Realized P&L
+$588
Unrealized P&L
+$580
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
252
lifetime
Volume
$184.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$734
Open exposure
$33.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-09 16:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
52%
100%
+$228
Politics
41%
50%
+$361
Tech
4%
—
—
Crypto
3%
—
—
Pop-Culture
1%
—
—
Sports
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk
• peak 27 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | +6,243 | $5,000 | 90¢ | $5.6K | +$650 | 06-01 21:58 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | No | +5,139 | $5,000 | 97¢ | $5.0K | +$0 | 06-09 11:54 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | -3,497 | $-3,462 | 99¢ | $-3471 | $-9 | 06-09 09:12 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +2,874 | $2,500 | 88¢ | $2.5K | +$14 | 06-04 18:55 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,247 | $2,000 | 88¢ | $2.0K | $-11 | 06-05 23:56 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +2,374 | $2,000 | 82¢ | $2.0K | $-41 | 06-04 18:55 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | +2,500 | $1,800 | 68¢ | $1.7K | $-87 | 06-09 07:56 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | +1,667 | $1,500 | 90¢ | $1.5K | $-8 | 06-09 11:46 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | -1,362 | $-1,269 | 98¢ | $-1329 | $-60 | 05-31 23:07 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | +1,408 | $1,000 | 74¢ | $1.0K | +$35 | 06-04 19:32 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | +897 | $867 | 99¢ | $884 | +$18 | 06-08 17:22 | |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | +999 | $889 | 86¢ | $854 | $-35 | 06-08 08:48 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | No | +844 | $666 | 84¢ | $713 | +$47 | 06-02 12:20 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | +724 | $666 | 92¢ | $662 | $-4 | 06-04 19:31 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | No | +538 | $500 | 96¢ | $514 | +$14 | 05-28 00:48 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | +543 | $500 | 94¢ | $514 | +$14 | 05-31 23:08 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +556 | $500 | 90¢ | $497 | $-3 | 06-04 08:38 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | +667 | $500 | 72¢ | $477 | $-23 | 06-04 18:55 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | +452 | $442 | 98¢ | $445 | +$4 | 06-07 20:01 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | No | +449 | $426 | 96¢ | $431 | +$5 | 06-04 22:59 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | +419 | $369 | 87¢ | $365 | $-4 | 06-09 05:12 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | +357 | $250 | 80¢ | $287 | +$38 | 06-04 19:30 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | +446 | $250 | 62¢ | $275 | +$25 | 06-04 19:31 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +150 | $100 | 68¢ | $102 | +$2 | 06-06 19:03 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | +107 | $100 | 94¢ | $100 | +$0 | 05-28 00:43 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | +164 | $100 | 60¢ | $99 | $-1 | 05-31 19:55 | |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | Yes | +68 | $65 | 99¢ | $67 | +$2 | 06-04 22:41 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | +54 | $50 | 92¢ | $50 | +$0 | 05-28 00:44 | |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | +54 | $50 | 93¢ | $50 | $-0 | 05-28 00:44 | |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | No | +54 | $50 | 91¢ | $49 | $-1 | 05-28 00:43 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 90 | $1.03M | 15,209 | 06-10 02:29 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | 87 | $335.2K | 29,041 | 06-10 02:11 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 78 | $25.9M | 36,955 | 06-10 03:08 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | 78 | $331.6K | 1,558 | 06-09 18:44 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 78 | $102.7K | 1,092 | 06-09 08:04 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | 69 | $572.1K | 6,989 | 06-09 22:20 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | 68 | $13.2K | 1,388 | 06-09 23:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | 66 | $29.0K | 2,820 | 06-09 15:29 |