Focused-Rostrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.51K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.17K

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

189

Trades

1,975

lifetime

Volume

$1.86M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$943

Open exposure

$12.6K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-20 08:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 83% +$1,793

Other

38% 82% +$647

Politics

1% 33% -$5,951

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+5,000	$4,727	97¢	$4.8K	+$115	08-25 06:24
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,000	$2,866	99¢	$3.0K	+$94	08-25 12:40
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,556	$2,499	99¢	$2.5K	+$34	08-20 03:59
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,502	$1,466	99¢	$1.5K	+$19	09-15 03:07
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-138,436	-$1,523	0¢	$-623	+$900	05-03 04:09
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	+100	$87	94¢	$94	+$8	06-28 04:51
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	No	-87	-$77	90¢	$-78	-$1	05-10 12:18
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$23	11¢	$21	-$2	07-20 16:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be less than 76000 on february 5	18	$156.6K	153,377	3,377	+150,000	Yes	+$157	02-05 15:27
will the price of bitcoin be less than 74000 on february 6	5	$129.9K	130,000	0	+130,000	Yes	+$135	02-06 16:45
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	18	$89.4K	90,000	0	+90,000	No	+$89	02-04 16:16
solana above 120 on february 4	5	$78.8K	78,881	0	+78,881	No	+$79	02-04 12:54
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	9	$69.1K	69,400	0	+69,400	No	-$6	02-03 16:53
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	4	$61.1K	61,161	0	+61,161	Yes	+$61	02-06 03:48
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	112	$59.9K	60,025	0	+60,025	No	+$58	02-01 18:38
solana above 120 on february 3	4	$59.9K	60,000	0	+60,000	No	+$60	02-03 14:54
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	9	$55.8K	50,000	5,911	+44,089	No	+$84	02-13 13:13
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	3	$40.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$40	02-11 09:30
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	3	$39.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$20	02-13 13:22
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	27	$37.5K	38,136	1,120	+37,016	No	-$314	01-26 06:02
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	12	$36.0K	36,256	0	+36,256	No	+$289	02-02 05:27
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	55	$35.2K	35,284	0	+35,284	No	+$35	02-01 07:49
bitcoin above 64k on february 12	17	$34.0K	34,000	0	+34,000	Yes	+$34	02-12 17:01
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	1	$34.0K	34,000	0	+34,000	No	+$34	01-31 16:57
bitcoin above 70k on february 7	17	$32.0K	32,832	500	+32,332	No	-$28	02-07 19:34
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?	1	$30.9K	30,928	0	+30,928	No	+$31	02-02 11:59
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	72	$27.5K	27,600	100	+27,500	Yes	-$2	02-02 18:05
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 40 59	8	$23.6K	11,790	11,790	+0	No	+$0	02-13 15:10
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	16	$21.8K	21,948	0	+21,948	No	+$127	02-03 01:50
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	23	$21.0K	21,057	0	+21,057	No	+$22	01-29 17:14
bitcoin above 94k on january 31	18	$21.0K	10,514	10,514	+0	No	+$0	01-30 18:17
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	3	$21.0K	21,000	0	+21,000	No	+$21	07-23 03:03
Over $20M committed to the Fabric public sale?	4	$20.8K	20,821	0	+20,821	No	+$32	02-02 11:52
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$20	02-08 11:32
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	8	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$20	02-12 12:12
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$20	02-12 07:23
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 200 219	3	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$40	02-10 04:08
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	34	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$40	02-08 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 08:30:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x31d7fc…
10-03 03:30:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8925f2…
09-15 03:07:27	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	652	98¢	$636	0x1199da…
08-25 12:40:51	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	696	93¢	$648	0x110e03…
08-25 06:24:07	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xb29de9…
08-25 05:57:34	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	886	91¢	$808	0x21f515…
08-24 11:46:25	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	304	93¢	$282	0xb0615b…
08-24 05:16:27	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xbfd7bf…
08-20 22:13:33	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xe49b0d…
08-20 03:59:24	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x843b9a…
08-20 03:48:36	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa6df98…
08-20 03:48:18	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf05123…
08-20 02:00:30	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x65d026…
08-19 22:32:52	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,786	97¢	$1,729	0xf91d78…
08-19 21:53:01	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,079	95¢	$2,937	0x67981a…
08-19 16:27:36	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	725	95¢	$692	0x4860f9…
08-18 03:32:22	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x87a89f…
08-17 23:16:45	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x095f2b…
08-17 16:21:19	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6b115a…
08-17 11:01:10	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x30a713…
08-17 10:52:10	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4bf3b1…
08-17 07:32:49	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xae521a…
08-16 15:16:46	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb77652…
08-16 14:52:55	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf61990…
08-16 14:43:10	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x65dee8…
08-16 12:29:31	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x96b5bd…
08-16 10:17:42	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x09cb8d…
08-15 17:36:34	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$244	0xc4310a…
