13:30
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +154 $151 98¢ $152 +$0 11-09 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +136 $135 98¢ $133 -$2 11-08 17:07
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +131 $129 99¢ $129 +$0 11-08 23:49
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +129 $128 100¢ $128 $0 11-11 09:26
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +123 $120 98¢ $120 +$0 11-08 03:36
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +122 $115 94¢ $114 -$1 11-09 16:15
Will Philadelphia Union be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +121 $115 94¢ $114 -$2 11-09 00:07
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +123 $114 92¢ $114 -$1 11-03 09:13
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +110 $102 92¢ $102 -$1 11-09 16:21
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +96 $95 99¢ $95 -$1 11-09 15:50
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +118 $92 78¢ $92 -$1 11-03 09:14
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +90 $89 99¢ $89 +$0 11-09 04:50
Will Purdue win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +82 $82 99¢ $81 $0 11-10 20:09
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2026? No +74 $74 100¢ $74 $0 11-05 11:09
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +74 $74 100¢ $73 $0 11-09 18:13
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Indonesia? No +77 $77 94¢ $73 -$4 11-11 12:29
Will Los Angeles FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +66 $62 96¢ $63 +$0 11-09 00:10
Will BYU win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +63 $62 98¢ $62 $0 11-11 00:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +81 $55 73¢ $59 +$4 11-09 09:00