Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$101
Hit rate
26.8%
Resolved (90d)
65
Trades (90d)
91
748 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$7.60K
$31.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$1.35K
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-04 10:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
50% 50% -$1,958
Politics
23% 14% +$36
Crypto
21% 50% -$503
Tech
4% 100% +$29
Sports
1% 67% +$129
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $480 90¢ $543 +$63 08-04 13:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $186 97¢ $195 +$9 08-04 05:36
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +122 $112 95¢ $116 +$4 10-04 10:11
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +105 $29 100¢ $105 +$76 10-04 09:46
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +102 $88 98¢ $100 +$12 10-04 10:05
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +102 $99 97¢ $99 $0 10-04 10:10
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +102 $79 78¢ $79 +$0 09-18 05:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +600 $125 10¢ $57 -$68 08-04 16:39
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +54 $5 32¢ $17 +$12 09-30 12:27
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $42 16¢ $16 -$26 09-07 17:01
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +108 $21 10¢ $11 -$10 09-15 03:16
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +230 $12 3¢ $6 -$6 10-04 09:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $16 3¢ $5 -$11 08-04 08:34
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +59 $2 1¢ $1 -$2 10-04 10:02
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +213 $156 0¢ $0 -$155 10-04 09:43