Unsteady-Enjoyment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$150

Unrealized P&L

-$310

Hit rate

12.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

680 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$172

$566.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$833

Open exposure

$8.95K

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-06 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

49% 69% -$3,917

Politics

48% 80% +$15,637

Tech

2% 62% +$531

Crypto

1% 25% -$2,312

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$241

Sports

0% 100% +$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+3,333	$2,990	96¢	$3.2K	+$193	07-08 21:53
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-3,042	-$2,879	98¢	$-2975	-$96	08-04 10:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+668	$600	99¢	$660	+$60	06-04 08:38
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	+449	$426	98¢	$442	+$16	06-04 22:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+446	$250	92¢	$413	+$163	06-04 19:31
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+216	$200	98¢	$210	+$10	06-14 20:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$100	97¢	$145	+$45	06-06 19:03
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	+147	$98	99¢	$145	+$47	10-29 08:06
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	+114	$100	99¢	$112	+$12	05-20 21:00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+109	$100	98¢	$107	+$7	05-20 20:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+107	$100	99¢	$106	+$6	05-28 00:43
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	-$33	88¢	$89	+$121	08-01 12:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+3,704	$1,000	2¢	$80	-$920	08-10 15:56
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+84	$56	87¢	$73	+$17	10-22 16:58
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	+54	$50	99¢	$54	+$4	05-28 00:44
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	+54	$50	98¢	$53	+$3	05-28 00:43
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	+54	$50	98¢	$52	+$2	05-28 00:44
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	+54	$50	95¢	$51	+$1	05-28 00:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	14	$36.2K	21,288	21,288	+0	No	+$2,535	06-04 08:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	28	$35.6K	19,362	19,362	+0	open	—	10-09 05:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$20.8K	12,712	9,201	+3,511	No	+$976	05-31 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$18.9K	11,662	11,662	+0	No	-$1,121	07-03 10:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	38	$17.9K	10,904	10,904	+0	open	—	10-13 08:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$16.2K	9,579	9,579	+0	Yes	-$1,495	07-25 22:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	7	$14.9K	4,126	10,998	-6,872	No	-$4	06-13 09:24
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$14.2K	7,575	7,575	+0	No	+$901	06-24 19:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$13.0K	14,964	0	+14,964	Yes	+$1,989	08-07 09:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	5	$12.0K	11,354	2,857	+8,497	No	+$737	08-17 11:14
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$10.6K	7,122	7,122	+0	Yes	+$745	06-02 11:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$10.5K	6,852	5,000	+1,852	No	-$560	04-30 10:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$10.5K	5,555	5,555	+0	No	+$633	07-16 23:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$10.2K	6,579	6,579	+0	open	—	09-22 09:02
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	5	$9.9K	6,711	6,711	+0	Yes	-$97	06-05 11:36
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$9.9K	5,760	8,247	-2,487	Yes	-$928	06-08 14:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	4	$8.2K	4,160	4,160	+0	No	+$156	06-22 09:28
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	3	$8.0K	4,444	4,444	+0	No	+$827	08-14 13:24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	11	$7.3K	4,115	4,115	+0	No	+$658	04-12 19:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$6.7K	3,425	3,425	+0	No	+$72	05-21 21:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	29	$6.7K	4,722	4,722	+0	No	-$775	07-22 15:47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	5	$6.7K	3,556	3,556	+0	No	+$332	09-07 23:09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$6.7K	6,844	0	+6,844	No	+$178	04-29 08:06
No one announced as next James Bond?	27	$6.3K	4,140	4,056	+84	open	—	10-22 16:58
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	18	$6.1K	3,332	3,332	+0	Yes	+$603	08-05 14:29
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$5.9K	1,667	4,708	-3,042	open	—	08-04 10:41
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$5.3K	0	5,370	-5,370	No	-$81	05-19 21:48
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	4	$5.2K	2,883	2,883	+0	Yes	+$343	06-09 16:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	1	$5.0K	5,139	0	+5,139	No	+$139	06-09 11:54
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	10	$4.9K	5,051	0	+5,051	No	+$104	04-18 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 19:12:16	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0x70dc83…
11-06 19:11:34	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xdfa1ed…
11-05 12:14:54	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech	Ben Shelton	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x184b44…
10-29 08:06:29	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x4c9761…
10-29 08:06:29	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x2996f6…
10-29 08:05:50	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0xabd0a7…
10-29 08:05:49	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xfc5afc…
10-22 16:58:35	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	1,464	75¢	$1,101	0x1ff456…
10-22 16:57:53	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	60	75¢	$45	0xee5b83…
10-22 16:57:53	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xbf2866…
10-22 16:57:53	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	46	75¢	$35	0x279680…
10-22 15:55:00	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	245	75¢	$184	0xea202b…
10-22 15:55:00	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xd99f2d…
10-22 15:54:59	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	215	75¢	$161	0x56f06e…
10-22 15:47:59	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	477	75¢	$358	0x87e06c…
10-22 01:30:05	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x36257c…
10-21 16:32:12	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x850817…
10-21 16:32:12	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	90	75¢	$68	0x1b74e2…
10-21 08:02:06	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	400	75¢	$301	0xd6ae5f…
10-16 08:03:34	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	80	73¢	$58	0x09ee72…
