Realized P&L
+$588
Unrealized P&L
+$580
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
252
lifetime
Volume
$184.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$734
Open exposure
$33.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-09 16:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
52% 100% +$228
Politics
41% 50% +$361
Tech
4%
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6,243 $5,000 90¢ $5.6K +$650 06-01 21:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +5,139 $5,000 97¢ $5.0K +$0 06-09 11:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -3,497 $-3,462 99¢ $-3471 $-9 06-09 09:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,874 $2,500 88¢ $2.5K +$14 06-04 18:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,247 $2,000 88¢ $2.0K $-11 06-05 23:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,374 $2,000 82¢ $2.0K $-41 06-04 18:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,500 $1,800 68¢ $1.7K $-87 06-09 07:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,667 $1,500 90¢ $1.5K $-8 06-09 11:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -1,362 $-1,269 98¢ $-1329 $-60 05-31 23:07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,408 $1,000 74¢ $1.0K +$35 06-04 19:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +897 $867 99¢ $884 +$18 06-08 17:22
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +999 $889 86¢ $854 $-35 06-08 08:48
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No +844 $666 84¢ $713 +$47 06-02 12:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +724 $666 92¢ $662 $-4 06-04 19:31
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +538 $500 96¢ $514 +$14 05-28 00:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +543 $500 94¢ $514 +$14 05-31 23:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +556 $500 90¢ $497 $-3 06-04 08:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +667 $500 72¢ $477 $-23 06-04 18:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +452 $442 98¢ $445 +$4 06-07 20:01
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +449 $426 96¢ $431 +$5 06-04 22:59
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +419 $369 87¢ $365 $-4 06-09 05:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +357 $250 80¢ $287 +$38 06-04 19:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +446 $250 62¢ $275 +$25 06-04 19:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +150 $100 68¢ $102 +$2 06-06 19:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +107 $100 94¢ $100 +$0 05-28 00:43
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +164 $100 60¢ $99 $-1 05-31 19:55
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes +68 $65 99¢ $67 +$2 06-04 22:41
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +54 $50 92¢ $50 +$0 05-28 00:44
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +54 $50 93¢ $50 $-0 05-28 00:44
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? No +54 $50 91¢ $49 $-1 05-28 00:43