Live-Numismatist 0xdf3b18…64880a
bot 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$869
Unrealized P&L
+$107
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
4,521
Trades
11,173
lifetime
Volume
$48.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$517
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-28 17:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Crypto
42% 54% +$459
Other
41% 49% +$386
Politics
10% 51% +$128
Sports
6% 61% -$73
Tech
1% 26% -$28
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $25 100¢ $50 +$25 10-15 11:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +50 $34 98¢ $49 +$15 10-15 13:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +39 $25 100¢ $39 +$14 10-15 12:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +38 $20 100¢ $38 +$18 10-16 03:56
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +37 $23 84¢ $31 +$8 09-13 13:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +86 $16 28¢ $24 +$8 09-14 06:40
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +28 $7 78¢ $21 +$14 09-28 11:49
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +24 $17 78¢ $19 +$2 10-02 19:17
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +18 $13 90¢ $16 +$4 10-07 04:07
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +24 $16 68¢ $16 $0 10-15 02:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +23 $15 70¢ $16 +$1 10-14 12:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +17 $10 82¢ $14 +$4 09-15 08:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +69 $24 20¢ $14 -$9 10-02 13:43
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +714 $5 2¢ $14 +$9 08-07 02:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +16 $11 82¢ $13 +$1 10-13 13:31
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +11 $7 99¢ $11 +$4 09-29 18:04
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +20 $13 56¢ $11 -$2 10-03 18:53
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +13 $10 83¢ $11 +$1 09-06 06:35
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +17 $9 64¢ $11 +$2 10-15 17:03
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-05 07:29
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +57 $16 18¢ $10 -$6 09-10 22:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +64 $12 16¢ $10 -$2 09-16 03:08
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +11 $5 84¢ $9 +$4 09-02 18:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +16 $6 58¢ $9 +$4 10-14 16:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +10 $7 89¢ $9 +$2 10-04 12:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +30 $7 28¢ $9 +$2 10-23 22:00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +72 $19 12¢ $8 -$11 10-28 17:11
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +26 $8 32¢ $8 +$1 10-14 12:44
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +9 $6 86¢ $8 +$2 10-04 07:14
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +22 $12 34¢ $7 -$5 08-25 11:19