Queasy-Bondsman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

2,687

Trades

6,111

lifetime

Volume

$74.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$68

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-09 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 246 days

Categories

Sports

83% 47% -$286

Other

15% 50% +$250

Politics

2% 37% -$38

Crypto

0% 53% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	-40	-$21	90¢	$-36	-$15	06-03 14:40
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10	$8	99¢	$10	+$2	11-04 08:17
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	-438	-$14	2¢	$-9	+$5	09-26 15:57
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-50	-$4	12¢	$-6	-$2	08-02 05:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+10	$4	42¢	$4	$0	11-09 06:00
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	11¢	$1	+$0	11-09 07:21
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+500	$4	0¢	$1	-$3	06-25 03:45
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+50	$1	1¢	$1	-$1	11-03 11:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	16	$575	500	500	+0	Yes	-$23	03-31 22:03
nhl tb edm 2026 03 21 total 6pt5	26	$381	574	274	+300	Over	+$86	03-22 04:27
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$258	150	150	+0	No	+$0	06-03 14:40
cbb hawaii ucirv 2026 01 29	22	$237	214	219	-5	UC Irvine Anteaters	+$47	01-30 06:23
nhl phi ana 2026 03 18	14	$236	520	92	+428	Flyers	-$139	03-19 04:34
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	3	$224	326	101	+225	Golden Knights	+$104	05-25 02:09
mlb bal sea 2026 06 18	3	$213	200	103	+97	Seattle Mariners	+$84	06-18 22:13
nhl dal min 2026 04 22	7	$211	351	98	+253	Stars	-$76	04-23 04:56
nba hou gsw 2026 04 05 total 226pt5	20	$208	354	0	+354	Over	+$145	04-06 04:16
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	4	$200	200	200	+0	Boston Red Sox	-$4	07-05 20:18
nba okc lac 2026 04 08 total 226pt5	12	$196	339	0	+339	Over	+$143	04-09 02:33
nba cle lal 2026 03 31	3	$188	332	0	+332	Lakers	+$144	04-01 02:05
nba hou phx 2026 04 07 total 221pt5	21	$179	220	0	+220	Over	+$42	04-08 05:41
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	6	$172	121	121	+0	No	-$12	01-23 15:28
cbb iowa pennst 2026 02 28 spread away 9pt5	5	$167	166	150	+16	Penn State Nittany Lions	+$6	02-28 16:53
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	22	$166	326	0	+326	St. Louis Cardinals	+$161	05-08 04:32
Canadiens vs. Sabres	9	$166	470	0	+470	Canadiens	-$166	05-19 02:27
mlb nyy sf 2026 03 25	5	$164	330	100	+230	New York Yankees	-$58	03-26 00:53
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	17	$154	330	0	+330	Under	-$154	05-10 03:21
nhl nsh lak 2026 04 06	6	$153	288	0	+288	Kings	+$135	04-07 05:13
nhl chi sea 2026 04 04	39	$151	460	0	+460	Blackhawks	-$151	04-05 04:18
nhl tb sea 2026 03 17	20	$150	1,075	0	+1,075	Lightning	-$150	03-18 04:32
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	13	$147	279	0	+279	Lakers	-$147	05-12 03:42
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	4	$144	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-10 20:22
nhl wpg pit 2026 03 21	3	$144	280	0	+280	Penguins	+$136	03-21 19:07
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	22	$141	448	0	+448	Detroit Tigers	-$141	06-02 23:14
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	29	$138	350	0	+350	San Francisco Giants	-$138	05-09 03:24
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	14	$137	460	0	+460	Athletics	-$137	05-31 04:10
mlb mil oak 2026 06 10	8	$134	340	0	+340	Athletics	-$134	06-11 03:41
cbb duke ncar 2026 02 07 spread away 5pt5	5	$134	150	105	+45	North Carolina Tar Heels	+$27	02-08 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 07:21:18	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9f5f32…
11-09 06:00:39	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x0ae5be…
11-09 00:49:31	Will Club Puebla win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6f2540…
11-08 23:32:58	Penguins vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xbc1a26…
11-08 23:31:43	Flyers vs. Flames: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd4e41f…
11-08 21:51:09	Packers vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8db8f3…
11-08 21:03:03	Spread: Texans (-5.5)	Texans	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9414f7…
11-08 18:05:31	Spread: Colts (-2.5)	Colts	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x51500e…
11-08 18:05:27	Spread: Colts (-2.5)	Colts	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x9b204e…
11-08 17:59:27	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x929ee6…
11-08 17:58:39	Cowboys vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5b80be…
11-08 17:58:15	Broncos vs. Panthers	Broncos	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x653ae0…
11-08 09:27:19	Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Under	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x1e8eaf…
11-08 02:20:49	Penguins vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa97753…
11-08 02:14:54	Spread: Kings (-1.5)	Kings	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x323d4c…
11-08 01:43:13	Penguins vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x20739b…
11-07 23:28:10	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x414b40…
11-07 21:58:46	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5	Under	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xa76cc7…
11-07 20:31:21	Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xae2815…
11-07 20:10:07	Spread: LSU (-5.5)	LSU	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4f10e5…
11-07 18:05:16	Spread: Coastal Carolina (-7.5)	Old Dominion	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6082ac…
11-07 03:50:12	Nebraska vs. Illinois	Nebraska	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x176149…
11-07 03:35:01	Nebraska vs. Illinois	Nebraska	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe2a06a…
11-07 03:01:00	Spread: Nebraska (-2.5)	Nebraska	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x930598…
11-05 19:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x4905bb…
11-05 19:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7be5cc…
