Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$260
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,767
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$5.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 07-21 21:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
91%
Other
7%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,748 $5,001 92¢ $5.3K +$259 07-01 16:34
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +42 $26 88¢ $37 +$11 07-09 02:29
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +30 $20 80¢ $24 +$4 06-24 17:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +157 $26 14¢ $21 $-5 06-11 19:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +173 $18 11¢ $18 +$0 07-20 00:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +56 $13 30¢ $16 +$3 07-13 09:45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $10 18¢ $8 $-2 07-03 09:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 $-0 06-21 21:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 $2 48¢ $5 +$3 07-01 13:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +6 $2 78¢ $5 +$3 06-17 11:19
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $6 13¢ $5 $-1 06-29 23:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 07-01 20:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -13 $3 26¢ $-3 $-7 06-17 09:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $4 66¢ $3 $-1 06-18 05:47
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +3 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 06-24 10:52
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +9 $6 22¢ $2 $-4 06-19 16:54
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 07-19 22:31
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +2 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +25 $2 $2 $-0 07-20 14:54
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 $-0 07-10 15:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-3 70¢ $-2 +$2 06-21 13:46
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +6 $2 21¢ $1 $-1 07-02 23:18
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +6 $2 21¢ $1 $-1 06-15 00:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +6 $2 22¢ $1 $-1 06-24 16:57
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +8 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 07-04 11:51
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? Yes +2 $2 60¢ $1 $-1 06-17 21:37
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +22 $2 $1 $-1 06-15 15:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +3 $2 35¢ $1 $-1 07-11 18:49
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +6 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-24 16:57