Realized P&L
-$2.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
42.0%
Resolved
279
Trades
748
lifetime
Volume
$31.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$1.20K
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-04 10:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
50% 50% -$1,958
Politics
23% 14% +$36
Crypto
21% 50% -$503
Tech
4% 100% +$29
Sports
1% 67% +$129
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $480 82¢ $495 +$15 08-04 13:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $186 94¢ $189 +$3 08-04 05:36
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +213 $156 81¢ $173 +$17 10-04 09:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +600 $125 18¢ $105 -$20 08-04 16:39
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +102 $88 98¢ $99 +$12 10-04 10:05
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +102 $79 76¢ $78 -$2 09-18 05:50
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +105 $29 18¢ $18 -$11 10-04 09:46
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +54 $5 25¢ $14 +$9 09-30 12:27
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +108 $21 12¢ $12 -$9 09-15 03:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $16 6¢ $11 -$5 08-04 08:34
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +230 $12 3¢ $8 -$5 10-04 09:51
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +59 $2 1¢ $1 -$2 10-04 10:02