11-04 08:17:37	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x60c7d6…
11-04 03:45:15	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xb08b73…
11-04 03:23:27	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x6eddb1…
11-04 03:22:25	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6a9402…
11-04 02:13:06	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xc2c962…
11-03 11:45:18	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x047ebc…
11-03 07:23:12	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xddd498…
11-03 04:34:25	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x3eed01…
11-03 03:38:42	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x1b18bf…
11-03 03:08:45	Bears vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfb6e20…
11-03 03:07:46	Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x94f697…
11-03 03:07:09	Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5	Over	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xb321e6…
11-03 02:57:18	Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x676e43…
11-02 01:09:49	Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbe25ac…
11-01 21:22:48	Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)	Chiefs	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xa7a3c6…
11-01 21:22:03	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x29005a…
11-01 21:21:48	Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)	Chiefs	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2ff72f…
11-01 17:37:18	Raiders vs. Jets	Raiders	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc386a1…
11-01 17:36:45	Browns vs. Steelers	Browns	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6890fd…
11-01 17:36:07	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Browns	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6aac8f…
10-31 23:44:52	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8a5e00…
10-31 22:56:19	Spread: Boise State (-10.5)	Boise State	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x546425…
10-31 22:40:22	Spread: Pittsburgh (-8.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c6ce1…
10-31 20:17:28	Sabres vs. Kings: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x78e8ae…
10-31 20:03:12	Spread: Penn State (-10.5)	Purdue	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbf3652…
10-31 15:54:54	Spread: Texas Tech (-3.5)	Texas Tech	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6339ce…
10-31 01:56:58	Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)	Suns	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5538ba…
10-30 23:54:54	Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x068b27…
10-30 21:14:25	Devils vs. Golden Knights	Devils	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xd7a2dd…
10-30 21:14:25	Devils vs. Golden Knights	Devils	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc45fdd…
10-30 21:14:00	Devils vs. Golden Knights	Devils	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x892540…
10-29 00:58:17	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x82bc04…
10-29 00:46:20	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0768dc…
10-28 23:28:19	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb811ee…
10-28 23:00:08	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Wizards	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3f6bd1…
10-28 22:14:49	Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x9d925f…
10-28 22:14:38	Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xf1cb7f…
10-28 04:28:32	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6a2145…
10-28 03:14:11	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xda1436…
10-28 02:38:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x57df5e…
10-28 02:21:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xcf91ab…
10-28 02:21:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x8af25b…
10-28 02:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x0218fe…
10-28 02:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x26741e…
10-27 16:55:20	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7ce962…
10-27 02:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x74bea2…
10-27 02:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x46e8b3…
10-27 02:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b0ed1…
10-27 02:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3bc1ee…
10-27 02:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0f141d…
10-27 02:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa5da06…
10-27 02:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x6a368a…
10-27 02:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbecd5e…
10-27 02:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xd97cdd…
10-27 02:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfe6ac5…
10-27 02:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xaf998d…
10-27 02:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9c1363…
10-27 02:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa2fe90…
10-27 02:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb97d01…
10-27 02:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x4656bb…
10-27 02:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x21809b…
10-27 02:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xfd476c…
10-27 02:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe465c7…
10-27 02:02:20	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xeb9f44…
10-27 01:39:18	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Oilers	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x215b64…
10-27 01:37:38	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x24708d…
10-27 00:16:27	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x52c7db…
10-27 00:16:26	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x325494…
10-27 00:09:50	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2da295…
10-26 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa3e03a…
10-26 22:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x913504…
10-26 22:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0b661d…
10-26 22:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x69278f…
10-26 22:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x5e3def…