10-15 17:40:34	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x53cca9…
10-15 07:03:14	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	128	73¢	$93	0xd335ab…
10-15 07:02:38	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	110	73¢	$80	0x210158…
10-14 19:29:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	130	73¢	$95	0xaf7ede…
10-14 19:29:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	641	73¢	$467	0x91c0d2…
10-13 08:58:31	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xec0206…
10-13 08:58:31	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	65	73¢	$47	0xded365…
10-13 08:52:49	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	246	73¢	$180	0x5e24fd…
10-13 08:26:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	724	96¢	$692	0xac223f…
10-13 08:25:50	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	160	73¢	$116	0x9efad4…
10-13 08:24:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,754	83¢	$2,286	0x27c196…
10-11 00:21:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5,051	85¢	$4,293	0x785502…
10-10 13:37:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	71	85¢	$60	0xd628aa…
10-10 13:30:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	96	85¢	$81	0xecd5a1…
10-10 13:24:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xc80fd5…
10-10 13:03:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	520	85¢	$442	0xb9732a…
10-10 12:24:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	83	85¢	$71	0xdb2b80…
10-10 12:09:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	300	85¢	$255	0x3ac569…
10-10 11:53:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x5f30fe…
10-10 11:13:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	276	85¢	$234	0x0438f7…
10-10 10:06:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x97fd95…
10-10 10:06:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0xc9b418…
10-10 09:14:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x831ae4…
10-10 09:12:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	389	85¢	$331	0xbfa2e4…
10-10 08:53:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x2c3d73…
10-10 05:01:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x36f97d…
10-10 04:56:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4134a4…
10-10 04:28:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	85	85¢	$72	0x3ac6be…
10-10 03:50:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0x3db37f…
10-10 03:49:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0x24adaf…
10-10 03:09:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0x24b758…
10-10 02:54:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x19bc1c…
10-10 01:36:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x986b13…
10-10 01:17:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xb16dd7…
10-09 23:54:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x26ac97…
10-09 22:03:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x28594f…
10-09 22:02:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xa7633b…
10-09 21:55:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	141	85¢	$120	0x69d484…
10-09 21:06:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x6ac37d…
10-09 20:14:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	85¢	$32	0x8b8018…
10-09 20:05:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	648	85¢	$551	0xd4f422…
10-09 19:33:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x8c5329…
10-09 14:30:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,864	69¢	$1,286	0x8096f2…
10-09 14:24:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xdb8b7d…
10-09 14:16:03	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	69¢	$44	0x0ccf5a…
10-09 08:58:52	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x84c12f…
10-09 05:22:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2,663	95¢	$2,530	0x93cba9…
10-09 01:49:30	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	122	81¢	$99	0xdf6f55…
10-08 10:49:38	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0x3535f7…
10-07 20:33:08	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	1,408	91¢	$1,282	0x1af37c…
10-07 20:32:02	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,532	86¢	$2,177	0x5aadde…
10-07 20:31:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	SELL	1,686	90¢	$1,517	0x831813…
10-07 20:30:41	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	806	81¢	$652	0x2652f8…
09-24 11:08:05	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,904	70¢	$1,333	0xcbbd86…
09-24 11:08:05	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	70¢	$170	0x487f0d…
09-24 11:08:03	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	70¢	$52	0x3453cb…
09-22 09:04:28	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	925	38¢	$351	0x3cbe69…
09-22 09:04:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,233	38¢	$469	0x8ffa1a…
09-22 09:02:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6,579	79¢	$5,197	0x6786b9…
09-12 20:30:46	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x5d6a6b…
09-10 08:46:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,254	98¢	$2,203	0xf2c06f…
09-10 08:45:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1,686	90¢	$1,517	0x2f9871…
09-08 03:30:46	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	2,500	78¢	$1,950	0x5d9ddc…
09-07 23:09:45	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,556	99¢	$3,520	0x7123fc…
09-07 11:31:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,289	76¢	$2,500	0x0197bd…
09-07 11:31:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,289	76¢	$2,500	0xc1f7e1…
09-04 15:54:37	atp fritz cerundo 2026 09 04	Taylor Fritz	BUY	645	86¢	$555	0xbd3333…
09-03 10:20:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,885	52¢	$1,500	0xf3ded2…
09-02 10:27:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	1,999	100¢	$1,997	0x7ef99f…
08-27 00:09:45	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xd2463d…
08-26 09:55:40	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	BUY	568	44¢	$250	0xc71b3d…
08-23 09:45:40	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	2,548	78¢	$2,000	0xf4a845…
08-19 00:04:22	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	No	BUY	1,399	96¢	$1,350	0x0e84cf…
08-17 11:14:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	2,778	90¢	$2,500	0xc65080…
08-16 23:31:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	2,778	90¢	$2,500	0x8204b3…
08-14 13:24:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	4,444	100¢	$4,426	0x231b4c…
08-14 12:43:51	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	3,126	63¢	$1,966	0x372aca…
08-14 12:04:49	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	159	63¢	$100	0x17c523…
08-14 12:04:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	34	63¢	$21	0x3d4d84…
08-14 11:29:39	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xb9f463…