(anonymous) 0x28b808…575e00
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
282
lifetime
Volume
$630
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$331
27 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 06-11 18:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
86% — —
Other
10% — —
Sports
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +303 $50 20¢ $62 +$12 06-11 17:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +98 $36 43¢ $42 +$6 06-11 20:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +176 $40 22¢ $40 $-0 06-11 20:16
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +36 $34 92¢ $33 $-1 06-11 16:38
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +157 $26 16¢ $26 $-0 06-11 19:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +29 $20 65¢ $19 $-1 06-11 18:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +39 $12 35¢ $14 +$2 06-11 19:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +16 $8 70¢ $11 +$3 06-11 19:21
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +80 $32 14¢ $11 $-21 06-11 17:40
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +12 $8 86¢ $10 +$2 06-11 04:06
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +12 $8 73¢ $9 +$1 06-10 21:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 06-11 12:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +13 $10 57¢ $7 $-3 06-11 17:31
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +40 $10 15¢ $6 $-4 06-11 13:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +6 $6 93¢ $6 $-0 06-11 17:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +58 $4 7¢ $4 +$0 06-10 21:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-11 17:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +6 $4 55¢ $3 $-1 06-11 19:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +40 $2 8¢ $3 +$1 06-11 11:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-10 23:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 06-10 21:08
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-11 20:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 06-11 19:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +18 $2 10¢ $2 $-0 06-11 02:29
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +7 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 06-11 17:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 06-11 14:55
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +25 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 06-11 19:31