Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
37.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
759
lifetime
Volume
$9.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$109
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-07 20:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
52% 43% $-37
Crypto
25%
Tech
20%
Politics
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +62 $14 23¢ $14 +$1 06-29 15:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +9 $5 99¢ $9 +$4 06-24 00:22
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $5 70¢ $7 +$2 06-24 02:57
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? Yes +7 $5 81¢ $6 +$1 06-24 02:57
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? No +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 06-24 03:58
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +11 $5 52¢ $6 +$1 06-24 03:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 06-24 02:33
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +6 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 06-24 02:33
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $5 31¢ $6 +$1 06-24 03:27
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 06-24 02:57
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +8 $5 60¢ $5 +$0 06-24 02:33
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-24 03:58
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +8 $5 60¢ $5 $-0 06-24 03:58
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +5 $5 79¢ $4 $-1 06-24 03:27
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? No +7 $5 56¢ $4 $-1 06-24 02:32
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +7 $5 48¢ $4 $-1 06-24 01:33
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $5 24¢ $3 $-2 06-24 02:57
Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026? Yes +16 $5 21¢ $3 $-2 06-24 01:22
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 51¢ $3 $-2 06-24 03:58
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $5 12¢ $3 $-2 06-24 02:57
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 $1 77¢ $1 +$0 07-01 06:04