Round-Volatility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$707

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

11.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,239

lifetime

Volume

$83.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$213

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-09 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 12% $-707

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-213,440	$-214	0¢	$-213	+$1	06-09 16:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	6	$3.2K	44,588	+44,588	open	—	03-23 13:35
btc updown 5m 1776183900	4	$3.0K	3,388	+3,388	open	—	04-14 16:27
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	63	$2.4K	38,711	+38,711	open	—	04-25 15:27
btc updown 5m 1775830500	9	$2.0K	3,274	+3,274	open	—	04-10 14:17
btc updown 5m 1775884500	6	$1.7K	2,456	+2,456	open	—	04-11 05:19
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	14	$1.4K	10,831	+10,831	open	—	04-17 02:53
btc updown 5m 1775831400	7	$1.2K	1,948	+1,948	open	—	04-10 14:33
btc updown 5m 1776185700	5	$1.1K	2,470	+2,470	open	—	04-14 16:55
btc updown 5m 1776178200	9	$1.0K	1,928	+1,928	open	—	04-14 14:52
btc updown 5m 1775843700	14	$1.0K	1,905	+1,905	open	—	04-10 17:59
btc updown 5m 1775844300	6	$1.0K	1,772	+1,772	open	—	04-10 18:06
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	17	$1.0K	4,315	+4,315	open	—	04-13 15:51
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	37	$941	4,762	+4,762	open	—	04-27 15:47
btc updown 5m 1775834100	12	$931	1,915	+1,915	open	—	04-10 15:18
btc updown 5m 1775832300	6	$905	1,763	+1,763	open	—	04-10 14:46
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$899	11,014	+11,014	open	—	03-25 10:02
btc updown 5m 1775849100	12	$855	1,854	+1,854	open	—	04-10 19:28
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	19	$815	4,893	+4,893	open	—	04-27 15:59
btc updown 5m 1776184800	7	$738	1,441	+1,441	open	—	04-14 16:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 25?	10	$735	9,006	+9,006	open	—	04-22 08:45
btc updown 5m 1775832000	5	$720	1,617	+1,617	open	—	04-10 14:43
btc updown 5m 1776177300	7	$720	1,538	+1,538	open	—	04-14 14:38
btc updown 5m 1775883900	4	$705	1,346	+1,346	open	—	04-11 05:07
btc updown 5m 1775848200	4	$700	1,329	+1,329	open	—	04-10 19:10
btc updown 5m 1775833200	7	$700	1,408	+1,408	open	—	04-10 14:58
btc updown 5m 1776171300	3	$684	1,242	+1,242	open	—	04-14 12:58
btc updown 5m 1776185400	5	$605	1,224	+1,224	open	—	04-14 16:51
btc updown 5m 1776179100	2	$600	1,200	+1,200	open	—	04-14 15:01
btc updown 5m 1775832600	3	$545	897	+897	open	—	04-10 14:50
btc updown 5m 1776182400	6	$545	1,066	+1,066	open	—	04-14 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:19:39	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71,147	0¢	$71	0x8d6521…
06-09 16:11:04	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	142,293	0¢	$143	0xb3578c…
06-02 17:47:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x09be4b…
05-10 13:28:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	436	23¢	$100	0x3855f5…
05-06 02:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x9494c3…
05-06 02:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb640aa…
05-04 11:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xe3d24a…
05-03 18:31:42	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xe71cc8…
05-03 16:57:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xdb22fd…
05-03 10:40:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	592	17¢	$100	0xe028d9…
05-02 13:36:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x40d30e…
05-01 17:08:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	581	17¢	$100	0x20b5c9…
05-01 17:07:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0x41aa86…
05-01 08:02:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x3bf635…
05-01 07:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbb5ddf…
05-01 07:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xf7e342…
05-01 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	194	51¢	$99	0x7ee2e3…
05-01 05:38:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	218	10¢	$22	0x23541d…
05-01 04:39:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	187	5¢	$10	0xbcc6b2…
05-01 04:38:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x7abe2f…
04-30 18:36:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2,506	8¢	$200	0xa3c8ed…
04-29 19:02:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	792	8¢	$60	0x45d454…
04-29 11:38:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2,269	5¢	$120	0xc8177e…
04-28 18:23:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	254	4¢	$10	0x0ad107…
04-28 18:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	216	7¢	$15	0xfd53c6…
04-27 17:59:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	997	12¢	$120	0xfd8942…
04-27 17:59:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,143	7¢	$80	0x6205c5…
04-27 17:22:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,176	6¢	$71	0x108aef…
04-27 15:59:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe9c17b…
04-27 15:47:50	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x110e3d…
04-27 15:47:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc7ea8d…
04-27 13:06:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8fcb7c…
04-27 13:05:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xab9849…
04-27 13:01:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	889	9¢	$80	0x6279c7…
04-27 02:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xca7db8…
04-27 02:04:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xdeb7d4…
04-26 17:47:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x901e06…
