Sympathetic-Chef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

5,701

lifetime

Volume

$148.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-04 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

55% 50% +$1,371

Other

41% 0% $-1

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	27	$13.0K	6,615	6,615	+0	open	—	03-30 22:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	65	$12.0K	16,706	9,600	+7,106	open	—	08-03 12:06
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	291	$7.6K	6,798	7,010	-212	open	—	02-28 07:17
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	82	$6.7K	7,019	7,027	-8	open	—	02-16 00:10
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	61	$5.0K	2,832	2,520	+312	open	—	02-20 17:12
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$4.5K	2,330	2,330	+0	open	—	02-14 19:52
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	23	$4.2K	5,150	3,904	+1,246	open	—	07-31 21:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$4.0K	2,664	2,664	-0	open	—	06-19 21:19
another us government shutdown by february 14	100	$3.4K	6,675	4,673	+2,002	open	—	02-13 18:13
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	98	$3.2K	6,984	5,316	+1,668	open	—	02-03 21:11
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	78	$3.2K	1,860	1,914	-53	open	—	02-12 13:20
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	26	$3.0K	1,810	1,810	+0	open	—	08-01 19:21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	83	$2.9K	3,152	2,333	+819	open	—	03-08 05:29
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	12	$2.8K	2,756	2,756	+0	open	—	05-13 14:27
Fed rate hike in 2026?	22	$2.8K	3,262	2,016	+1,246	open	—	08-02 18:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	55	$2.3K	2,323	2,323	-0	open	—	02-28 09:25
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	74	$2.3K	3,058	1,615	+1,443	open	—	02-03 15:41
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	20	$2.2K	1,208	1,208	+0	open	—	02-24 20:49
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	22	$2.1K	1,144	1,172	-28	open	—	02-28 06:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	19	$2.0K	1,531	974	+557	open	—	06-15 01:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	50	$1.7K	1,739	1,739	+0	open	—	08-02 03:14
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2,169	$1.6K	1,532	341	+1,192	open	—	03-06 16:05
iran strike on israel by february 28	77	$1.6K	2,988	1,505	+1,483	open	—	02-28 16:15
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	61	$1.6K	1,963	899	+1,065	open	—	02-28 06:25
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	101	$1.5K	2,959	430	+2,529	open	—	08-03 23:04
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	20	$1.5K	12,531	2,197	+10,335	open	—	02-02 15:16
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	10	$1.4K	696	696	-0	open	—	02-25 02:22
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	25	$1.3K	1,700	1,776	-76	open	—	02-09 02:34
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	73	$1.3K	2,092	2,092	+0	open	—	03-06 23:33
Netanyahu out by June 30?	11	$1.2K	0	1,219	-1,219	open	—	06-22 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 06:20:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	26¢	$20	0x628c6a…
08-04 00:54:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	95	7¢	$7	0xa70c9e…
08-04 00:09:53	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x5c3cae…
08-03 23:04:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	123	46¢	$57	0xd4fdec…
08-03 23:03:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0x246653…
08-03 23:03:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	132	46¢	$61	0xca2474…
08-03 14:44:47	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x3b5b6d…
08-03 14:44:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4aa642…
08-03 12:06:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xce94f2…
08-03 12:05:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	16	78¢	$13	0x381541…
08-02 18:44:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	66¢	$81	0x9e1cba…
08-02 18:43:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	67¢	$82	0x4dfefa…
08-02 18:37:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	112	22¢	$24	0xc0dbaf…
08-02 18:36:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	112	24¢	$27	0x704905…
08-02 18:30:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	66¢	$52	0x00a520…
08-02 18:30:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	67¢	$52	0xb3d450…
08-02 18:16:30	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x6eac3c…
08-02 18:15:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x843bc4…
08-02 17:39:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	66¢	$52	0xa2bb35…
08-02 17:38:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	67¢	$52	0x4aee83…
08-02 14:21:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0xaca9d6…
08-02 14:19:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xb2d960…
08-02 14:19:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xfdfc30…
08-02 14:16:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x11ae9a…
08-02 14:16:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x60e61a…
08-02 12:52:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	66¢	$31	0xa14cf1…
08-02 12:51:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	67¢	$31	0xc29033…
08-02 11:34:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	135	64¢	$86	0x191be9…
08-02 11:33:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xff4597…
08-02 11:32:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	125	66¢	$82	0x3e5882…
08-02 08:19:02	Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	39	68¢	$26	0xbeec2a…
08-02 08:17:00	Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x5e3ab0…
08-02 05:02:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x134352…
08-02 04:47:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	51	54¢	$28	0x15b75a…
08-02 04:47:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xf39686…
08-02 04:47:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xa568dc…
08-02 04:45:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xfd75d9…
08-02 04:44:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x218d95…
08-02 04:42:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	47	54¢	$25	0xca9b87…
08-02 04:41:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xd8fe13…
08-02 04:41:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xca311b…
08-02 04:37:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xe2e9bc…
08-02 04:37:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x88f712…
08-02 04:37:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x44b10e…
08-02 04:36:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xeab083…
08-02 04:36:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xe87e3e…
08-02 04:36:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x315e2b…
08-02 04:35:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xe6caeb…
08-02 04:35:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x129c97…
08-02 04:33:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xd72a8b…
08-02 04:33:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xd09bf2…
08-02 04:32:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x9e9964…
08-02 04:32:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xb944ee…
08-02 04:31:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xc2dc23…
08-02 04:28:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0xb043a7…
08-02 04:27:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x606bf2…
08-02 04:25:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x165694…
08-02 03:50:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x5670a9…
08-02 03:30:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0x048ad6…
08-02 03:30:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xcd4537…
08-02 03:29:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xdbce2d…
08-02 03:24:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xe9a8e8…
08-02 03:19:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,250	20¢	$250	0xaeff4d…
08-02 03:14:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xe54969…
08-02 03:13:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x8d03f7…
08-02 03:07:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xeb58f3…
08-02 03:07:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x5b3b23…
08-02 03:07:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x0a7805…
08-02 03:07:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x305ba5…
08-02 03:07:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x2bf393…
08-02 03:07:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x2a1cf5…
08-02 03:07:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xc18834…
08-02 03:07:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xc15377…
08-02 03:07:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x86370c…
08-02 03:07:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x06348a…
08-02 03:07:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xb6ee0c…
08-02 03:07:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x7bf58a…
08-02 03:07:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x5c413b…
08-02 03:07:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x578da5…
08-02 03:07:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x3e7ae7…
08-02 03:07:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xeb0c35…
08-02 03:07:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x732403…
08-02 03:07:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x4eebda…
08-02 03:07:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x09b86a…
08-02 03:07:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xf98e4b…
08-02 03:07:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xda10cd…
08-02 03:07:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xd2db3d…
08-02 03:07:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x7343e6…
08-02 03:07:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xfbffd8…
08-02 03:07:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xcf4a14…
08-02 03:07:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x1fcce4…
08-02 03:06:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xe5327c…
08-02 03:06:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xb6895b…
08-02 03:06:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x7ddd4e…
08-02 03:06:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x001ebc…
08-02 03:06:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xc0595e…
08-02 03:06:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x800abc…
08-02 03:06:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x69b880…
08-02 03:06:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x5b78f9…
08-02 03:06:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xeb6e7c…