Realized P&L
+$588
Unrealized P&L
-$343
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
273
lifetime
Volume
$216.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$793
Open exposure
$40.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-22 19:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
58% 100% +$228
Politics
36% 50% +$361
Tech
3%
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -7,924 $-7,867 100¢ $-7916 $-48 06-13 09:24
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +5,139 $5,000 100¢ $5.1K +$134 06-09 11:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -3,497 $-3,462 100¢ $-3493 $-31 06-09 09:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3,248 $4,359 99¢ $3.2K $-1,129 06-22 19:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,374 $2,940 90¢ $3.1K +$113 06-13 11:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +2,223 $2,000 100¢ $2.2K +$217 06-10 15:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,247 $2,000 92¢ $2.1K +$56 06-05 23:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,374 $2,000 86¢ $2.0K +$30 06-04 18:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,667 $1,500 92¢ $1.5K +$25 06-09 11:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -1,362 $-1,269 100¢ $-1361 $-92 05-31 23:07
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? No +1,190 $1,096 100¢ $1.2K +$93 06-15 08:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,408 $1,000 74¢ $1.0K +$49 06-04 19:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +897 $867 100¢ $896 +$30 06-08 17:22
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No +844 $666 88¢ $747 +$81 06-02 12:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +724 $666 86¢ $626 $-40 06-04 19:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +667 $500 84¢ $557 +$57 06-04 18:55
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +538 $500 100¢ $537 +$37 05-28 00:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +543 $500 96¢ $520 +$20 05-31 23:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +556 $500 94¢ $519 +$19 06-04 08:38
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +449 $426 97¢ $433 +$7 06-04 22:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +446 $250 59¢ $263 +$13 06-04 19:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +216 $200 93¢ $201 +$1 06-14 20:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +164 $100 66¢ $109 +$9 05-31 19:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +150 $100 72¢ $107 +$7 06-06 19:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +107 $100 94¢ $101 +$1 05-28 00:43
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +54 $50 94¢ $51 +$1 05-28 00:44
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +54 $50 94¢ $50 +$0 05-28 00:44
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +54 $50 91¢ $49 $-1 05-28 00:43
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? No +54 $50 88¢ $48 $-2 05-28 00:43
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +27 $25 94¢ $25 +$0 06-07 08:40