04-26 17:47:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xaa1dfb…
04-26 17:47:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2538bf…
04-26 17:46:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x45df0a…
04-26 17:46:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x6803df…
04-26 17:44:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	572	10¢	$55	0xc81881…
04-26 17:44:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	611	18¢	$110	0x179180…
04-26 17:43:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa3264a…
04-26 16:05:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xd98f80…
04-26 15:19:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x18a090…
04-26 15:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x72e936…
04-26 15:16:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x859cc7…
04-26 12:47:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	398	3¢	$10	0xfb15e6…
04-26 12:46:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x1304ff…
04-26 10:43:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe834d4…
04-26 10:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8a9bea…
04-26 10:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x839557…
04-26 09:53:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x825161…
04-26 09:53:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xb771c8…
04-26 04:58:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x9125e6…
04-26 04:27:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x0f15ca…
04-25 23:01:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xfc9037…
04-25 23:00:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0x14a05b…
04-25 22:59:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x3cd2d4…
04-25 22:58:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,561	6¢	$100	0x7cdc06…
04-25 15:27:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x6f3ef4…
04-25 15:27:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0xb61afa…
04-25 15:27:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0x3941bf…
04-25 15:03:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xcb24aa…
04-25 15:02:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	401	2¢	$10	0x52fee7…
04-25 14:53:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3728f7…
04-25 14:47:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x48c037…
04-25 14:46:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0x2fdbec…
04-25 14:23:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x292f29…
04-25 12:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa89694…
04-25 11:34:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0x72eaf0…
04-25 11:33:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe08c12…
04-25 10:23:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	408	13¢	$53	0x3e8729…
04-25 10:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9fe451…
04-25 10:18:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x42353e…
04-25 00:43:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	509	13¢	$66	0xb03fdc…
04-25 00:42:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x007efa…
04-24 20:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0xd0c2b0…
04-24 20:18:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	255	16¢	$40	0xcd642f…
04-24 20:15:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,223	8¢	$100	0x74b249…
04-24 20:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x3fb073…
04-24 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	51¢	$43	0x137d29…
04-24 20:09:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x455ff0…
04-24 20:09:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,887	5¢	$100	0xb00f5d…
04-24 16:58:20	btc updown 5m 1777050000	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa0becf…
04-24 16:50:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x711965…
04-24 16:21:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2e4a4e…
04-24 11:46:22	btc updown 5m 1777031400	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x6dfc5b…
04-24 11:46:00	btc updown 5m 1777031100	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x4a11ad…
04-24 11:45:52	btc updown 5m 1777031100	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8fc739…
04-24 11:45:20	btc updown 5m 1777031100	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf16760…
04-24 11:45:06	btc updown 5m 1777031100	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe17453…
04-24 10:16:28	btc updown 5m 1777026000	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xad700a…
04-24 09:45:26	btc updown 5m 1777023900	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1c633e…
04-24 08:54:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x026cf7…
04-24 08:54:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	164	6¢	$10	0x565f08…
04-24 08:45:08	btc updown 5m 1777020600	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x399798…
04-24 08:42:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x6c7c65…
04-24 08:16:40	btc updown 5m 1777018800	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x2d7fec…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	432	$351.1K	10,526	05-30 18:12
Unacceptable-Networking 0xc512…a24f	338	$72.1K	13,537	05-06 02:34
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	337	$136.3K	39,610	05-06 02:34
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	337	$132.0K	23,478	05-06 02:34
(anonymous) 0x7347…3d35	337	$109.6K	3,459	04-26 10:45
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	337	$104.6K	35,482	05-06 02:34
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	337	$28.6K	8,127	05-06 02:33
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	336	$112.9K	17,718	05-06 02:34