Realized P&L
+$588
Unrealized P&L
-$1.62K
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
332
lifetime
Volume
$272.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$822
Open exposure
$41.5K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-21 11:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$228
Politics
34% 50% +$361
Tech
3%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +17,929 $16,296 90¢ $16.0K $-250 07-03 11:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9,761 $7,900 72¢ $7.1K $-823 07-21 11:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +4,444 $4,200 92¢ $4.1K $-124 07-09 04:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +3,333 $2,990 85¢ $2.8K $-157 07-08 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,222 $2,975 99¢ $2.2K $-781 07-06 15:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,247 $2,000 96¢ $2.1K +$146 06-05 23:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,667 $1,500 92¢ $1.5K +$42 06-09 11:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,408 $1,000 78¢ $1.1K +$106 06-04 19:32
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No +844 $666 89¢ $751 +$85 06-02 12:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +724 $666 92¢ $662 $-4 06-04 19:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +543 $500 98¢ $531 +$31 05-31 23:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +556 $500 94¢ $519 +$19 06-04 08:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +667 $500 74¢ $497 $-3 06-04 18:55
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +449 $426 97¢ $434 +$8 06-04 22:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +446 $250 66¢ $297 +$47 06-04 19:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +216 $200 95¢ $204 +$4 06-14 20:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +150 $100 84¢ $126 +$26 06-06 19:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +164 $100 66¢ $107 +$7 05-31 19:55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +107 $100 96¢ $102 +$2 05-28 00:43
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +54 $50 98¢ $53 +$3 05-28 00:44
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +54 $50 94¢ $51 +$1 05-28 00:44
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? No +54 $50 92¢ $50 $-0 05-28 00:43
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +54 $50 90¢ $49 $-1 05-28 00:43
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +27 $25 96¢ $26 +$1 06-07 08:40