Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,551
lifetime
Volume
$9.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$5.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 07-01 16:34
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
93%
Other
6%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,748 $5,001 88¢ $5.0K +$29 07-01 16:34
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +33 $20 72¢ $24 +$4 06-30 15:29
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +30 $20 74¢ $22 +$2 06-24 17:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +157 $26 14¢ $21 $-5 06-11 19:29
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +17 $16 98¢ $17 +$1 06-16 06:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +155 $16 10¢ $15 $-1 06-19 16:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 06-21 21:19
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $6 16¢ $6 +$0 06-29 23:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +6 $2 70¢ $4 +$2 06-17 11:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 07-01 20:45
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +192 $12 $4 $-8 06-17 10:01
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $4 66¢ $3 $-1 06-18 05:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +9 $6 30¢ $3 $-3 06-19 16:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-10 23:18
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +3 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 06-24 10:52
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes +33 $2 $2 +$0 06-15 11:27
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -13 $3 16¢ $-2 $-5 06-17 09:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-3 86¢ $-2 +$1 06-21 13:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 07-01 13:53
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +2 $2 70¢ $2 $-0 06-29 02:22
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +22 $2 $2 $-0 06-15 15:50
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 $-0 06-16 12:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +6 $2 26¢ $1 $-1 06-24 16:57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $1 $-1 06-24 16:57
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +6 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-24 06:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +18 $2 $1 $-1 06-11 02:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 06-15 01:28
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +10 $2 11¢ $1 $-1 06-24 10:48
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? Yes +2 $2 50¢ $1 $-1 06-17 21:37