Realized P&L
+$49
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
97
Trades
128
lifetime
Volume
$371
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$35
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-22 18:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Politics
51% 38% +$26
Other
31% 65% +$36
Crypto
13% 25% -$14
Tech
4% 100% +$2
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +13 $10 100¢ $13 +$3 10-22 17:20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $6 45¢ $9 +$3 08-03 13:21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +16 $8 36¢ $6 -$2 10-22 17:23
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $0 07-24 21:44
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +15 $4 11¢ $2 -$2 08-03 13:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +25 $3 5¢ $1 -$2 07-07 10:54
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 07-24 21:44
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +6 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 08-03 13:24
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +4 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-13 20:23