08-15 16:59:58	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x412ec1…
08-15 15:30:13	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3b21e0…
08-15 14:41:18	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xd7906e…
08-15 14:29:40	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xba7d69…
08-15 13:17:01	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x35a5a7…
08-15 11:08:33	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	214	97¢	$207	0xcd5337…
08-15 05:34:22	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	196	95¢	$187	0xedb8dc…
08-15 03:32:31	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x863b38…
08-15 02:08:12	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb26c33…
08-15 01:35:39	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x645833…
08-15 01:34:15	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	569	98¢	$555	0xf85d93…
08-04 02:10:00	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,074	98¢	$2,028	0xc05bd5…
07-23 03:03:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	17,304	100¢	$17,286	0xf887f2…
07-23 03:03:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	2,584	100¢	$2,582	0x7f8f9c…
07-23 03:03:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,112	100¢	$1,111	0x18b0b2…
07-20 16:19:22	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x014b3f…
07-20 16:07:31	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xfba60d…
07-16 11:40:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc55d99…
07-03 07:22:47	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3b95ce…
06-30 12:07:19	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x27749a…
06-29 11:42:31	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x7c5422…
06-29 07:34:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x5732e7…
06-29 07:30:43	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x397b1a…
06-29 07:28:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x98b54d…
06-29 07:25:31	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbce486…
06-29 05:08:49	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1bfffb…
06-29 04:47:20	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x372738…
06-28 04:51:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xb32cb4…
06-25 14:53:11	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x9adce0…
06-24 00:19:10	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x8e06bf…
06-07 02:50:06	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0xd9bb45…
05-26 18:18:57	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x9cb0a1…
05-24 06:58:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$968	0xb22554…
05-23 07:59:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	900	91¢	$819	0x3d9af0…
05-20 19:55:50	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x26a807…
05-20 07:19:08	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	41	57¢	$23	0x6f12e5…
05-19 13:08:29	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0x4031c8…
05-19 06:43:48	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x55a11f…
05-19 04:46:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x0a7e9e…
05-12 02:46:54	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	SELL	291	68¢	$198	0x33e5ec…
05-11 19:57:47	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	SELL	194	67¢	$130	0x198a1f…
05-10 12:18:25	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	87	88¢	$77	0x1c058d…
05-08 01:37:49	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	SELL	381	65¢	$248	0x509a5b…
05-08 00:21:38	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x9c02dc…
05-07 09:04:31	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xa82ee6…
05-07 08:53:21	Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	SELL	371	65¢	$241	0x93c8e6…
05-03 04:09:42	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	138,436	1¢	$1,523	0x5da72d…
05-01 08:53:06	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0xd86334…
04-02 05:29:43	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 80 99	No	BUY	2,451	100¢	$2,448	0xab857d…
04-01 23:01:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 80 99	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xeeb9c9…
04-01 20:34:07	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 80 99	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1783c9…
04-01 17:15:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 80 99	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd63c51…
04-01 11:08:41	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 80 99	No	BUY	2,232	100¢	$2,230	0xca20f7…
04-01 04:00:41	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 80 99	No	BUY	2,317	100¢	$2,315	0xf32b07…
03-31 12:03:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 140 159	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2dcb02…
03-30 10:14:10	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$980	0xf9c519…
03-30 09:35:48	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 120 139	No	BUY	15,000	100¢	$14,985	0x57ca19…
03-30 09:35:14	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a61ef…
03-20 02:33:07	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb5ca02…
03-20 02:32:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 80 99	No	BUY	15,000	100¢	$14,985	0x9906ef…
03-19 04:16:05	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 180 199	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbcdd97…
03-19 04:15:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 160 179	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x22b78e…
03-19 03:42:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb27535…
03-19 02:34:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 100 119	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x1fdf60…
03-19 02:34:31	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 80 99	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x305509…
03-19 02:33:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 140 159	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x8d606b…
03-19 02:33:11	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x12b4b6…
03-18 13:54:43	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3100e0…
03-18 10:23:37	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc4d799…
03-18 09:50:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc90cf2…
03-18 08:55:15	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 120 139	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x940708…
03-18 07:16:15	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1fcebb…