Realized P&L (30d)
-$529
Unrealized P&L
-$66
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
0
748 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$31.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$1.39K
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-04 10:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
50% 50% -$1,958
Politics
23% 14% +$36
Crypto
21% 50% -$503
Tech
4% 100% +$29
Sports
1% 67% +$129
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $480 88¢ $531 +$51 08-04 13:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $186 97¢ $194 +$8 08-04 05:36
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +122 $112 95¢ $116 +$4 10-04 10:11
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +213 $156 50¢ $108 -$48 10-04 09:43
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +102 $88 98¢ $100 +$12 10-04 10:05
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No — +102 $99 96¢ $98 -$1 10-04 10:10
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +102 $79 81¢ $82 +$3 09-18 05:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +600 $125 12¢ $69 -$56 08-04 16:39
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +105 $29 36¢ $38 +$9 10-04 09:46
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +54 $5 31¢ $17 +$12 09-30 12:27
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +103 $42 10¢ $11 -$31 09-07 17:01
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +108 $21 10¢ $10 -$11 09-15 03:16
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +230 $12 3¢ $6 -$6 10-04 09:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $16 3¢ $6 -$10 08-04 08:34
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +59 $2 1¢ $1 -$2 10-04 10:02