Dear-Lay 0x44400c…bcecfa
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$60
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
637
Trades
1,676
lifetime
Volume
$3.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$141
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 10-27 09:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Crypto
75% 70% -$42
Other
13% 55% -$7
Politics
11% 64% -$9
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +19 $16 86¢ $16 +$0 10-21 18:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +9 $7 97¢ $9 +$2 10-09 10:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $7 78¢ $8 +$1 10-03 05:55
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $7 96¢ $8 +$1 10-21 19:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +11 $6 65¢ $7 +$1 10-26 02:02
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +9 $6 72¢ $6 $0 10-26 02:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +7 $6 82¢ $6 $0 09-26 07:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 08-07 17:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-12 04:38
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 10-20 16:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 08-31 19:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $3 96¢ $4 +$1 10-01 11:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 64¢ $4 -$1 08-31 18:44
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +5 $3 93¢ $4 +$1 08-28 16:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-19 06:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 74¢ $4 $0 09-23 08:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $3 96¢ $4 +$1 10-15 14:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $5 48¢ $4 -$1 10-14 16:23
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $4 66¢ $3 -$1 10-03 19:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +7 $4 49¢ $3 -$1 10-19 06:50
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 09-26 18:49
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 10-26 08:32
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 80¢ $3 $0 10-03 06:09
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +3 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 09-11 09:37
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-23 02:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 09-12 18:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $3 16¢ $2 -$1 10-10 13:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 10-15 14:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 10-27 03:36
No one announced as next James Bond? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 $0 09-16 20:21